Western Bulldogs vs Hawthorn Hawks: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

05/06/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Marvel Stadium (Melbourne).

: AFL - Round 13

Match Stats


Goals
8	12
Behinds
11	9
Kicks
185	216
Handballs
163	156
Disposals
348	372
Frees For
15	10
Frees Against
10	15
Clearances Completed
39	34
Marks
69	87
Tackles
72	82
Hitouts
34	51

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Quarter (8 - 32)
00:57, Ginnivan J. (G),
03:39, English T. (Behind),
05:43, Meek L. (Behind),
07:10, Chol M. (G),
09:51, Williams B. (G),
12:18, (Behind Rushed),
13:58, Weddle J. (G),
15:32, Macdonald C. (G),
18:53, Nash C. (G),
23:24, Bontempelli M. (Behind),
2nd Quarter (21 - 20)
04:41, Kennedy M. (G),
06:43, West R. (Behind),
09:57, Harmes J. (G),
13:57, Ramsden M. (Behind),
18:06, Moore D. (Behind),
20:23, (Behind Rushed),
21:20, Gunston J. (G),
22:48, Newcombe J. (G),
24:01, Richards E. (G),
26:53, Bontempelli M. (Behind),
30:28, Chol M. (G),
3rd Quarter (21 - 13)
06:03, Harmes J. (Behind),
08:24, Chol M. (G),
15:37, Vandermeer L. (G),
18:45, Chol M. (G),
21:26, Lobb R. (G),
24:02, Lobb R. (Behind),
26:12, Vandermeer L. (G),
27:44, Impey J. (Behind),
4th Quarter (9 - 16)
00:20, Sanders R. (Behind),
05:24, Impey J. (G),
09:16, Ginnivan J. (G),
10:50, Lobb R. (Behind),
13:51, Moore D. (Behind),
16:51, English T. (Behind),
19:22, Khamis B. (G),
21:42, (Behind Rushed),
26:09, Macdonald C. (Behind),
27:52, (Behind Rushed),
30:18, (Behind Rushed),

Chances of winning

Western Bulldogs
69.8%

Hawthorn Hawks
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Western Bulldogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Western Bulldogs's performance.

Hawthorn Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hawthorn Hawks might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Bulldogs than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Western Bulldogs that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawthorn Hawks than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hawthorn Hawks could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Western Bulldogs - Hawthorn Hawks Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.65)		3.04 ↑ (2.18)	6.7% (6.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 175.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-17)

What is the prediction for Western Bulldogs - Hawthorn Hawks?

The most likely score is 97:80.

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Western won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Hawthorn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Western is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Western won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1637:1674. (average 81.9:83.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Western won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 696:712. (average 87:89).

How many head-to-head matches has Western Bulldogs won against Hawthorn Hawks?

Western Bulldogs has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Hawthorn Hawks won against Western Bulldogs?

Hawthorn Hawks has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Western Bulldogs - Hawthorn Hawks were as follows:

27.02.2025 Hawthorn Hawks - Western Bulldogs 66:77

06.09.2024 Western Bulldogs - Hawthorn Hawks 62:99

05.05.2024 Western Bulldogs - Hawthorn Hawks 91:98

02.03.2024 Hawthorn Hawks - Western Bulldogs 62:119

12.08.2023 Hawthorn Hawks - Western Bulldogs 67:64

Latest results of Western Bulldogs

22.05.2025 Geelong Cats - Western Bulldogs 127:113 ✺

17.05.2025 Western Bulldogs - Essendon Bombers 127:36 ✺

10.05.2025 Gold Coast Suns - Western Bulldogs 106:96 ✺

02.05.2025 Western Bulldogs - Port Adelaide Power 131:41 ✺

26.04.2025 Greater Western Sydney Giants - Western Bulldogs 81:113 ✺

Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks

30.05.2025 Collingwood Magpies - Hawthorn Hawks 107:56 ✺

24.05.2025 Hawthorn Hawks - Brisbane Lions 60:93 ✺

15.05.2025 Gold Coast Suns - Hawthorn Hawks 104:96 ✺

09.05.2025 Melbourne Demons - Hawthorn Hawks 56:91 ✺

04.05.2025 Hawthorn Hawks - Richmond Tigers 109:44 ✺

AFL Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
1	Collingwood Magpies	12	10	0	2	1125:822	136.86	40
2	Brisbane Lions	13	9	1	3	1128:1002	112.57	38
3	Adelaide Crows	13	9	0	4	1313:957	137.20	36
4	Gold Coast Suns	11	8	0	3	1077:843	127.76	32
5	Geelong Cats	12	8	0	4	1214:973	124.77	32
6	Hawthorn Hawks	13	8	0	5	1150:1029	111.76	32
7	GWS Giants	12	7	0	5	1031:942	109.45	28
8	Fremantle Dockers	12	7	0	5	1013:952	106.41	28
9	Western Bulldogs	12	6	0	6	1210:991	122.10	24
10	Essendon Bombers	11	6	0	5	821:971	84.55	24
11	St Kilda Saints	12	5	0	7	993:1067	93.06	20
12	Melbourne Demons	12	5	0	7	952:1087	87.58	20
13	Carlton Blues	11	4	0	7	889:865	102.77	16
14	Sydney Swans	12	4	0	8	924:1078	85.71	16
15	Port Adelaide Power	11	4	0	7	835:1056	79.07	16
16	Richmond Tigers	12	3	0	9	817:1149	71.11	12
17	North Melbourne	11	2	1	8	874:1119	78.11	10
18	West Coast Eagles	12	1	0	11	840:1303	64.47	4

Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Western Bulldogs - Hawthorn Hawks?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Australia	AFL, Fox Footy, Seven Network