Fluminense vs São Paulo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie A Fluminense - São Paulo
Result
2:0
01/09/2024 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Serie A - Round 25
  • Referee: Zanovelli P. C. (Bra)
Fluminense - São Paulo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.590.49
Ball Possession
45%55%
Goal Attempts
1010
Shots on Goal
51
Shots off Goal
36
Blocked Shots
23
Free Kicks
1615
Corner Kicks
54
Offsides
00
Throw-ins
1021
Goalkeeper Saves
13
Fouls
1316
Yellow Cards
44
Total Passes
452594
Completed Passes
396499
Attacks
96109
Dangerous Attacks
3743

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 31', 1 - 0, Kaua Elias , PH Ganso (A),
  • 32', Rafinha 🟨,
  • 38', Jonathan Calleri 🟨,
  • 42', Bobadilla D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Wellington Rato , Luciano ,
  • 46', Bobadilla D. , Marcos Antonio ,
  • 46', Sabino , Ferraresi N. ,
  • 50', Thiago Santos 🟨,
  • 58', Bernal F. 🟨,
  • 64', Marcelo , Guga ,
  • 64', Kaua Elias , Lima ,
  • 79', Serna K. , Keno ,
  • 79', Lucas Moura , Erick ,
  • 80', Keno 🟨,
  • 85', Bernal F. , Felipe Melo ,
  • 85', PH Ganso , John Kennedy ,
  • 85', Jonathan Calleri , Andre Silva ,
  • 86', Silva T. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 2 - 0, Keno , Guga (A),
  • 90+6', Welington 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fluminense
37.8%
Draw
32.1%
São Paulo
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.9% 28.9% 33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 29.6% 32.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Fluminense - São Paulo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.49
    (2.48)
    2.95
    (3.25)
    3.16
    (2.83)
    5.7%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Fluminense - São Paulo?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Fluminense will win (votes: 14 - 70%). São Paulo will win (votes: 1 - 5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fluminense: 49.9%90.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 2.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Fluminense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Fluminense: Diogo Barbosa (Injury) Lele (Injury) Marcelo (Injury)
    • There will not play in São Paulo: Alisson (Injury) Pablo Maia (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fluminense: Cano G. (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 27-23.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Fluminense won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-10.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - São Paulo were as follows:
    13.05.2024 São Paulo - Fluminense 2:1
    22.11.2023 Fluminense - São Paulo 1:0
    01.07.2023 São Paulo - Fluminense 1:0
    05.11.2022 Fluminense - São Paulo 3:1
    Latest results of Fluminense
    20.08.2024 Fluminense - Grêmio 3:1
    17.08.2024 Fluminense - Corinthians 0:0
    13.08.2024 Grêmio - Fluminense 2:1
    10.08.2024 Vasco da Gama - Fluminense 2:0
    Latest results of São Paulo
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ1173124:42024
    2Cruzeiro1273217:8924
    3Bragantino1272314:11323
    4Palmeiras1171312:8422
    5Bahia1263314:11321
    6Fluminense1162315:12320
    7Atletico-MG1255213:10320
    8Botafogo RJ1153314:7718
    9Mirassol1145217:12517
    10Corinthians1244413:15-216
    11Gremio1244412:15-316
    12Ceara1143413:11215
    13Vasco1241714:16-213
    14Sao Paulo1226410:14-412
    15Santos1232711:14-311
    16Vitoria1225510:14-411
    17Internacional1225512:18-611
    18Fortaleza1224612:18-610
    19Juventude112278:24-168
    20Sport Recife110385:18-133

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

    Which TV channels are streaming of Fluminense - São Paulo?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    belarusBelarusBelarus 5
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    chileChileMEGOGO
    peruPeruL1 Play
    portugalPortugalCanal 11
    russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Sportbox.ru
    spainSpainGol Stadium
    worldWorldAmazon Prime Video, Fanatiz
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