Carlton Blues vs Greater Western Sydney Giants: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Aussie rules AFL Carlton Blues - Greater Western Sydney Giants
Result
82:110
23/05/2025 at 22:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AFL - Round 11
Carlton Blues - Greater Western Sydney Giants - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Goals
1217
Behinds
108
Kicks
201194
Handballs
158148
Disposals
359342
Frees For
2614
Frees Against
1426
Clearances Completed
4238
Marks
7783
Tackles
5364
Hitouts
3134

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (31 - 32)
  • 03:30, Greene T. (Behind),
  • 04:31, Jones D. (Behind),
  • 06:48, Curnow C. (G),
  • 08:52, Cripps P. (G),
  • 10:39, Curnow C. (Behind),
  • 14:28, Greene T. (G),
  • 17:12, Hollands O. (G),
  • 19:37, Brown C. (G),
  • 21:48, Brown C. (G),
  • 23:26, Fogarty L. (G),
  • 25:52, Riccardi J. (G),
  • 29:29, Curnow C. (G),
  • 32:20, Greene T. (G),
  • 2nd Quarter (11 - 20)
  • 00:25, O'Halloran X. (Behind),
  • 03:07, Hogan J. (G),
  • 05:33, Curnow C. (Behind),
  • 07:33, Cripps P. (Behind),
  • 10:09, White W. (G),
  • 12:35, McKay H. (Behind),
  • 14:35, Hollands O. (Behind),
  • 15:34, Curnow C. (Behind),
  • 20:39, (Behind Rushed),
  • 22:43, Brown C. (G),
  • 26:54, Riccardi J. (G),
  • 3rd Quarter (21 - 25)
  • 02:13, Ward C. (Behind),
  • 03:33, Hogan J. (G),
  • 06:24, Docherty S. (G),
  • 09:16, McGovern M. (Behind),
  • 10:36, White W. (Behind),
  • 15:20, Curnow C. (G),
  • 18:32, Ward C. (G),
  • 23:09, Hogan J. (G),
  • 28:22, Fogarty L. (Behind),
  • 29:55, Motlop J. (G),
  • 31:33, Riccardi J. (G),
  • 4th Quarter (19 - 33)
  • 00:26, Lord C. (G),
  • 03:01, Greene T. (Behind),
  • 04:35, Briggs K. (G),
  • 08:01, (Behind Rushed),
  • 10:42, Cerra A. (Behind),
  • 12:42, Cadman A. (G),
  • 14:49, Cerra A. (G),
  • 15:52, Fogarty L. (G),
  • 17:03, Cadman A. (G),
  • 19:43, Hogan J. (G),
  • 24:11, Greene T. (G),
  • 26:55, Greene T. (Behind),

Chances of winning


Carlton Blues
57.2%
Greater Western Sydney Giants
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.8% 49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4% 52.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carlton Blues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carlton Blues's performance.
  • Greater Western Sydney Giants has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Greater Western Sydney Giants might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlton Blues than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carlton Blues that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greater Western Sydney Giants than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Greater Western Sydney Giants could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Carlton Blues - Greater Western Sydney Giants Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.88)

    2.15
    (1.94)
    7.1%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 170.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
  • What is the prediction for Carlton Blues - Greater Western Sydney Giants?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. GWS (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 86:86.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carlton won 3.
    • Recent performances by Carlton have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • GWS is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Carlton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Carlton has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Carlton won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1476:1756. (average 77.7:92.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Carlton won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 677:756. (average 84.6:94.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carlton Blues - Greater Western Sydney Giants were as follows:
    28.02.2025 Greater Western Sydney Giants - Carlton Blues 66:124
    06.07.2024 Greater Western Sydney Giants - Carlton Blues 116:104
    20.04.2024 Carlton Blues - Greater Western Sydney Giants 117:98
    27.08.2023 Carlton Blues - Greater Western Sydney Giants 73:105
    01.04.2023 Greater Western Sydney Giants - Carlton Blues 64:74
    Latest results of Carlton Blues
    AFL Table
    2025
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Adelaide Crows2217052165:1535141.0468
    2Geelong Cats2216062322:1650140.7364
    3Brisbane Lions2215161972:1725114.3262
    4Collingwood Magpies2215071909:1551123.0860
    5Hawthorn Hawks2215071966:1602122.7260
    6GWS Giants2215072010:1741115.4560
    7Fremantle Dockers2215071866:1718108.6160
    8Western Bulldogs2214082396:1708140.2856
    9Gold Coast Suns2114071953:1611121.2356
    10Sydney Swans22110111727:185193.3044
    11St Kilda Saints2290131746:197388.4936
    12Carlton Blues2280141709:180594.6832
    13Port Adelaide Power2280141634:206978.9832
    14Melbourne Demons2270151826:195693.3528
    15Essendon Bombers2160151421:196672.2824
    16North Melbourne2251161705:225275.7122
    17Richmond Tigers2250171385:209466.1420
    18West Coast Eagles2210211415:232060.994

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