Carlton Blues vs Geelong Cats: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Aussie rules AFL Carlton Blues - Geelong Cats
Result
88:84
29/05/2026 at 05:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AFL - Round 12
Carlton Blues - Geelong Cats - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Goals
1212
Behinds
1612
Kicks
221207
Handballs
171151
Disposals
392358
Frees for
2218
Frees against
1822
Clearances completed
4330
Marks
94105
Tackles
6663
Hitouts
2843

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (9 - 28)
  • 00:50, (Behind Rushed),
  • 03:55, Florent O. (Behind),
  • 06:48, Cameron J. (Behind),
  • 08:12, Hayward W. (G),
  • 11:15, Mannagh S. (Behind),
  • 14:25, Dempsey O. (G),
  • 17:44, Henry J. (G),
  • 19:48, Cameron J. (G),
  • 21:27, Ainsworth B. (Behind),
  • 22:12, (Behind Rushed),
  • 24:43, Dempsey O. (G),
  • 27:27, Walsh S. (Behind),
  • 2nd Quarter (30 - 16)
  • 01:08, Henry O. (Behind),
  • 02:33, McGovern M. (Behind),
  • 03:10, Young F. (G),
  • 04:56, Ison J. (G),
  • 06:44, Cameron J. (G),
  • 07:55, (Behind Rushed),
  • 09:56, Cameron J. (Behind),
  • 10:50, (Behind Rushed),
  • 11:44, Henry O. (G),
  • 14:17, Acres B. (Behind),
  • 14:51, Walsh S. (Behind),
  • 15:45, Young F. (G),
  • 17:58, Young F. (Behind),
  • 21:15, McKay H. (Behind),
  • 24:26, Neale S. (Behind),
  • 27:24, Cerra A. (G),
  • 3rd Quarter (26 - 20)
  • 01:59, Hewett G. (G),
  • 04:19, Ainsworth B. (Behind),
  • 06:14, Henry O. (G),
  • 08:12, McGovern M. (Behind),
  • 09:50, Cameron J. (Behind),
  • 11:54, Mannagh S. (G),
  • 13:14, Byrne T. (G),
  • 15:05, Kemp B. (G),
  • 16:16, Hayward W. (G),
  • 17:49, Henry J. (Behind),
  • 24:54, Cameron J. (G),
  • 4th Quarter (23 - 20)
  • 01:39, Holmes M. (Behind),
  • 03:59, Hayward W. (G),
  • 05:42, Dangerfield P. (G),
  • 07:22, Kemp B. (G),
  • 09:02, Hewett G. (Behind),
  • 10:21, Hayward W. (Behind),
  • 11:14, Cameron J. (G),
  • 12:41, (Behind Rushed),
  • 19:58, Walsh S. (Behind),
  • 21:39, Close B. (Behind),
  • 23:47, McKay H. (Behind),
  • 27:57, Henry J. (G),
  • 30:30, Cripps P. (G),

Chances of winning


Carlton Blues
24.7%
Geelong Cats
75.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.5% 73.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8% 71.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carlton Blues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Geelong Cats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlton Blues than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Geelong Cats than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • Carlton Blues - Geelong Cats Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.58
    (3.6)

    1.25
    (1.3)
    8.3%
    (4.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 176.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-26)
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carlton won 3.
    • In recent matches, Carlton has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Geelong is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Geelong may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Geelong is the team to beat.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Carlton won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1309:1552. (average 77:91.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Carlton won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 751:789. (average 75.1:78.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carlton Blues - Geelong Cats were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Carlton Blues - Geelong Cats 94:76
    21.06.2024 Carlton Blues - Geelong Cats 138:75
    27.04.2024 Geelong Cats - Carlton Blues 118:105
    23.03.2023 Carlton Blues - Geelong Cats 90:82
    Latest results of Carlton Blues
    Latest results of Geelong Cats
    AFL Table
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Fremantle Dockers2219032204:1547142.4776
    2Sydney Swans2217052420:1799134.5268
    3Brisbane Lions2215072340:1958119.5160
    4Hawthorn Hawks2214262153:1836117.2760
    5Melbourne Demons2215072214:1991111.2060
    6Geelong Cats2214082222:1849120.1756
    7Adelaide Crows2214082012:1748115.1056
    8Collingwood Magpies2212281925:1815106.0652
    9Western Bulldogs2212191793:190594.1250
    10Carlton Blues22111101888:189699.5846
    11St Kilda Saints22100121950:1871104.2240
    12GWS Giants22100121972:1938101.7540
    13North Melbourne2290131862:205290.7436
    14Gold Coast Suns2280141908:204893.1632
    15Port Adelaide Power2260161699:195386.9924
    16West Coast Eagles2240181570:222670.5316
    17Richmond Tigers2230191407:224062.8112
    18Essendon Bombers2220201506:237363.468

          Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

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