Result
1:2
04/12/2024 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Serie A Betano - Round 37
- Referee: Sampaio S. (Bra)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.10 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 26 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (543/605) | 78% (207/267) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 81% (132/163) | 61% (30/49) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 34% (10/29) | 30% (3/10) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 78% (18/23) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 5 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Lucas Barbosa 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Nene ↓, Mandaca ↑,
- 51', Matias F. 🟨,
- 52', 0 - 1, Gabriel Taliari ⚽, Mandaca (A),
- 62', 0 - 2, Erick Farias ⚽, Joao Lucas (A),
- 63', Erick ↓, William Gomes ↑,
- 71', Patryck ↓, Rodrigo Nestor ↑,
- 71', Lucas Barbosa ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
- 71', Gabriel Taliari ↓, Gilberto ↑,
- 72', Alisson ↓, Marcos Antonio ↑,
- 77', 1 - 2, Luciano ⚽, William Gomes (A),
- 78', Igor Vinicius ↓, Joao Moreira ↑,
- 78', Luiz Gustavo ↓, Sabino ↑,
- 82', Ewerthon ↓, Ze Marcos ↑,
- 83', Gabriel 🟨,
- 87', Erick Farias ↓, Gabriel Inocencio ↑,
Chances of winning
São Paulo
50.3% | Draw
26.6% | Juventude
23.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São Paulo's form might have worsened.Juventude has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juventude's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+10.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Paulo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juventude, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
São Paulo - Juventude Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↑
(1.58) |
3.55 ↓
(3.88) |
4.12 ↓
(5.83) |
5.5%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for São Paulo - Juventude?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Juventude will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for São Paulo: 39.2% – 89.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 15).
- São Paulo is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
- Last 5 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 2.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Juventude could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match São Paulo is a favorite.
- There will not play in São Paulo: Giuliano Galoppo
(Knee Injury)
Lewis J.
(Ankle Injury)
Pablo Maia
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Juventude: Caique Goncalves
(Injury)
Rodrigo Sam
(Injury)
l Peixoto
(Injury)
- There are questionable in São Paulo: Welington
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 9 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:7 (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams São Paulo won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:3 (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Juventude?
São Paulo has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juventude won against São Paulo?
Juventude has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Juventude were as follows:
21.07.2024
Juventude
-
São Paulo
0:0
23.10.2022
Juventude
-
São Paulo
1:2
Latest results of São Paulo
Latest results of Juventude
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24:4 | 20 | 24 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 24 |
| 3 | Bragantino | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 23 |
| 4 | Palmeiras | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 12:8 | 4 | 22 |
| 5 | Bahia | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 21 |
| 6 | Fluminense | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 20 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Botafogo RJ | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:7 | 7 | 18 |
| 9 | Mirassol | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 17:12 | 5 | 17 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Gremio | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12:15 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Ceara | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 15 |
| 13 | Vasco | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 | Sao Paulo | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 | Santos | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11:14 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Vitoria | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Internacional | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:18 | -6 | 11 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 10 |
| 19 | Juventude | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8:24 | -16 | 8 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5:18 | -13 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Which TV channels are streaming of São Paulo - Juventude?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Peru | L1 Max |
 World | Fanatiz |
