Collingwood Magpies vs Geelong Cats: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Aussie rules AFL Collingwood Magpies - Geelong Cats
Result
87:90
03/05/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AFL - Round 8
Collingwood Magpies - Geelong Cats - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Goals
1213
Behinds
1512
Kicks
217197
Handballs
134137
Disposals
351334
Frees For
1421
Frees Against
2114
Clearances Completed
3735
Marks
10878
Tackles
6356
Hitouts
5033

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (29 - 26)
  • 01:15, Neale S. (G),
  • 06:27, Cameron D. (Behind),
  • 07:48, (Behind Rushed),
  • 09:01, Blicavs M. (G),
  • 10:33, Smith B. (G),
  • 13:26, Elliott J. (Behind),
  • 15:07, Hill B. (G),
  • 17:40, Membrey T. (Behind),
  • 18:50, Dempsey O. (G),
  • 20:29, Cox M. (G),
  • 22:34, Cameron D. (G),
  • 25:41, Mihocek B. (G),
  • 28:30, Mihocek B. (Behind),
  • 29:51, (Behind Rushed),
  • 33:34, Cameron J. (Behind),
  • 2nd Quarter (20 - 16)
  • 00:41, Mannagh S. (Behind),
  • 02:13, Houston D. (G),
  • 05:17, Elliott J. (G),
  • 07:06, (Behind Rushed),
  • 08:39, Daicos N. (Behind),
  • 10:19, (Behind Rushed),
  • 13:15, Henry O. (G),
  • 15:03, Schultz L. (Behind),
  • 18:28, Wiltshire O. (Behind),
  • 22:22, Daicos N. (G),
  • 23:39, Mannagh S. (G),
  • 3rd Quarter (21 - 21)
  • 01:51, (Behind Rushed),
  • 05:24, Mihocek B. (G),
  • 07:13, Mannagh S. (Behind),
  • 08:45, Pendlebury S. (G),
  • 10:56, Mihocek B. (Behind),
  • 16:22, Stengle T. (Behind),
  • 17:49, Dangerfield P. (Behind),
  • 20:27, Cameron J. (G),
  • 21:53, (Behind Rushed),
  • 23:25, Wiltshire O. (G),
  • 25:40, Membrey T. (G),
  • 27:21, Mannagh S. (G),
  • 4th Quarter (17 - 27)
  • 01:46, Neale S. (Behind),
  • 05:34, Dangerfield P. (Behind),
  • 07:31, Henry O. (G),
  • 11:06, Sidebottom S. (Behind),
  • 13:40, Mihocek B. (Behind),
  • 21:00, Dempsey O. (G),
  • 22:50, Dangerfield P. (G),
  • 24:11, Schultz L. (Behind),
  • 24:50, (Behind Rushed),
  • 27:03, Bowes J. (G),
  • 30:45, Schultz L. (Behind),
  • 32:04, Mihocek B. (G),
  • 35:31, Mihocek B. (G),
  • 37:33, Crisp J. (Behind),

Chances of winning


Collingwood Magpies
65.3%
Geelong Cats
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.7% 45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 52.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Collingwood Magpies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Collingwood Magpies's performance.
  • Geelong Cats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Geelong Cats might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Collingwood Magpies than the current prediction. (-17.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Collingwood Magpies that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Geelong Cats than the current prediction. (+17.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Geelong Cats could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Collingwood Magpies - Geelong Cats Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.74)

    2.64
    (2.1)
    7.3%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 172.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-15)
  • What is the prediction for Collingwood Magpies - Geelong Cats?
  • Users Predictions: Collingwood Magpies will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 94:79.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Collingwood won 2.
    • Collingwood is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Geelong's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Geelong may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Collingwood could have a small edge in this match.
    • We predict that Collingwood will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Collingwood won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1527:1558. (average 76.4:77.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Collingwood won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 832:928. (average 75.6:84.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Collingwood Magpies - Geelong Cats were as follows:
    12.07.2024 Collingwood Magpies - Geelong Cats 71:91
    11.08.2023 Collingwood Magpies - Geelong Cats 109:101
    17.03.2023 Geelong Cats - Collingwood Magpies 103:125
    03.09.2022 Geelong Cats - Collingwood Magpies 78:72
    Latest results of Collingwood Magpies
    Latest results of Geelong Cats
    AFL Table
    2025
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Collingwood Magpies1915041742:1290135.0460
    2Adelaide Crows1914051918:1314145.9756
    3Brisbane Lions1913151689:1524110.8354
    4Geelong Cats1913061949:1452134.2352
    5Hawthorn Hawks1913061677:1399119.8752
    6GWS Giants1913061722:1454118.4352
    7Fremantle Dockers1913061636:1464111.7552
    8Gold Coast Suns1812061677:1403119.5348
    9Western Bulldogs1911082033:1533132.6244
    10Sydney Swans1990101499:159693.9236
    11Port Adelaide Power1980111419:170683.1832
    12Carlton Blues1970121450:155493.3128
    13Melbourne Demons1960131532:170389.9624
    14St Kilda Saints1960131535:177786.3824
    15Essendon Bombers1860121227:171271.6724
    16Richmond Tigers1950141223:179668.1020
    17North Melbourne1941141422:195472.7718
    18West Coast Eagles1910181249:196863.474

          Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Collingwood Magpies - Geelong Cats?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaSupeSport ESPN 1
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