Geelong Cats vs Western Bulldogs: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Aussie rules AFL Geelong Cats - Western Bulldogs
Result
127:113
22/05/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AFL - Round 11
Geelong Cats - Western Bulldogs - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Goals
2016
Behinds
717
Kicks
248191
Handballs
108155
Disposals
356346
Frees For
2612
Frees Against
1226
Clearances Completed
4251
Marks
10775
Tackles
7877
Hitouts
5053

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (31 - 34)
  • 01:41, Cameron J. (G),
  • 04:41, Richards E. (G),
  • 06:12, Naughton A. (Behind),
  • 08:47, Blicavs M. (G),
  • 10:40, Johannisen J. (Behind),
  • 15:48, Mannagh S. (G),
  • 17:29, West R. (G),
  • 19:45, (Behind Rushed),
  • 21:53, Stengle T. (G),
  • 23:15, Harmes J. (Behind),
  • 25:12, Davidson S. (G),
  • 26:32, Neale S. (G),
  • 29:16, Vandermeer L. (G),
  • 31:21, (Behind Rushed),
  • 32:32, Naughton A. (G),
  • 2nd Quarter (39 - 11)
  • 01:40, Cameron J. (G),
  • 03:04, Mannagh S. (Behind),
  • 04:05, Cameron J. (G),
  • 07:45, Henry O. (G),
  • 09:37, Cleary L. (Behind),
  • 10:54, Cameron J. (G),
  • 13:16, (Behind Rushed),
  • 14:34, Mullin O. (Behind),
  • 17:16, Freijah J. (Behind),
  • 19:28, Dempsey O. (Behind),
  • 23:13, Atkins T. (G),
  • 29:21, Neale S. (G),
  • 31:40, Bontempelli M. (Behind),
  • 32:23, West R. (Behind),
  • 33:06, Naughton A. (G),
  • 3rd Quarter (31 - 46)
  • 01:01, Khamis B. (G),
  • 05:01, Mannagh S. (G),
  • 06:23, Liberatore T. (Behind),
  • 07:41, English T. (G),
  • 09:37, Cameron J. (G),
  • 12:40, Khamis B. (G),
  • 16:03, Neale S. (G),
  • 17:54, Holmes M. (G),
  • 23:19, Kennedy M. (G),
  • 25:15, Khamis B. (Behind),
  • 28:13, Dempsey O. (Behind),
  • 28:50, Kennedy M. (G),
  • 30:09, Vandermeer L. (Behind),
  • 30:51, Liberatore T. (Behind),
  • 33:21, Cameron J. (G),
  • 34:43, Freijah J. (G),
  • 36:02, Vandermeer L. (G),
  • 4th Quarter (26 - 22)
  • 01:16, Richards E. (G),
  • 03:55, McNeil L. (Behind),
  • 09:26, Johannisen J. (Behind),
  • 11:13, Dempsey O. (G),
  • 13:52, McNeil L. (Behind),
  • 18:29, Naughton A. (G),
  • 19:42, Harmes J. (Behind),
  • 21:48, Neale S. (G),
  • 26:17, Neale S. (G),
  • 29:50, (Behind Rushed),
  • 30:44, Dempsey O. (Behind),
  • 31:37, Stengle T. (G),
  • 32:58, Kennedy M. (G),

Chances of winning


Geelong Cats
52.4%
Western Bulldogs
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.7% 41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5% 46.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Geelong Cats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Geelong Cats's form might have worsened.
  • Western Bulldogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Western Bulldogs's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Geelong Cats than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Bulldogs than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Geelong Cats - Western Bulldogs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.62)

    1.94
    (2.3)
    7.7%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 176.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 3.
    • Recent performances by Geelong have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Western is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1602:1384. (average 84.3:72.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Geelong won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 892:784. (average 89.2:78.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Geelong Cats - Western Bulldogs were as follows:
    20.07.2024 Geelong Cats - Western Bulldogs 48:95
    06.04.2024 Western Bulldogs - Geelong Cats 91:95
    26.08.2023 Geelong Cats - Western Bulldogs 79:104
    03.06.2023 Western Bulldogs - Geelong Cats 75:97
    Latest results of Geelong Cats
    Latest results of Western Bulldogs
    AFL Table
    2025
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Collingwood Magpies1915041742:1290135.0460
    2Adelaide Crows1914051918:1314145.9756
    3Brisbane Lions1913151689:1524110.8354
    4Geelong Cats1913061949:1452134.2352
    5Hawthorn Hawks1913061677:1399119.8752
    6GWS Giants1913061722:1454118.4352
    7Fremantle Dockers1913061636:1464111.7552
    8Gold Coast Suns1812061677:1403119.5348
    9Western Bulldogs1911082033:1533132.6244
    10Sydney Swans1990101499:159693.9236
    11Port Adelaide Power1980111419:170683.1832
    12Carlton Blues1970121450:155493.3128
    13Melbourne Demons1960131532:170389.9624
    14St Kilda Saints1960131535:177786.3824
    15Essendon Bombers1860121227:171271.6724
    16Richmond Tigers1950141223:179668.1020
    17North Melbourne1941141422:195472.7718
    18West Coast Eagles1910181249:196863.474

          Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

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