Bastia vs Pau: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer French Ligue 2 Bastia - Pau
Result
1:1
15/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 2 - Round 2
  • Referee: Lesage M. (Fra)
Bastia - Pau - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.041.10
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
611
Passes
78% (251/321)83% (342/410)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.041.10
xG on target (xGOT)
0.861.15
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
611
Touches in opposition box
2822
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
612
Passes
78% (251/321)83% (342/410)
Long passes
31% (15/49)57% (29/51)
Passes in final third
50% (44/88)70% (65/93)
Crosses
20% (3/15)19% (5/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.520.58
Throw-ins
1823
Fouls
136
Tackles
62% (16/26)59% (10/17)
Duels won
5061
Clearances
3121
Interceptions
139
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.150.86
Goals prevented
0.15-0.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', Meddah D. 🟨,
  • 27', 1 - 0, Sebas J. , Boutrah A. (A),
  • 34', Pouilly T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 62', 1 - 1, Arconte T. , Kalulu J. (A),
  • 65', Arconte T. 🟨,
  • 66', Meddah D. 🟥,
  • 66', Ducrocq T. 🟥,
  • 67', Bobichon A. , Beusnard S. ,
  • 67', Sebas J. , Vincent C. ,
  • 68', Arconte T. , Zuliani E. ,
  • 73', Bohnert F. 🟨,
  • 79', Versini G. , Lebouath S. ,
  • 85', Mboup P. , Karamoko S. ,
  • 86', Ble M. , Etoga L. ,
  • 86', Tomi F. , Karamoko I. ,
  • 86', Guidi D. , Meynadier T. ,
  • 90', Ariss Z. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Bohnert F. , Zaouai A. ,

Chances of winning


Bastia
52.5%
Draw
25.9%
Pau
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.8% 28.3% 19.8%

Bastia - Pau Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.79
(1.79)
3.61
(3.28)
4.36
(4.68)
6.6%
(7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bastia - Pau?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Pau will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bastia: 35.9%97.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bastia (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bastia won 2.
  • Bastia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • In this match, Bastia is seen as the favorite.
  • There will not play in Bastia: Akueson G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Guevara J. (Knee Injury)
  • There will not play in Pau: Beusnard S. (Inactive) Gaspar J. (Inactive) Ngom O. (Inactive)
  • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Bastia won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.6:1.5).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Bastia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bastia - Pau were as follows:
24.01.2025 Bastia - Pau 1:1
22.10.2024 Pau - Bastia 1:1
10.05.2024 Pau - Bastia 1:2
26.09.2023 Bastia - Pau 1:4
20.05.2023 Pau - Bastia 2:6
Latest results of Bastia
10.05.2025 Bastia - Caen 2:1
02.05.2025 Guingamp - Bastia 2:2
25.04.2025 Bastia - Grenoble 2:3
19.04.2025 Paris FC - Bastia 1:0
14.04.2025 Bastia - Laval 5:2
Latest results of Pau
09.08.2025 Pau - Annecy 2:0
02.08.2025 Rodez - Pau 2:4
18.07.2025 Real Sociedad - Pau 2:0
12.07.2025 Toulouse - Pau 0:0
10.05.2025 Pau - Guingamp 1:3
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26
PlWDLDiffPts
1Troyes1695228:151332
2Le Mans1786322:17530
3St Etienne1692533:231029
4Reims1684432:201228
5Red Star1584321:15628
6Dunkerque1776429:191027
7Pau FC1775523:25-226
8Montpellier1673617:15224
9Guingamp1765625:30-523
10Annecy1764721:18322
11Rodez1756618:23-521
12Grenoble1655618:20-220
13Clermont1747616:21-519
14Amiens1753921:26-518
15Nancy1753915:22-718
16Boulogne1644817:24-716
17Laval1736813:22-915
18Bastia1514106:20-147

      Promotion ~ Ligue 1
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Ligue 2 (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ National

Which TV channels are streaming of Bastia - Pau?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
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