Result
2:3
04/04/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Bundesliga - Round 28
- Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 2.80 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 30% | 70% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (189/257) | 89% (563/636) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 2.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 2.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 38 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (189/257) | 89% (563/636) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (21/52) | 64% (32/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (51/75) | 80% (173/215) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 2.82 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (13/25) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.49 | 1.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.51 | -0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', Tah J. 🟨,
- 29', Ginter M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 46', 1 - 0, Manzambi J. ⚽, Eggestein M. (A),
- 56', Guerreiro R. ↓, Olise M. ↑,
- 56', Tah J. ↓, Laimer K. ↑,
- 56', Goretzka L. ↓, Pavlovic A. ↑,
- 65', Gunter C. ↓, Kubler L. ↑,
- 65', Gnabry S. ↓, Musiala J. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 0, Holer L. ⚽,
- 73', Olise M. 🟨,
- 78', Beste J. ↓, Irie C. ↑,
- 78', Manzambi J. ↓, Matanovic I. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 1, Bischof T. ⚽, Karl L. (A),
- 87', Kim Min-Jae ↓, Davies A. ↑,
- 89', Holer L. ↓, Ogbus B. ↑,
- 90', Suzuki Y. ↓, Hofler N. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 2, Bischof T. ⚽, Olise M. (A),
- 90+9', 2 - 3, Karl L. ⚽, Davies A. (A),
- 90+9', Atubolu N. 🟨,
- 90+10', Karl L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Freiburg
17.7% | Draw
20% | Bayern Munich
62.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Bayern Munich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bayern Munich might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bayern Munich could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Freiburg - Bayern Munich Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.44 ↓
(6.42) |
4.77 ↓
(5.45) |
1.53 ↑
(1.4) |
4.6%
(5.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Freiburg - Bayern Munich?
- Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Freiburg will win (votes: 5 - 18.5%). Bayern will win (votes: 16 - 59.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 40.8% – 77.8%. - Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
- AH -1.75 - Bayern (2.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Freiburg (5.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH +1 - draw (3.71) (votes: 0 - 0%) .
- O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bayern Munich will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Bayern (votes: 9 - 69.2%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 0.
- Freiburg has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Bayern is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Bayern is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Freiburg: Rosenfelder M.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Bayern: Jackson N.
(Red Card)
Kiala C.
(Ankle Injury)
Mike W.
(Hip Injury)
Ulreich S.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Freiburg: Kyereh D.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- There are questionable in Bayern: Kane H.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 18:55. (average 0.9:2.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:21. (average 1:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against Bayern Munich?
Freiburg has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bayern Munich won against Freiburg?
Bayern Munich has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - Bayern Munich were as follows:
22.11.2025
Bayern Munich
-
Freiburg
6:2
25.01.2025
Freiburg
-
Bayern Munich
1:2
01.09.2024
Bayern Munich
-
Freiburg
2:0
01.03.2024
Freiburg
-
Bayern Munich
2:2
08.10.2023
Bayern Munich
-
Freiburg
3:0
Latest results of Freiburg
Latest results of Bayern Munich
Draw
RelegationFinal| 1 | Wolfsburg | Paderborn | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
Which TV channels are streaming of Freiburg - Bayern Munich?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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|---|
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