St. Pauli vs Hoffenheim: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German Bundesliga St. Pauli - Hoffenheim
19/10/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
St. Pauli - Hoffenheim - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


St. Pauli
39.3%
Draw
27%
Hoffenheim
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.5% 26.6% 30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5% 26.6% 30.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • St. Pauli - Hoffenheim Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.46
    (2.24)
    3.63
    (3.57)
    2.88
    (3.08)
    2.9%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for St. Pauli - Hoffenheim?
  • Users Predictions: Hoffenheim will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 11).
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • St. Pauli could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
    • Including home match between the teams, St. Pauli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pauli - Hoffenheim were as follows:
    14.03.2025 St. Pauli - Hoffenheim 1:0
    02.11.2024 Hoffenheim - St. Pauli 0:2
    Latest results of St. Pauli
    04.10.2025 Werder Bremen - St. Pauli 1:0
    19.09.2025 Stuttgart - St. Pauli 2:0
    14.09.2025 St. Pauli - Augsburg 2:1
    03.09.2025 Holstein Kiel - St. Pauli 1:1
    Latest results of Hoffenheim
    03.10.2025 Hoffenheim - Köln 0:1
    28.09.2025 Freiburg - Hoffenheim 1:1
    20.09.2025 Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich 1:4
    13.09.2025 Union Berlin - Hoffenheim 2:4
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich660025:32218
    2Dortmund642012:4814
    3RB Leipzig64118:8013
    4Stuttgart64028:6212
    5Bayer Leverkusen632112:8411
    6FC Koln631211:9210
    7Eintracht Frankfurt630317:1619
    8Freiburg62229:908
    9Hamburger SV62226:8-28
    10St. Pauli62138:9-17
    11Hoffenheim62139:12-37
    12Werder Bremen62139:14-57
    13Union Berlin62138:13-57
    14Augsburg620411:13-26
    15Wolfsburg61238:10-25
    16Mainz61145:10-54
    17B. Monchengladbach60335:12-73
    18Heidenheim61054:11-73

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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