Monza vs Fiorentina: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie A Monza - Fiorentina
Result
2:1
13/01/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie A - Round 20
  • Referee: Dionisi F. (Ita)
Monza - Fiorentina - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.621.29
Ball Possession
34%66%
Goal Attempts
1011
Shots on Goal
32
Shots off Goal
56
Blocked Shots
23
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
24
Shots inside the Box
57
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
Free Kicks
926
Offsides
01
Fouls
269
Yellow Cards
41
Throw-ins
1215
Touches in the Opposition Box
1033
Passes
79% (245/310)88% (519/587)
Passes in the final third
64% (45/70)73% (108/147)
Crosses
38% (3/8)18% (4/22)
Tackles
77% (10/13)72% (13/18)
Clearances Total
3013
Interceptions
66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 44', 1 - 0, Ciurria P. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Gudmundsson A. , Beltran L. ,
  • 46', Mari P. , Martins K. ,
  • 58', Caprari G. , Djuric M. ,
  • 61', Turati S. 🟨,
  • 63', 2 - 0, Maldini D. , Pereira P. (A),
  • 64', Richardson A. , Folorunsho M. ,
  • 68', Colpani A. , Ikone J. ,
  • 68', Gosens R. , Parisi F. ,
  • 74', 2 - 1, Beltran L. (Pen),
  • 75', Sottil R. , Kouame C. ,
  • 77', Pereira P. 🟨,
  • 87', Ciurria P. 🟨,
  • 87', Ranieri L. 🟨,
  • 87', Bondo W. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Maldini D. , Petagna A. ,
  • 90+3', Bianco A. , Valoti M. ,
  • 90+3', Akpa Akpro J. , Vignato S. ,

Chances of winning


Monza
21.7%
Draw
27.3%
Fiorentina
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.4% 26.6% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6% 24.3% 45.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fiorentina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Monza - Fiorentina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.4
    (4.08)
    3.5
    (3.58)
    1.88
    (1.91)
    4.6%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Monza - Fiorentina?
  • Users Predictions: 106 users predict this event. Monza will win (votes: 10 - 9.4%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 80 - 75.5%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 15.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 67.3%83.7%. The data is statistically significant.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Monza won 1.
    • Monza has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Fiorentina is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Fiorentina is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Monza: Cragno A. (Shoulder Injury) D'Ambrosio D. (Red Card) Gagliardini R. (Thigh Injury) Pessina M. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Biraghi C. (Coach's decision) Bove E. (Heart Problems) Gudmundsson A. (Ankle Injury)
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Monza won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:11 (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Monza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monza - Fiorentina were as follows:
    01.09.2024 Fiorentina - Monza 2:2
    13.05.2024 Fiorentina - Monza 2:1
    22.12.2023 Monza - Fiorentina 0:1
    23.04.2023 Monza - Fiorentina 3:2
    04.01.2023 Fiorentina - Monza 1:1
    Latest results of Monza
    05.01.2025 Monza - Cagliari 1:2
    28.12.2024 Parma - Monza 2:1
    22.12.2024 Monza - Juventus 1:2
    15.12.2024 Lecce - Monza 2:1
    09.12.2024 Monza - Udinese 1:2
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    04.01.2025 Fiorentina - Napoli 0:3
    29.12.2024 Juventus - Fiorentina 2:2
    23.12.2024 Fiorentina - Udinese 1:2
    15.12.2024 Bologna - Fiorentina 1:0
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Napoli22003:036
    2Juventus22003:036
    3Cremonese22005:326
    4AS Roma22002:026
    5Udinese21103:214
    6Inter21016:243
    7Lazio21014:223
    8AC Milan21013:213
    9Como21012:113
    10Bologna21011:103
    11Atalanta20202:202
    12Fiorentina20201:102
    13Pisa20111:2-11
    14Cagliari20111:2-11
    15Genoa20110:1-11
    16Parma20111:3-21
    17Lecce20110:2-21
    18Verona20111:5-41
    19Torino20110:5-51
    20Sassuolo20022:5-30

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

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