Hoffenheim vs Bayern Munich: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German Bundesliga Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich
Result
0:4
17/05/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 34
  • Referee: Schlager D. (Ger)
Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.441.54
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
614
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
14
Passes
78% (275/351)90% (633/702)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.441.54
xG on target (xGOT)
0.592.21
Total shots
614
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
46
Shots outside the Box
28
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
14
Touches in opposition box
1738
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
79
Passes
78% (275/351)90% (633/702)
Long passes
47% (34/73)61% (25/41)
Passes in final third
58% (56/96)86% (243/284)
Crosses
20% (1/5)6% (1/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.591.91
Throw-ins
1819
Fouls
97
Tackles
53% (10/19)47% (7/15)
Duels won
5241
Clearances
3618
Interceptions
123
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
2.210.59
Goals prevented
-1.790.59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 33', 0 - 1, Olise M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Prass A. , Bulter M. ,
  • 53', 0 - 2, Kimmich J. , Olise M. (A),
  • 61', Coman K. , Sane L. ,
  • 61', Muller T. , Kane H. ,
  • 67', Guerreiro R. , Goretzka L. ,
  • 67', Laimer K. , Boey S. ,
  • 67', Bischof T. , Toure B. ,
  • 76', Geiger D. , Tohumcu U. ,
  • 80', 0 - 3, Gnabry S. , Kane H. (A),
  • 81', Stach A. , Becker F. O. ,
  • 82', Kramaric A. , Bebou I. ,
  • 86', 0 - 4, Kane H. , Boey S. (A),
  • 86', Dier E. , Vidovic G. ,

Chances of winning


Hoffenheim
19.5%
Draw
19.8%
Bayern Munich
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.3% 18.3% 63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.5% 17.5% 66.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Bayern Munich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bayern Munich could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.98
    (5)
    4.87
    (5)
    1.56
    (1.44)
    4.6%
    (9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich?
    The most likely score is 1:2. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Bayern is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 1.
    • In recent matches, Hoffenheim has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Bayern is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Hoffenheim may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Bayern is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Hoffenheim: Bebou I. (Knee Injury) Gendrey V. (Broken collarbone) Kabak O. (Knee Injury) Lenz C. (Calf Injury) Promel G. (Knee Injury) Samassekou D. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Bayern: Buchmann T. (Shoulder Injury) Davies A. (Knee Injury) Ito H. (Foot Injury) Kim Min-Jae (Achilles Tendon Injury) Musiala J. (Muscle Injury) Upamecano D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Hoffenheim: Nsoki S. (Thigh Injury) Orban G. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 24:49. (average 1.2:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hoffenheim won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.6:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich were as follows:
    15.01.2025 Bayern Munich - Hoffenheim 5:0
    18.05.2024 Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich 4:2
    12.01.2024 Bayern Munich - Hoffenheim 3:0
    15.04.2023 Bayern Munich - Hoffenheim 1:1
    22.10.2022 Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich 0:2
    Latest results of Hoffenheim
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    German Bundesliga Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich ✔ 34257299:326782
    2Bayer Leverkusen ✔ 341912372:432969
    3Eintracht Frankfurt34179868:462260
    4Dortmund341761171:512057
    5Freiburg341671149:53-455
    6Mainz3414101055:431252
    7RB Leipzig341312953:48551
    8Werder Bremen341491154:57-351
    9Stuttgart341481264:531150
    10B. Monchengladbach341361555:57-245
    11Wolfsburg3411101356:54243
    12Augsburg3411101335:51-1643
    13Union Berlin3410101435:51-1640
    14St. Pauli34881828:41-1332
    15Hoffenheim347111646:68-2232
    16Heidenheim34852137:64-2729
    17Holstein Kiel ✔ 34672149:80-3125
    18Bochum ✔ 34672133:67-3425

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bayern Munich is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Bayer Leverkusen is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Holstein Kiel is Relegated to 2. Bundesliga
    Bochum is Relegated to 2. Bundesliga
    Which TV channels are streaming of Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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    albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 3
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
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    denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
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    philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
    polandPolandEleven Sports 3, Viaplay
    portugalPortugalDAZN 1
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 4, Prima Sport PPV 1
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 1
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
    south-africaSouth-africaSABC 3, SABC Plus, SABC Sport
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    spainSpainDAZN Espana
    swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Ultra
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2
    taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 4
    thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX, Tivibu Spor 3
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    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
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