Le Mans vs Bastia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer French Ligue 2 Le Mans - Bastia
Result
1:0
22/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 2 - Round 3
  • Referee: Bouille T. (Fra)
Le Mans - Bastia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.400.73
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
95
Passes
78% (253/326)79% (236/299)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.400.73
xG on target (xGOT)
1.320.26
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
67
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
95
Touches in opposition box
1215
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1117
Passes
78% (253/326)79% (236/299)
Long passes
44% (24/55)48% (30/62)
Passes in final third
73% (65/89)51% (39/76)
Crosses
21% (6/29)24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.950.42
Throw-ins
2125
Fouls
1711
Tackles
57% (4/7)67% (4/6)
Duels won
4846
Clearances
3336
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.261.32
Goals prevented
0.260.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 25', Ribelin A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Luvambo T. , Harhouz W. ,
  • 60', Tomi F. , Vincent C. ,
  • 61', Ble M. , Parravicini N. ,
  • 64', Guidi D. 🟨,
  • 65', Vercruysse J. , Quarshie E. ,
  • 65', Abanda L. , Calodat L. ,
  • 65', Rossignol M. , Robin M. ,
  • 76', Bohnert F. , Meynadier T. ,
  • 76', Sebas J. , Karamoko I. ,
  • 77', Robin M. 🟨,
  • 81', Ribelin A. , Oggad B. ,
  • 84', Yohou S. 🟨,
  • 88', Parravicini N. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 1 - 0, Gueye D. (Pen),
  • 90+8', Janneh J. , Aiki A. ,

Chances of winning


Le Mans
35%
Draw
29.9%
Bastia
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.3% 27.9% 31.8%

Le Mans - Bastia Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.67
(2.29)
3.11
(3.31)
2.68
(2.9)
6.9%
(8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Le Mans - Bastia?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Le Mans will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Bastia will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bastia: 21.4%67.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Bastia (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
  • Le Mans is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
  • Bastia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
  • There will not play in Le Mans: Colas E. (Back Injury) Guillaume B. (Inactive)
  • There will not play in Bastia: Akueson G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Ducrocq T. (Red Card) Guevara J. (Knee Injury)
  • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Le Mans won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Le Mans won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
Latest results of Le Mans
18.08.2025 Le Mans - Montpellier 1:2
09.08.2025 Guingamp - Le Mans 3:3
01.08.2025 Le Mans - Caen 2:0
23.07.2025 Quevilly - Le Mans 2:4
19.07.2025 Le Havre - Le Mans 0:1
Latest results of Bastia
15.08.2025 Bastia - Pau 1:1
10.05.2025 Bastia - Caen 2:1
02.05.2025 Guingamp - Bastia 2:2
25.04.2025 Bastia - Grenoble 2:3
19.04.2025 Paris FC - Bastia 1:0
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26
PlWDLDiffPts
1Troyes1695228:151332
2Le Mans1786322:17530
3St Etienne1692533:231029
4Reims1684432:201228
5Red Star1584321:15628
6Dunkerque1776429:191027
7Pau FC1775523:25-226
8Montpellier1673617:15224
9Guingamp1765625:30-523
10Annecy1764721:18322
11Rodez1756618:23-521
12Grenoble1655618:20-220
13Clermont1747616:21-519
14Amiens1753921:26-518
15Nancy1753915:22-718
16Boulogne1644817:24-716
17Laval1736813:22-915
18Bastia1514106:20-147

      Promotion ~ Ligue 1
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Ligue 2 (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ National

Which TV channels are streaming of Le Mans - Bastia?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
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