Monza vs Udinese: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie A Monza - Udinese
Result
2:3
29/08/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A - Round 2
  • Referee: Allegretta C. G. (Ita)
Monza - Udinese - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.630.89
Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
55
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
33
Passes
82% (345/421)80% (336/420)
Yellow cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
1.630.89
xG on target (xGOT)
1.601.77
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
53
Blocked shots
44
Shots inside the box
1010
Shots outside the box
42
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
2421
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free kicks
1210
Passes
82% (345/421)80% (336/420)
Long passes
33% (18/55)43% (28/65)
Passes in final third
69% (88/128)61% (59/97)
Crosses
22% (6/27)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.320.52
Throw ins
2619
Fouls
1012
Tackles
42% (5/12)70% (7/10)
Duels won
3939
Clearances
2336
Interceptions
116
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper saves
23
xGOT faced
1.771.60
Goals prevented
-1.23-0.40
Goal kicks
57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 32', 0 - 1, Piotrowski J. , Kamara H. (A),
  • 37', 1 - 1, Colpani A. , Mangas R. (A),
  • 45', 1 - 2, Kamara H. ,
  • 45+3', 1 - 3, Ekkelenkamp J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Lucchesi L. 🟨,
  • 54', Ondoa F. , Folorunsho M. ,
  • 54', Mout M. , Akinsanmiro E. ,
  • 60', Piotrowski J. , Miller L. ,
  • 60', Gomez U. , Zarraga O. ,
  • 61', Lucchesi L. , Delli Carri F. ,
  • 63', 2 - 3, Varela G. , Akinsanmiro E. (A),
  • 68', Davis K. , Gueye I. ,
  • 68', Ebosse E. , Bertola N. ,
  • 84', Birindelli S. , Forson O. ,
  • 84', Colpani A. , Mota D. ,
  • 85', Vojvoda M. , Arizala J. ,

Chances of winning


Monza
32.1%
Draw
31%
Udinese
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.1% 29.8% 42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6% 30.3% 42.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Udinese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Udinese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monza than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Udinese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Monza - Udinese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3
    (3.4)
    3.07
    (3.22)
    2.6
    (2.27)
    4.4%
    (4.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Monza - Udinese?
    • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Monza will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Udinese will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Udinese: 23.8%76.2%.
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH 0 - Udinese (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • DC - Monza (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Monza (votes: 1 - 50%). Udinese (votes: 1 - 50%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monza won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Udinese may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Udinese has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Monza: Pessina M. (Knee Injury) Toure I. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Udinese: Kabasele C. (Red Card) Palma M. (Muscle Injury) Zaniolo N. (Thigh Injury) Zanoli A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Monza: Akinsanmiro E. (Muscle Injury) Ciurria P. (Inactive) Colombo L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Udinese: Chakvetadze G. (Foot Injury) Gueye I. (Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Monza won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Monza won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monza - Udinese were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Udinese - Monza 1:2
    09.12.2024 Monza - Udinese 1:2
    03.02.2024 Udinese - Monza 0:0
    29.10.2023 Monza - Udinese 1:1
    08.04.2023 Udinese - Monza 2:2
    Latest results of Monza
    22.08.2026 Inter Milan - Monza 4:1
    14.08.2026 Monza - Avellino 3:0
    30.07.2026 Monza - Aris 1:3
    24.07.2026 Galatasaray - Monza 0:2
    18.07.2026 Monza - Pro Vercelli 4:3
    Latest results of Udinese
    22.08.2026 Udinese - Como 1:1
    15.08.2026 Udinese - Padova 1:0
    02.08.2026 Trabzonspor - Udinese 1:0
    01.08.2026 Udinese - Mainz 3:3
    28.07.2026 Udinese - Shabab Al-Ahli 1:2
    Italian Serie A Table
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lazio43106:3310
    2AS Roma330010:199
    3Inter33008:359
    4Cagliari43014:229
    5AC Milan42207:438
    6Como32107:347
    7Juventus32104:137
    8Frosinone42117:437
    9Atalanta42025:506
    10Udinese31115:504
    11Sassuolo31115:504
    12Napoli31025:503
    13Torino31024:5-13
    14Lecce31022:5-33
    15Fiorentina41035:11-63
    16Bologna30122:4-21
    17Parma30121:4-31
    18Monza30124:8-41
    19Genoa40132:8-61
    20Venezia40044:11-70

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

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