St. Pauli vs Freiburg: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer German Bundesliga St. Pauli - Freiburg
Result
0:1
15/02/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 22
  • Referee: Brand B. (Ger)
St. Pauli - Freiburg - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet St. Pauli - Freiburg live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.151.21
Ball Possession
53%47%
Goal Attempts
56
Shots on Goal
14
Shots off Goal
42
Blocked Shots
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
26
Shots inside the Box
32
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
Free Kicks
1010
Offsides
05
Fouls
1010
Throw-ins
2417
Touches in the Opposition Box
1311
Passes
82% (425/519)80% (355/446)
Passes in the final third
59% (61/103)53% (54/101)
Crosses
22% (4/18)7% (1/14)
Tackles
54% (7/13)53% (8/15)
Clearances Total
3421
Interceptions
68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45+1', Grifo V. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 62', Saad E. , Afolayan O. ,
  • 63', Nemeth D. 🟨,
  • 75', Grifo V. , Beste J. ,
  • 75', Rohl M. , Dinkci E. ,
  • 82', Weisshaupt N. , Banks S. ,
  • 82', Van Der Heyden S. , Ritzka L. ,
  • 89', 0 - 1, Treu P. (Own goal),
  • 90', Nemeth D. , Ceesay A. ,
  • 90+1', Eggestein J. , Albers A. ,
  • 90+1', Doan R. , Rosenfelder M. ,

Chances of winning


St. Pauli 40.1%Draw 30.2%Freiburg 29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
St. Pauli 41.8%Draw 28.3%Freiburg 29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

St. Pauli 41.4%Draw 28.6%Freiburg 30.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • St. Pauli - Freiburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (2.29)
    3.2
    (3.38)
    3.26
    (3.21)
    3.2%
    (4.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for St. Pauli - Freiburg?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches St. Pauli won 2.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in St. Pauli: Ahlers S. (Knee Injury) Burchert S. (Groin Injury) Guilavogui M. (Ankle Injury) Metcalfe C. (Leg Injury) Saliakas M. (Thigh Injury) Wagner R. (Thigh Injury) Zoller S. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Freiburg: Gulde M. (Back Injury) Kyereh D. (Knee Injury) Muslija F. (Ankle Injury) Ogbus B. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in St. Pauli: Mets K. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Freiburg: Kubler L. (Illness)
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches St. Pauli won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:9 (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams St. Pauli won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pauli - Freiburg were as follows:
    28.09.2024 Freiburg - St. Pauli 0:3
    19.10.2022 Freiburg - St. Pauli 2:1
    Latest results of St. Pauli
    09.02.2025 RB Leipzig - St. Pauli 2:0
    01.02.2025 St. Pauli - Augsburg 1:1
    26.01.2025 St. Pauli - Union Berlin 3:0
    18.01.2025 Heidenheim - St. Pauli 0:2
    15.01.2025 Bochum - St. Pauli 1:0
    Latest results of Freiburg
    08.02.2025 Freiburg - Heidenheim 1:0
    01.02.2025 Bochum - Freiburg 0:1
    25.01.2025 Freiburg - Bayern Munich 1:2
    18.01.2025 Stuttgart - Freiburg 4:0
    German Bundesliga Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich ✔ 32237293:326176
    2Bayer Leverkusen ✔ 311910266:353167
    3Eintracht Frankfurt31167862:422055
    4Freiburg311561044:47-351
    5RB Leipzig321311851:45650
    6Dortmund311461160:491148
    7Mainz311381048:39947
    8Werder Bremen321381150:56-647
    9B. Monchengladbach321361355:54145
    10Stuttgart321281257:51644
    11Augsburg3111101033:42-943
    12Wolfsburg311091253:48539
    13Union Berlin329101333:47-1437
    14St. Pauli32871726:37-1131
    15Hoffenheim327101544:62-1831
    16Heidenheim32752033:60-2726
    17Holstein Kiel31571945:74-2922
    18Bochum32572030:63-3322

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bayern Munich is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Bayer Leverkusen is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Which TV channels are streaming of St. Pauli - Freiburg?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaNew World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus
    asiaAsiaTOD
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
    austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
    belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
    canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
    chinaChinaZhiBo8
    denmarkDenmarkViaplay
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
    germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
    greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 3
    hungaryHungaryNet4+
    indiaIndiaVision+
    indonesiaIndonesiaRCTI+
    japanJapanSKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 5
    laosLaosbeIN Connect
    malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaFlow Sports 1 Caribbean, Flow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
    norwayNorwayViaplay
    pakistanPakistanTapmad
    philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
    polandPolandViaplay
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    spainSpainDAZN Espana
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
    thailandThailandbeIN Connect
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 3
    usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
    vietnamVietnamON Plus
    worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan