Fiorentina vs Genoa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie A Fiorentina - Genoa
Result
2:1
02/02/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie A - Round 23
  • Referee: Collu G. (Ita)
Fiorentina - Genoa - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.641.30
Ball Possession
40%60%
Goal Attempts
717
Shots on Goal
63
Shots off Goal
011
Blocked Shots
13
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
18
Shots inside the Box
611
Shots outside the Box
16
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
24
Free Kicks
1417
Offsides
30
Fouls
1714
Yellow Cards
31
Throw-ins
1824
Touches in the Opposition Box
1232
Passes
75% (223/298)79% (331/421)
Passes in the final third
72% (53/74)65% (75/116)
Crosses
14% (1/7)35% (12/34)
Tackles
53% (9/17)40% (4/10)
Clearances Total
376
Interceptions
62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Kean M. , Mandragora R. (A),
  • 17', Beltran L. 🟨,
  • 30', 2 - 0, Gudmundsson A. , Gosens R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Cornet M. , Vitinha ,
  • 48', Folorunsho M. 🟨,
  • 55', 2 - 1, De Winter K. , Martin A. (A),
  • 56', Richardson A. , Comuzzo P. ,
  • 66', Miretti F. , Messias J. ,
  • 66', Thorsby M. , Ekuban C. ,
  • 71', Beltran L. , Parisi F. ,
  • 74', Comuzzo P. 🟨,
  • 79', De Winter K. 🟨,
  • 82', Sabelli S. , Ekhator J. ,
  • 82', Masini P. , Badelj M. ,
  • 83', Kean M. , Kouame C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fiorentina
50.2%
Draw
27.5%
Genoa
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.3% 23.9% 16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3% 23.1% 17.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fiorentina's form might have worsened.
  • Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Genoa's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fiorentina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • Fiorentina - Genoa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.61)
    3.47
    (3.99)
    4.31
    (5.64)
    4.5%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Genoa?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 7 and 12).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 4.
    • Recent matches Fiorentina is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Genoa is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Fiorentina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Fiorentina is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Adli Y. (Red Card) Bove E. (Heart Problems) Cataldi D. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Genoa: Malinovsky R. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fiorentina: Mari P. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Genoa: Bani M. (Thigh Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 6 matches, drawn 12 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 28:17 (average 1.4:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Fiorentina won 2 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15:8 (average 1.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Genoa were as follows:
    31.10.2024 Genoa - Fiorentina 0:1
    15.04.2024 Fiorentina - Genoa 1:1
    19.08.2023 Genoa - Fiorentina 1:4
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    26.01.2025 Lazio - Fiorentina 1:2
    19.01.2025 Fiorentina - Torino 1:1
    13.01.2025 Monza - Fiorentina 2:1
    04.01.2025 Fiorentina - Napoli 0:3
    29.12.2024 Juventus - Fiorentina 2:2
    Latest results of Genoa
    27.01.2025 Genoa - Monza 2:0
    17.01.2025 Roma - Genoa 3:1
    12.01.2025 Genoa - Parma 1:0
    05.01.2025 Lecce - Genoa 0:0
    28.12.2024 Empoli - Genoa 1:2
    Italian Serie A Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Napoli ✔ 36239457:273078
    2Inter ✔ 36238575:334277
    3Atalanta ✔ 36218773:324171
    4Juventus361616453:332064
    5Lazio361810859:461364
    6AS Roma36189951:341763
    7Bologna361614654:411362
    8AC Milan361791058:401860
    9Fiorentina361781154:371759
    10Como361391448:49-148
    11Torino3610141239:42-344
    12Udinese361281639:51-1244
    13Genoa369131432:45-1340
    14Cagliari36891937:54-1733
    15Verona36962131:64-3333
    16Parma366141641:56-1532
    17Venezia365141730:50-2029
    18Lecce366102025:58-3328
    19Empoli365131829:56-2728
    20Monza ✔ 36392427:64-3718

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Napoli is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Inter is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Atalanta is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Monza is Relegated to Serie B
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