Grêmio vs Flamengo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie A Grêmio - Flamengo
Result
0:2
13/04/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 3
  • Referee: Abatti R. (Bra)
Grêmio - Flamengo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.311.08
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
108
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
84% (317/376)87% (520/595)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.311.08
xG on target (xGOT)
0.221.87
Total shots
108
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
44
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1416
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1411
Passes
84% (317/376)87% (520/595)
Long passes
53% (31/59)61% (36/59)
Passes in final third
66% (69/104)73% (91/124)
Crosses
20% (4/20)0% (0/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.420.39
Fouls
1114
Tackles
73% (16/22)62% (13/21)
Duels won
5646
Clearances Total
2818
Interceptions
1115
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.870.22
Goals prevented
-0.130.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, de Arrascaeta G. ,
  • 11', Edenilson 🟨,
  • 27', Rodrigo Ely , Jemerson ,
  • 30', Pulgar E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 61', Edenilson , Amuzu F. ,
  • 64', Michael , Everton ,
  • 64', Gerson , Plata G. ,
  • 67', 0 - 2, de Arrascaeta G. , Everton (A),
  • 75', Pavon C. , Alysson ,
  • 75', Cristaldo F. , Monsalve M. ,
  • 75', Camilo Reijers , Dodi ,
  • 83', de la Cruz N. 🟨,
  • 86', de Arrascaeta G. , Luiz Araujo ,
  • 86', Bruno Henrique , Juninho ,
  • 86', de la Cruz N. , Allan ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Grêmio
25.7%
Draw
29.5%
Flamengo
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.5% 27.2% 38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35% 27.6% 37.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grêmio's form might have worsened.
  • Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Flamengo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grêmio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Flamengo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Grêmio - Flamengo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.65
    (2.73)
    3.2
    (3.47)
    2.12
    (2.47)
    5.8%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Grêmio - Flamengo?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Grêmio will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Flamengo will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Grêmio won 2.
    • Grêmio is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Flamengo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Grêmio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Flamengo will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Grêmio: Cuellar G. (Muscle Injury) Walter Kannemann (Hip Injury)
    • There will not play in Flamengo: Danilo (Hamstring Injury) Vina M. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Grêmio: Amuzu F. (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Grêmio won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 18:39 (average 0.9:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Grêmio won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14:19 (average 1.4:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio - Flamengo were as follows:
    22.09.2024 Grêmio - Flamengo 3:2
    13.06.2024 Flamengo - Grêmio 2:1
    25.10.2023 Grêmio - Flamengo 3:2
    16.08.2023 Flamengo - Grêmio 1:0
    26.07.2023 Grêmio - Flamengo 0:2
    Latest results of Grêmio
    08.04.2025 Grêmio - Atlético Grau 2:0
    05.04.2025 Ceará - Grêmio 2:0
    12.03.2025 Athletic Club - Grêmio 3:4
    Latest results of Flamengo
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ17114231:72437
    2Cruzeiro18114330:111937
    3Palmeiras16103321:14733
    4Bahia1685320:13729
    5Mirassol1677227:161128
    6Bragantino1883721:22-127
    7Botafogo RJ1675418:10826
    8Sao Paulo1867520:20025
    9Fluminense1672718:20-223
    10Atletico-MG1665518:17123
    11Ceara1764717:17022
    12Corinthians1857617:21-422
    13Internacional1756618:22-421
    14Gremio1755716:23-720
    15Santos1753918:22-418
    16Vitoria1839616:20-418
    17Vasco1643918:23-515
    18Fortaleza1736818:24-615
    19Juventude16321111:35-2411
    20Sport Recife1606109:25-166

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          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

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