Geelong Cats vs Western Bulldogs: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

22/05/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

GMHBA Stadium (Geelong).

: AFL - Round 11

Match Stats


Goals
20	16
Behinds
7	17
Kicks
248	191
Handballs
108	155
Disposals
356	346
Frees For
26	12
Frees Against
12	26
Clearances Completed
42	51
Marks
107	75
Tackles
78	77
Hitouts
50	53

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Quarter (31 - 34)
01:41, Cameron J. (G),
04:41, Richards E. (G),
06:12, Naughton A. (Behind),
08:47, Blicavs M. (G),
10:40, Johannisen J. (Behind),
15:48, Mannagh S. (G),
17:29, West R. (G),
19:45, (Behind Rushed),
21:53, Stengle T. (G),
23:15, Harmes J. (Behind),
25:12, Davidson S. (G),
26:32, Neale S. (G),
29:16, Vandermeer L. (G),
31:21, (Behind Rushed),
32:32, Naughton A. (G),
2nd Quarter (39 - 11)
01:40, Cameron J. (G),
03:04, Mannagh S. (Behind),
04:05, Cameron J. (G),
07:45, Henry O. (G),
09:37, Cleary L. (Behind),
10:54, Cameron J. (G),
13:16, (Behind Rushed),
14:34, Mullin O. (Behind),
17:16, Freijah J. (Behind),
19:28, Dempsey O. (Behind),
23:13, Atkins T. (G),
29:21, Neale S. (G),
31:40, Bontempelli M. (Behind),
32:23, West R. (Behind),
33:06, Naughton A. (G),
3rd Quarter (31 - 46)
01:01, Khamis B. (G),
05:01, Mannagh S. (G),
06:23, Liberatore T. (Behind),
07:41, English T. (G),
09:37, Cameron J. (G),
12:40, Khamis B. (G),
16:03, Neale S. (G),
17:54, Holmes M. (G),
23:19, Kennedy M. (G),
25:15, Khamis B. (Behind),
28:13, Dempsey O. (Behind),
28:50, Kennedy M. (G),
30:09, Vandermeer L. (Behind),
30:51, Liberatore T. (Behind),
33:21, Cameron J. (G),
34:43, Freijah J. (G),
36:02, Vandermeer L. (G),
4th Quarter (26 - 22)
01:16, Richards E. (G),
03:55, McNeil L. (Behind),
09:26, Johannisen J. (Behind),
11:13, Dempsey O. (G),
13:52, McNeil L. (Behind),
18:29, Naughton A. (G),
19:42, Harmes J. (Behind),
21:48, Neale S. (G),
26:17, Neale S. (G),
29:50, (Behind Rushed),
30:44, Dempsey O. (Behind),
31:37, Stengle T. (G),
32:58, Kennedy M. (G),

Chances of winning

Geelong Cats
52.4%

Western Bulldogs
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Geelong Cats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Geelong Cats's form might have worsened.

Western Bulldogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Western Bulldogs's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Geelong Cats than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Bulldogs than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Geelong Cats - Western Bulldogs Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.62)		1.94 ↓ (2.3)	7.7% (5.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 176.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

Preview Facts

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 3.
Recent performances by Geelong have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Western is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1602:1384. (average 84.3:72.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Geelong won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 892:784. (average 89.2:78.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Geelong Cats won against Western Bulldogs?

Geelong Cats has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Western Bulldogs won against Geelong Cats?

Western Bulldogs has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Geelong Cats - Western Bulldogs were as follows:

20.07.2024 Geelong Cats - Western Bulldogs 48:95

06.04.2024 Western Bulldogs - Geelong Cats 91:95

26.08.2023 Geelong Cats - Western Bulldogs 79:104

03.06.2023 Western Bulldogs - Geelong Cats 75:97

Latest results of Geelong Cats

17.05.2025 Port Adelaide Power - Geelong Cats 39:115 ✺

11.05.2025 Geelong Cats - Greater Western Sydney Giants 101:105 ✺

03.05.2025 Collingwood Magpies - Geelong Cats 87:90 ✺

27.04.2025 Carlton Blues - Geelong Cats 94:76 ✺

21.04.2025 Geelong Cats - Hawthorn Hawks 86:79 ✺

Latest results of Western Bulldogs

17.05.2025 Western Bulldogs - Essendon Bombers 127:36 ✺

10.05.2025 Gold Coast Suns - Western Bulldogs 106:96 ✺

02.05.2025 Western Bulldogs - Port Adelaide Power 131:41 ✺

26.04.2025 Greater Western Sydney Giants - Western Bulldogs 81:113 ✺

20.04.2025 Western Bulldogs - St Kilda Saints 127:56 ✺

AFL Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
1	Collingwood Magpies	15	13	0	2	1393:1026	135.77	52
2	Brisbane Lions	15	10	1	4	1316:1160	113.45	42
3	Adelaide Crows	15	10	0	5	1479:1058	139.79	40
4	Geelong Cats	15	10	0	5	1477:1158	127.55	40
5	Hawthorn Hawks	15	10	0	5	1347:1138	118.37	40
6	Fremantle Dockers	15	10	0	5	1271:1151	110.43	40
7	Western Bulldogs	15	9	0	6	1582:1203	131.50	36
8	Gold Coast Suns	14	9	0	5	1317:1095	120.27	36
9	GWS Giants	15	9	0	6	1294:1203	107.56	36
10	Port Adelaide Power	15	7	0	8	1156:1305	88.58	28
11	Carlton Blues	15	6	0	9	1186:1181	100.42	24
12	Sydney Swans	15	6	0	9	1171:1271	92.13	24
13	Essendon Bombers	14	6	0	8	1010:1304	77.45	24
14	Melbourne Demons	15	5	0	10	1176:1356	86.73	20
15	St Kilda Saints	15	5	0	10	1196:1388	86.17	20
16	North Melbourne	15	4	1	10	1152:1467	78.53	18
17	Richmond Tigers	15	3	0	12	963:1486	64.80	12
18	West Coast Eagles	15	1	0	14	1003:1539	65.17	4

Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Geelong Cats - Western Bulldogs?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 1
Australia	AFL, Fox Footy, Seven Network
New-zealand	Sky Sport 2
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 2