St Kilda Saints vs Carlton Blues: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

09/08/2026 at 05:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Marvel Stadium (Melbourne).

: AFL - Round 22

Match Stats


Goals
8	16
Behinds
14	10
Kicks
176	233
Handballs
155	170
Disposals
331	403
Frees for
10	16
Frees against
16	10
Clearances completed
42	35
Marks
70	115
Tackles
42	60
Hitouts
29	33

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Quarter (8 - 21)
04:14, Owens M. (G),
07:35, Pittonet M. (G),
09:23, Kemp B. (Behind),
13:59, Byrnes R. (Behind),
14:59, Evans F. (G),
18:40, Evans F. (Behind),
20:30, McKay H. (G),
23:21, Cripps P. (Behind),
27:59, Owens M. (Behind),
2nd Quarter (20 - 32)
00:16, Higgins J. (G),
03:31, Pittonet M. (G),
09:02, Higgins J. (Behind),
10:45, Ryan L. (G),
12:22, Ainsworth B. (G),
15:20, McGovern M. (Behind),
20:04, Hewett G. (Behind),
21:24, Hayward W. (G),
24:42, Walsh S. (G),
25:57, (Behind Rushed),
28:45, Hayward W. (G),
30:34, Hall M. (G),
3rd Quarter (11 - 21)
00:54, Wilson D. (Behind),
02:08, O'Connell L. (Behind),
03:17, Sharman C. (Behind),
05:15, McKay H. (G),
07:52, Marshall R. (G),
10:48, McKay H. (G),
16:16, Higgins J. (Behind),
17:36, Hayward W. (Behind),
20:15, Higgins J. (Behind),
21:21, Young L. (Behind),
22:50, Kemp B. (G),
25:20, Young L. (Behind),
4th Quarter (23 - 32)
00:24, McGovern M. (G),
04:41, Hall M. (Behind),
05:34, Owens M. (Behind),
09:41, McGovern M. (G),
11:36, Higgins J. (Behind),
16:13, Cottrell M. (Behind),
17:13, Lake C. (G),
18:55, Kemp B. (Behind),
20:54, Kemp B. (G),
22:22, Owens M. (G),
24:04, Ainsworth B. (G),
25:43, Hall M. (Behind),
27:05, Hall M. (G),
29:33, Byrne T. (G),
31:17, Hall M. (Behind),

Chances of winning

St Kilda Saints
49.8%

Carlton Blues
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St Kilda Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St Kilda Saints's form might have worsened.

Carlton Blues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carlton Blues's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Kilda Saints than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlton Blues than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

St Kilda Saints - Carlton Blues Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.62)		1.87 ↓ (2.3)	7.1% (5.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 174.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

What is the prediction for St Kilda Saints - Carlton Blues?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. St Kilda will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Carlton will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 84:90.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St Kilda won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
St Kilda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
We predict that Carlton will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St Kilda won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1728:1569. (average 86.4:78.5).
Including home matches between the teams, St Kilda won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 726:735. (average 80.7:81.7).

How many head-to-head matches has St Kilda Saints won against Carlton Blues?

St Kilda Saints has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Carlton Blues won against St Kilda Saints?

Carlton Blues has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between St Kilda Saints - Carlton Blues were as follows:

02.05.2026 Carlton Blues - St Kilda Saints 69:108

09.05.2025 St Kilda Saints - Carlton Blues 62:77

25.08.2024 Carlton Blues - St Kilda Saints 74:76

06.08.2023 St Kilda Saints - Carlton Blues 54:73

23.04.2023 Carlton Blues - St Kilda Saints 60:82

Latest results of St Kilda Saints

31.07.2026 St Kilda Saints - Sydney Swans 88:107 ✺

26.07.2026 North Melbourne Kangaroos - St Kilda Saints 62:93 ✺

16.07.2026 Geelong Cats - St Kilda Saints 102:75 ✺

10.07.2026 St Kilda Saints - Port Adelaide Power 87:73 ✺

05.07.2026 Essendon Bombers - St Kilda Saints 50:117 ✺

Latest results of Carlton Blues

01.08.2026 Carlton Blues - Brisbane Lions 154:78 ✺

24.07.2026 Carlton Blues - Gold Coast Suns 110:97 ✺

18.07.2026 Collingwood Magpies - Carlton Blues 90:69 ✺

11.07.2026 Carlton Blues - Hawthorn Hawks 39:103 ✺

04.07.2026 Richmond Tigers - Carlton Blues 72:74 ✺

AFL Table

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
1	Fremantle Dockers	22	19	0	3	2204:1547	142.47	76
2	Sydney Swans	22	17	0	5	2420:1799	134.52	68
3	Brisbane Lions	22	15	0	7	2340:1958	119.51	60
4	Hawthorn Hawks	22	14	2	6	2153:1836	117.27	60
5	Melbourne Demons	22	15	0	7	2214:1991	111.20	60
6	Geelong Cats	22	14	0	8	2222:1849	120.17	56
7	Adelaide Crows	22	14	0	8	2012:1748	115.10	56
8	Collingwood Magpies	22	12	2	8	1925:1815	106.06	52
9	Western Bulldogs	22	12	1	9	1793:1905	94.12	50
10	Carlton Blues	22	11	1	10	1888:1896	99.58	46
11	St Kilda Saints	22	10	0	12	1950:1871	104.22	40
12	GWS Giants	22	10	0	12	1972:1938	101.75	40
13	North Melbourne	22	9	0	13	1862:2052	90.74	36
14	Gold Coast Suns	22	8	0	14	1908:2048	93.16	32
15	Port Adelaide Power	22	6	0	16	1699:1953	86.99	24
16	West Coast Eagles	22	4	0	18	1570:2226	70.53	16
17	Richmond Tigers	22	3	0	19	1407:2240	62.81	12
18	Essendon Bombers	22	2	0	20	1506:2373	63.46	8

Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

Which TV channels are streaming of St Kilda Saints - Carlton Blues?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
Australia	AFL TV, Fox Footy
Canada	fubo Sports Network
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 4