Guingamp vs Bastia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer French Ligue 2 Guingamp - Bastia
Result
2:2
02/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 2 - Round 33
  • Referee: Dechepy B. (Fra)
Guingamp - Bastia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.860.99
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
1914
Shots on target
104
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
126
Passes
79% (355/452)73% (195/266)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
1.860.99
xG on target (xGOT)
2.001.48
Total shots
1914
Shots on target
104
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
138
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
126
Touches in opposition box
3418
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
207
Passes
79% (355/452)73% (195/266)
Long passes
51% (38/75)41% (22/54)
Passes in final third
74% (132/179)69% (62/90)
Crosses
29% (10/35)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.690.92
Throw-ins
1916
Fouls
720
Tackles
79% (19/24)60% (9/15)
Duels won
8342
Clearances
1639
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
28
xGOT faced
1.482.00
Goals prevented
-0.520.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', Sebas J. 🟨,
  • 10', Ariss Z. 🟨,
  • 16', Louiserre D. 🟨,
  • 27', 1 - 0, Ghrieb R. , Labeau B. (A),
  • 29', Inao Oulai C. 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 1, Tomi F. , Ariss Z. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 51', Nair S. 🟨,
  • 53', 1 - 2, Cisse L. ,
  • 63', Ghrieb R. , Sidibe K. ,
  • 63', Labeau B. , Hemia A. ,
  • 71', Sebas J. , Ble M. ,
  • 73', Le Bris T. , Guendouz S. ,
  • 73', Siwe J. , Luvambo T. ,
  • 76', Tomi F. , Vincent C. ,
  • 81', Ble M. 🟨,
  • 83', 2 - 2, Gomis D. , Guendouz S. (A),
  • 85', Inao Oulai C. , Meynadier T. ,
  • 85', Cisse L. , Boumaaoui M. A. ,
  • 90', Bohnert F. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Guingamp
50.8%
Draw
27.9%
Bastia
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.1% 27.6% 23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 27% 23.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guingamp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Bastia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Guingamp - Bastia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (1.91)
    3.36
    (3.39)
    4.39
    (4.02)
    5.7%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Guingamp - Bastia?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is Guingamp will win! (13 of 14 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 0.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Guingamp could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Guingamp: Hemia A. (Injury) Maronnier L. (Inactive) Mendes J. A. (Inactive) Ndour A. (Injury) Ourega D. (Inactive) Sidibe K. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Bastia: Aiki A. (Injury) Guevara J. (Injury) Janneh J. (Thigh Injury) Tramoni L. (Illness)
    • There are questionable in Bastia: Akueson G. (Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guingamp won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.6:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guingamp - Bastia were as follows:
    13.12.2024 Bastia - Guingamp 3:1
    20.04.2024 Guingamp - Bastia 0:1
    28.10.2023 Bastia - Guingamp 0:0
    18.02.2023 Bastia - Guingamp 1:1
    22.10.2022 Guingamp - Bastia 1:1
    Latest results of Guingamp
    25.04.2025 Guingamp - Martigues 2:1
    18.04.2025 Amiens - Guingamp 3:2
    12.04.2025 Guingamp - Lorient 1:2
    07.04.2025 Dunkerque - Guingamp 3:1
    29.03.2025 Guingamp - Laval 2:0
    Latest results of Bastia
    25.04.2025 Bastia - Grenoble 2:3
    19.04.2025 Paris FC - Bastia 1:0
    14.04.2025 Bastia - Laval 5:2
    04.04.2025 Annecy - Bastia 1:1
    28.03.2025 Bastia - Dunkerque 2:0
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    3MetzBye
    4DunkerqueGuingamp1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    2MetzDunkerque

    Final
    1ByeTBD #2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Guingamp - Bastia?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
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