Freiburg vs Hoffenheim: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German Bundesliga Freiburg - Hoffenheim
Result
3:2
19/04/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 30
  • Referee: Stegemann S. (Ger)
Freiburg - Hoffenheim - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.411.65
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
1219
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
78% (255/326)85% (419/495)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.411.65
xG on target (xGOT)
2.211.48
Total shots
1219
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
38
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
812
Shots outside the Box
47
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
2429
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1314
Passes
78% (255/326)85% (419/495)
Long passes
49% (25/51)48% (26/54)
Passes in final third
66% (68/103)76% (111/146)
Crosses
27% (3/11)28% (7/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.991.17
Fouls
1413
Tackles
75% (6/8)64% (7/11)
Duels won
4550
Clearances Total
3421
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.482.21
Goals prevented
-0.52-0.79

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 28', 1 - 0, Holer L. , Manzambi J. (A),
  • 36', 2 - 0, Doan R. , Grifo V. (A),
  • 39', Nsoki S. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 2 - 1, Bulter M. ,
  • 45+5', 2 - 2, Kramaric A. , Bulter M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Nsoki S. , Geiger D. ,
  • 57', 3 - 2, Holer L. , Grifo V. (A),
  • 59', Osterhage P. 🟨,
  • 61', Gendrey V. , Kaderabek P. ,
  • 61', Toure B. , Orban G. ,
  • 68', Tabakovic H. , Hlozek A. ,
  • 69', Manzambi J. , Rohl M. ,
  • 69', Grifo V. , Beste J. ,
  • 73', Holer L. 🟨,
  • 74', Doan R. 🟨,
  • 76', Bischof T. 🟨,
  • 81', Bischof T. , Becker F. O. ,
  • 82', Kubler L. , Rosenfelder M. ,
  • 88', Doan R. , Sildillia K. ,
  • 88', Osterhage P. , Hofler N. ,

Chances of winning


Freiburg
49.6%
Draw
25.5%
Hoffenheim
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.4% 25.4% 25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2% 25.5% 25.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Hoffenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Freiburg - Hoffenheim Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (1.95)
    3.75
    (3.79)
    3.85
    (3.8)
    4.4%
    (4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Freiburg - Hoffenheim?
    The most likely score is 2:1. User prediction is Freiburg will win! (23 of 28 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 14).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Freiburg won 3.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Freiburg will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Freiburg: Adamu J. (Yellow Cards) Atubolu N. (Shoulder Injury) Gulde M. (Lacking Match Fitness) Kyereh D. (Knee Injury) Ogbus B. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Hoffenheim: Bebou I. (Knee Injury) Kabak O. (Knee Injury) Lenz C. (Calf Injury) Moerstedt M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Ostigard L. (Red Card) Promel G. (Knee Injury) Samassekou D. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Freiburg: Rohl M. (Heel Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Freiburg won 9 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 38:30 (average 1.9:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Freiburg won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:14 (average 1.7:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - Hoffenheim were as follows:
    08.12.2024 Hoffenheim - Freiburg 1:1
    20.01.2024 Freiburg - Hoffenheim 3:2
    19.08.2023 Hoffenheim - Freiburg 1:2
    12.03.2023 Freiburg - Hoffenheim 2:1
    18.09.2022 Hoffenheim - Freiburg 0:0
    Latest results of Freiburg
    30.03.2025 Freiburg - Union Berlin 1:2
    15.03.2025 Mainz - Freiburg 2:2
    08.03.2025 Freiburg - RB Leipzig 0:0
    Latest results of Hoffenheim
    12.04.2025 Hoffenheim - Mainz 2:0
    05.04.2025 RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim 3:1
    29.03.2025 Hoffenheim - Augsburg 1:1
    14.03.2025 St. Pauli - Hoffenheim 1:0
    09.03.2025 Hoffenheim - Heidenheim 1:1
    German Bundesliga Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich34257299:326782
    2Bayer Leverkusen341912372:432969
    3Eintracht Frankfurt34179868:462260
    4Dortmund341761171:512057
    5Freiburg341671149:53-455
    6Mainz3414101055:431252
    7RB Leipzig341312953:48551
    8Werder Bremen341491154:57-351
    9Stuttgart341481264:531150
    10B. Monchengladbach341361555:57-245
    11Wolfsburg3411101356:54243
    12Augsburg3411101335:51-1643
    13Union Berlin3410101435:51-1640
    14St. Pauli34881828:41-1332
    15Hoffenheim347111646:68-2232
    16Heidenheim34852137:64-2729
    17Holstein Kiel34672149:80-3125
    18Bochum34672133:67-3425

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Which TV channels are streaming of Freiburg - Hoffenheim?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
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