Result
2:1
28/01/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A Betano - Round 1
- Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)
Advertisement
Watch and bet São Paulo - Flamengo live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 2.19 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (304/379) | 87% (469/542) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 2.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 1.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (304/379) | 87% (469/542) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (20/58) | 41% (16/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (45/71) | 76% (117/154) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.26 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 8 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (23/30) | 94% (17/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 7 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.35 | 1.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.35 | -0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 54', 0 - 1, Plata G. ⚽, Pedro (A),
- 56', Evertton Araujo ↓, Jorginho ↑,
- 56', Pedro ↓, de Arrascaeta G. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 1, Luciano ⚽, Diaz E. (A),
- 63', Carrascal J. ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
- 63', Everton ↓, Samuel Lino ↑,
- 71', 2 - 1, Danielzinho ⚽,
- 80', Maik ↓, Soares C. ↑,
- 86', Luciano ↓, Lucas Moura ↑,
- 86', Danielzinho ↓, Pablo Maia ↑,
- 90+1', Jonathan Calleri ↓, Tapia G. ↑,
Chances of winning
São Paulo
24.9% | Draw
30.9% | Flamengo
44.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Flamengo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
São Paulo - Flamengo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.8 ↑
(3.56) |
3.08 ↓
(3.43) |
2.14 ↑
(2) |
5.4%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for São Paulo - Flamengo?
- Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Flamengo will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 54% – 99.8%. - Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 50%) .
- O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Flamengo (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Flamengo will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 9 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 1.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Flamengo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Flamengo is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in São Paulo: Andre Silva
(Knee Injury)
Lucas Moura
(Inactive)
Ryan Francisco
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:29. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, São Paulo won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Flamengo?
São Paulo has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against São Paulo?
Flamengo has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Flamengo were as follows:
05.11.2025
São Paulo
-
Flamengo
2:2
12.07.2025
Flamengo
-
São Paulo
2:0
19.01.2025
São Paulo
-
Flamengo
0:0
03.08.2024
São Paulo
-
Flamengo
1:0
17.04.2024
Flamengo
-
São Paulo
2:1
Latest results of São Paulo
Latest results of Flamengo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Bahia | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | Flamengo RJ | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Coritiba | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Gremio | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Corinthians | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 | Athletico-PR | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Vitoria | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | Chapecoense-SC | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
| 13 | Mirassol | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | Santos | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Vasco | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 | Atletico-MG | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 | Botafogo RJ | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 | Remo | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
| 19 | Cruzeiro | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7:14 | -7 | 3 |
| 20 | Internacional | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Which TV channels are streaming of São Paulo - Flamengo?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Flow Eventos |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, NSC TV, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, TV Verdes Mares, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Mexico | Azteca Deportes, Fanatiz |
 North-central-america | Flow Sports 1 Caribbean |
 Paraguay | Flow Eventos |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar Plus+ |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Flow |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | TV Globo Internacional |
