Derby County vs Bristol City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

22/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Pride Park (Derby).

: Championship - Round 3
Referee: Webb D. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.47	0.76
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
5	11
Shots on target
2	3
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
4	5
Passes
81% (397/488)	80% (364/454)
Yellow Cards
3	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.47	0.76
xG on target (xGOT)
1.05	0.65
Total shots
5	11
Shots on target
2	3
Shots off target
1	4
Blocked Shots
2	4
Shots inside the Box
4	8
Shots outside the Box
1	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
4	5
Touches in opposition box
15	14
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
4	14
Passes
81% (397/488)	80% (364/454)
Long passes
36% (18/50)	24% (12/50)
Passes in final third
53% (46/86)	64% (54/84)
Crosses
19% (3/16)	18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.24	0.24
Throw-ins
27	20
Fouls
15	5
Tackles
57% (8/14)	54% (7/13)
Duels won
54	63
Clearances
22	31
Interceptions
7	13
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	1
xGOT faced
0.65	1.05
Goals prevented
-0.35	0.05

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Twine S. ⚽, Sykes M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Riis E. ↓, Armstrong S. ↑,
59', Weimann A. ↓, Brewster R. ↑,
59', Nyambe R. ↓, Ward J. ↑,
59', Thompson L. ↓, Clark B. ↑,
65', Widell Zetterstrom J. 🟨,
70', Batth D. ↓, Jackson K. ↑,
70', Ozoh D. ↓, Goudmijn K. ↑,
72', Randell A. ↓, Bird M. ↑,
74', Adams E. 🟨,
86', 1 - 1, Morris C. ⚽,
90+3', Morris C. 🟨,
90+4', Twine S. ↓, Hirakawa Y. ↑,

Chances of winning

Derby County
23.5%

Draw
31.7%

Bristol City
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

30%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

31.9%

31.6%

Derby County - Bristol City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.65 ↑ (2.6)	3.32 ↑ (3.16)	2.29 ↓ (2.82)	-4.7% (5.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Derby County - Bristol City?

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). Bristol City will win (votes: 9 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol City: 21.7% – 64.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Derby (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0 - Bristol City (1.72) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby won 2.
In recent matches, Derby has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Bristol City is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Derby: Agyemang P. (Hernia) Langas S. (Knee Injury) Nelson C. (Knee Injury) Salvesen L. (Knee Injury) Wilson K. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Bristol City: McNally L. (Knee Injury) O'Leary M. (Knee Injury) Pring C. (Ankle Injury) Williams J. (Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Derby: Beck O. (Lacking Match Fitness) Blackett-Taylor C. (Hamstring Injury)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Derby won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:23. (average 1.5:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.9:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Bristol City?

Derby County has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bristol City won against Derby County?

Bristol City has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Bristol City were as follows:

04.01.2025 Bristol City - Derby County 1:0

31.08.2024 Derby County - Bristol City 3:0

Latest results of Derby County

16.08.2025 Derby County - Coventry City 3:5 ✺

12.08.2025 West Bromwich Albion - Derby County 1:2 ✺

09.08.2025 Stoke City - Derby County 3:1 ✺

02.08.2025 Derby County - Atromitos Athens 2:0 ✺

29.07.2025 Solihull Moors - Derby County 2:4 ✺

Latest results of Bristol City

16.08.2025 Bristol City - Charlton Athletic 0:0 ✺

12.08.2025 Bristol City - Milton Keynes Dons 2:0 ✺

09.08.2025 Sheffield United - Bristol City 1:4 ✺

02.08.2025 Bristol City - Valladolid 4:0 ✺

26.07.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Bristol City 0:2 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	20	13	5	2	51:22	29	44
2	Middlesbrough	20	11	6	3	30:21	9	39
3	Preston	21	9	8	4	29:22	7	35
4	Millwall	20	10	5	5	24:26	-2	35
5	Ipswich	20	9	7	4	34:19	15	34
6	Stoke	21	10	3	8	28:20	8	33
7	Hull	20	9	4	7	33:34	-1	31
8	QPR	20	9	4	7	27:30	-3	31
9	Southampton	21	8	6	7	35:30	5	30
10	Bristol City	20	8	6	6	28:23	5	30
11	Birmingham	20	8	4	8	29:25	4	28
12	Watford	20	7	7	6	28:26	2	28
13	Leicester	20	7	7	6	27:26	1	28
14	West Brom	21	8	4	9	25:28	-3	28
15	Wrexham	20	6	9	5	24:23	1	27
16	Derby	20	7	6	7	27:29	-2	27
17	Sheffield Utd	21	7	2	12	25:31	-6	23
18	Charlton	19	6	5	8	19:25	-6	23
19	Swansea	21	6	5	10	22:29	-7	23
20	Blackburn	19	6	4	9	19:24	-5	22
21	Oxford Utd	21	4	7	10	22:30	-8	19
22	Norwich	21	4	5	12	24:34	-10	17
23	Portsmouth	19	4	5	10	15:26	-11	17
24	Sheffield Wed	19	1	6	12	15:37	-22	-9

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One

Which TV channels are streaming of Derby County - Bristol City?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Football Plus
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 3
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 3
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV3
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Singapore	mio Sports 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-america	ESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter