Fiorentina vs Empoli: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

27/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence).

: Serie A - Round 34
Referee: Rapuano A. (Ita)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.79	0.37
Ball Possession
54%	46%
Total shots
6	8
Shots on target
3	5
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
1	6
Passes
78% (318/406)	73% (246/335)
Yellow Cards
3	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79	0.37
xG on target (xGOT)
1.71	0.65
Total shots
6	8
Shots on target
3	5
Shots off target
2	2
Blocked Shots
1	1
Shots inside the Box
4	2
Shots outside the Box
2	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
1	6
Touches in opposition box
12	12
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
18	16
Passes
78% (318/406)	73% (246/335)
Long passes
30% (19/63)	35% (23/65)
Passes in final third
74% (65/88)	53% (58/109)
Crosses
50% (3/6)	21% (5/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.50	0.39
Throw-ins
17	21
Fouls
16	18
Tackles
50% (5/10)	52% (13/25)
Duels won
53	53
Clearances
42	11
Interceptions
7	4
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	1
xGOT faced
0.65	1.71
Goals prevented
-0.35	-0.29

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Adli Y. ⚽, Gudmundsson A. (A),
16', Beltran L. 🟨,
20', Anjorin F. 🟨,
25', 2 - 0, Mandragora R. ⚽, Adli Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Solbakken O. ↓, Colombo L. ↑,
46', Anjorin F. ↓, Henderson L. ↑,
53', Henderson L. 🟨,
55', Ranieri L. 🟨,
57', 2 - 1, Fazzini J. ⚽, Goglichidze S. (A),
60', Ranieri L. ↓, Comuzzo P. ↑,
60', Adli Y. ↓, Richardson A. ↑,
70', Folorunsho M. ↓, Parisi F. ↑,
70', Beltran L. ↓, Zaniolo N. ↑,
77', Grassi A. ↓, Kovalenko V. ↑,
78', Mandragora R. 🟨,
82', Gudmundsson A. ↓, Fagioli N. ↑,
82', Fazzini J. ↓, Bacci J. ↑,
89', Goglichidze S. ↓, Sambia J. ↑,

Chances of winning

Fiorentina 47.1%

Draw 29.5%

Empoli 23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

Fiorentina 55.5%

Draw 26%

Empoli 18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Fiorentina 57.7%

Draw 25%

Empoli 17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fiorentina's form might have worsened.

Empoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fiorentina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Empoli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fiorentina - Empoli Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.73)	3.26 ↓ (3.68)	4.16 ↓ (5.19)	4% (4.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Empoli?

The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is Fiorentina will win! (48 of 59 users predict this).

Preview Facts

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 0.
Fiorentina is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Empoli is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Fiorentina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Fiorentina is a favorite.
There will not play in Fiorentina: Bove E. (Heart Problems) Dodo (Surgery)
There will not play in Empoli: Cacace L. (Yellow Cards) Haas N. (Knee Injury) Kouame C. (Knee Injury) Maleh Y. (Knee Injury) Pellegri P. (Knee Injury) Sazonov S. (Knee Injury) Zurkowski S. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Fiorentina: Colpani A. (Foot Injury) Kean M. (Personal Reasons)
There are questionable in Empoli: Ismajli A. (Thigh Injury)
Last 16 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 20:20 (average 1.3:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Fiorentina won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:12 (average 1.4:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Empoli?

Fiorentina has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Empoli won against Fiorentina?

Empoli has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Empoli were as follows:

04.12.2024 Fiorentina - Empoli 2:3

29.09.2024 Empoli - Fiorentina 0:0

18.02.2024 Empoli - Fiorentina 1:1

23.10.2023 Fiorentina - Empoli 0:2

19.02.2023 Fiorentina - Empoli 1:1

Latest results of Fiorentina

23.04.2025 Cagliari - Fiorentina 1:2 ✺

17.04.2025 Fiorentina - Celje 2:2 ✺

13.04.2025 Fiorentina - Parma 0:0 ✺

10.04.2025 Celje - Fiorentina 1:2 ✺

05.04.2025 Milan - Fiorentina 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Empoli

24.04.2025 Bologna - Empoli 2:1 ✺

20.04.2025 Empoli - Venezia 2:2 ✺

14.04.2025 Napoli - Empoli 3:0 ✺

06.04.2025 Empoli - Cagliari 0:0 ✺

01.04.2025 Empoli - Bologna 0:3 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Napoli	34	22	8	4	54:25	29	74
2	Inter	34	21	8	5	72:33	39	71
3	Atalanta	34	19	8	7	67:31	36	65
4	Juventus	34	16	14	4	51:31	20	62
5	Bologna	34	16	13	5	52:37	15	61
6	AS Roma	34	17	9	8	49:32	17	60
7	Lazio	34	17	9	8	57:45	12	60
8	Fiorentina	34	17	8	9	53:34	19	59
9	AC Milan	34	15	9	10	53:38	15	54
10	Torino	34	10	13	11	38:39	-1	43
11	Como	34	11	9	14	44:48	-4	42
12	Udinese	34	11	8	15	36:48	-12	41
13	Genoa	34	9	12	13	29:41	-12	39
14	Cagliari	34	8	9	17	35:49	-14	33
15	Verona	34	9	5	20	30:62	-32	32
16	Parma	34	6	14	14	40:53	-13	32
17	Lecce	34	6	9	19	24:56	-32	27
18	Venezia	34	4	13	17	27:48	-21	25
19	Empoli	34	4	13	17	27:54	-27	25
20	Monza ✔	34	2	9	23	25:59	-34	15

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B

Clinched Spots for Teams

Monza is Relegated to Serie B

Which TV channels are streaming of Fiorentina - Empoli?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football
Albania	Tring Sport 1, Tring Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, Optus Sport
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	Net4+
India	GXR World
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2, Sport 3
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, 215 DAZN Zona, DAZN 2, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 7
South-africa	SuperSport Football
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tanzania	Azam Sports 4
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, Onefootball