Geelong Cats vs Brisbane Lions: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Aussie rules AFL Geelong Cats - Brisbane Lions
Result
112:74
05/09/2025 at 05:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AFL - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
Geelong Cats - Brisbane Lions - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Goals
1611
Behinds
168
Kicks
225215
Handballs
111161
Disposals
336376
Frees For
1919
Frees Against
1919
Clearances Completed
3837
Marks
10090
Tackles
8064
Hitouts
4059

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (30 - 18)
  • 01:38, Cameron C. (G),
  • 04:15, Cameron J. (Behind),
  • 05:05, Cameron J. (G),
  • 06:53, Dempsey O. (G),
  • 09:03, (Behind Rushed),
  • 11:29, Cameron J. (G),
  • 12:40, Cameron J. (Behind),
  • 15:23, Fletcher J. (G),
  • 18:11, Henry J. (Behind),
  • 19:42, Lohmann K. (G),
  • 23:25, (Behind Rushed),
  • 24:44, Mullin O. (G),
  • 26:35, Cameron J. (Behind),
  • 2nd Quarter (29 - 26)
  • 00:44, Lohmann K. (G),
  • 02:08, (Behind Rushed),
  • 04:24, Close B. (Behind),
  • 05:31, (Behind Rushed),
  • 07:29, Berry J. (G),
  • 08:46, Holmes M. (Behind),
  • 09:45, (Behind Rushed),
  • 14:17, (Behind Rushed),
  • 19:06, Dunkley J. (Behind),
  • 22:16, De Koning S. (G),
  • 24:17, Bowes J. (G),
  • 25:55, Dempsey O. (G),
  • 27:27, Stewart T. (G),
  • 29:14, Rayner C. (G),
  • 30:15, Rayner C. (G),
  • 3rd Quarter (31 - 15)
  • 00:52, (Behind Rushed),
  • 04:26, Blicavs M. (G),
  • 06:22, Rayner C. (G),
  • 14:00, Smith B. (G),
  • 18:13, Holmes M. (G),
  • 19:46, (Behind Rushed),
  • 20:38, Rayner C. (Behind),
  • 22:33, Bailey Z. (Behind),
  • 24:32, Morris L. (G),
  • 28:10, Martin J. (G),
  • 29:39, Dempsey O. (G),
  • 4th Quarter (22 - 15)
  • 04:26, Neale S. (G),
  • 08:09, Neale S. (Behind),
  • 10:27, Mannagh S. (Behind),
  • 13:46, Lohmann K. (Behind),
  • 14:16, Bailey Z. (G),
  • 17:46, Dunkley J. (G),
  • 19:58, Zorko D. (Behind),
  • 21:09, Rayner C. (Behind),
  • 23:11, (Behind Rushed),
  • 24:04, Atkins T. (G),
  • 28:52, Close B. (G),
  • 30:21, Stengle T. (Behind),

Chances of winning


Geelong Cats
56.4%
Brisbane Lions
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.3% 43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5% 44.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Geelong Cats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Brisbane Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Geelong Cats than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Lions than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Geelong Cats - Brisbane Lions Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.67)

    2.13
    (2.15)
    8.5%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 168.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
  • What is the prediction for Geelong Cats - Brisbane Lions?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Brisbane (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Geelong Cats will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 87:81.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 1.
    • Geelong is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Brisbane has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • We predict that Geelong will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 1711:1324. (average 85.6:66.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Geelong won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 991:704. (average 99.1:70.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Geelong Cats - Brisbane Lions were as follows:
    20.06.2025 Geelong Cats - Brisbane Lions 51:92
    29.03.2025 Brisbane Lions - Geelong Cats 70:61
    21.09.2024 Geelong Cats - Brisbane Lions 85:95
    20.04.2024 Brisbane Lions - Geelong Cats 37:63
    22.07.2023 Brisbane Lions - Geelong Cats 64:53
    Latest results of Geelong Cats
    Latest results of Brisbane Lions
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Adelaide Crows (1)Collingwood Magpies (4)55 : 79
    4GWS Giants (5)Hawthorn Hawks (8)88 : 107
    5Geelong Cats (2)Brisbane Lions (3)112 : 74
    8Fremantle Dockers (6)Gold Coast Suns (7)79 : 80

    Quarter-finals
    1Collingwood Magpies (4)Bye
    2Adelaide Crows (1)Hawthorn Hawks (8)67 : 101
    3Geelong Cats (2)Bye
    4Brisbane Lions (3)Gold Coast Suns (7)

    Semi-finals
    1Collingwood Magpies (4)TBD #2
    2Geelong Cats (2)TBD #4
    Which TV channels are streaming of Geelong Cats - Brisbane Lions?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustraliaFox Footy
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+, TNT Sports 3
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