Geelong Cats vs Collingwood Magpies: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
122:68
09/05/2026 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AFL - Round 9
Geelong Cats - Collingwood Magpies - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Goals
189
Behinds
1414
Kicks
235222
Handballs
192191
Disposals
427413
Frees for
1115
Frees against
1511
Clearances completed
3535
Marks
118101
Tackles
4559
Hitouts
2637

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (33 - 22)
  • 01:37, Neale S. (Behind),
  • 02:58, Neale S. (G),
  • 04:43, Crisp J. (Behind),
  • 06:15, McStay D. (G),
  • 09:18, Martin J. (G),
  • 11:14, McStay D. (Behind),
  • 11:52, Daicos J. (G),
  • 14:07, (Behind Rushed),
  • 15:59, Henry O. (G),
  • 19:26, Close B. (G),
  • 21:19, Henry O. (Behind),
  • 22:01, Henry O. (G),
  • 23:42, Buller J. (G),
  • 27:07, Schultz L. (Behind),
  • 28:15, Daicos N. (Behind),
  • 2nd Quarter (15 - 16)
  • 00:17, (Behind Rushed),
  • 01:23, (Behind Rushed),
  • 05:28, Close B. (G),
  • 08:28, McStay D. (G),
  • 10:15, Elliott J. (Behind),
  • 12:24, (Behind Rushed),
  • 16:19, Buller J. (Behind),
  • 19:44, Pendlebury S. (G),
  • 21:11, Martin J. (G),
  • 23:23, Martin J. (Behind),
  • 26:13, (Behind Rushed),
  • 3rd Quarter (28 - 6)
  • 00:12, Dempsey O. (G),
  • 01:25, De Goey J. (Behind),
  • 03:03, (Behind Rushed),
  • 07:02, Cameron J. (G),
  • 08:04, Mannagh S. (G),
  • 09:16, McCreery B. (Behind),
  • 15:00, Anderson A. (Behind),
  • 18:45, Henry O. (G),
  • 20:52, Cameron J. (Behind),
  • 21:29, Smith B. (Behind),
  • 22:16, Elliott J. (Behind),
  • 23:16, Stewart T. (Behind),
  • 28:02, (Behind Rushed),
  • 29:26, Long N. (Behind),
  • 4th Quarter (46 - 24)
  • 00:22, Mannagh S. (G),
  • 02:02, Dangerfield P. (G),
  • 04:19, (Behind Rushed),
  • 08:07, Bowes J. (Behind),
  • 09:43, Neale S. (G),
  • 11:30, Schultz L. (G),
  • 12:47, Anderson A. (G),
  • 14:13, Mannagh S. (G),
  • 16:33, Dangerfield P. (G),
  • 19:50, Cameron J. (Behind),
  • 21:10, Buller J. (G),
  • 23:03, Henry O. (Behind),
  • 28:44, McStay D. (G),
  • 30:20, Henry O. (G),
  • 32:29, Bowes J. (G),

Chances of winning


Geelong Cats
64.9%
Collingwood Magpies
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.3% 39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56% 44%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Geelong Cats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Collingwood Magpies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Geelong Cats than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Geelong Cats that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Collingwood Magpies than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Collingwood Magpies could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Geelong Cats - Collingwood Magpies Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.58)

    2.55
    (2.4)
    8.2%
    (5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 176.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-13)
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Collingwood may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Geelong might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1648:1614. (average 82.4:80.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Geelong won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 630:695. (average 78.8:86.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Geelong Cats - Collingwood Magpies were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Collingwood Magpies - Geelong Cats 87:90
    12.07.2024 Collingwood Magpies - Geelong Cats 71:91
    11.08.2023 Collingwood Magpies - Geelong Cats 109:101
    17.03.2023 Geelong Cats - Collingwood Magpies 103:125
    03.09.2022 Geelong Cats - Collingwood Magpies 78:72
    Latest results of Geelong Cats
    Latest results of Collingwood Magpies
    AFL Table
    2026
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Sydney Swans109011131:743152.2236
    2Fremantle Dockers10901950:704134.9436
    3Geelong Cats107031030:834123.5028
    4Gold Coast Suns10703993:828119.9328
    5Melbourne Demons107031030:957107.6328
    6Hawthorn Hawks10613983:892110.2026
    7Brisbane Lions106041038:890116.6324
    8Adelaide Crows10604916:835109.7024
    9St Kilda Saints10505934:828112.8020
    10Western Bulldogs10505856:93391.7520
    11Collingwood Magpies10415809:81699.1418
    12North Melbourne10406926:95896.6616
    13GWS Giants10406842:93490.1516
    14Port Adelaide Power10307848:806105.2112
    15West Coast Eagles10307712:110964.2012
    16Carlton Blues10208797:97481.838
    17Essendon Bombers10109799:113270.584
    18Richmond Tigers10109657:107860.954

          Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

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