Eintracht Frankfurt vs Union Berlin: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German Bundesliga Eintracht Frankfurt - Union Berlin
Result
3:4
21/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 4
  • Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)
Eintracht Frankfurt - Union Berlin - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.921.56
Ball Possession
78%22%
Total shots
1911
Shots on target
105
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
88% (589/670)58% (111/190)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.921.56
xG on target (xGOT)
3.012.22
Total shots
1911
Shots on target
105
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
129
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
3615
Accurate through passes
12
Offsides
25
Free Kicks
1110
Passes
88% (589/670)58% (111/190)
Long passes
48% (22/46)31% (19/61)
Passes in final third
77% (158/204)41% (29/71)
Crosses
27% (6/22)38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.911.09
Throw-ins
2614
Fouls
1011
Tackles
64% (7/11)67% (12/18)
Duels won
4845
Clearances
3049
Interceptions
64
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper Saves
17
xGOT faced
2.223.01
Goals prevented
-1.780.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Ansah I. , Ilic A. (A),
  • 32', 0 - 2, Burke O. , Ilic A. (A),
  • 45+4', 1 - 2, Brown N. , Wahi E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 53', 1 - 3, Burke O. , Ilic A. (A),
  • 56', 1 - 4, Burke O. , Ilic A. (A),
  • 61', Larsson H. , Hojlund O. ,
  • 61', Chaibi F. , Knauff A. ,
  • 61', Bahoya J. , Burkardt J. ,
  • 63', Doan R. 🟨,
  • 69', Wahi E. , Batshuayi M. ,
  • 72', Ansah I. , Kemlein A. ,
  • 73', Trimmel C. , Skarke T. ,
  • 80', 2 - 4, Uzun C. Y. ,
  • 81', Burke O. , Jeong Woo-Yeong ,
  • 86', Querfeld L. 🟨,
  • 87', 3 - 4, Burkardt J. (Pen),
  • 88', Collins N. 🟨,
  • 88', Baumgart S. 🟨,
  • 89', Baumgart S. 🟥,
  • 90+1', Collins N. , Amenda A. ,
  • 90+3', Kohn D. , Schafer A. ,
  • 90+6', Theate A. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Ilic A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Eintracht Frankfurt
54.9%
Draw
23.6%
Union Berlin
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61% 21.8% 17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3% 21.3% 16.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Eintracht Frankfurt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eintracht Frankfurt's form might have worsened.
  • Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eintracht Frankfurt than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eintracht Frankfurt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • Eintracht Frankfurt - Union Berlin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (1.55)
    4.16
    (4.35)
    4.51
    (5.5)
    0.8%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Eintracht Frankfurt - Union Berlin?
  • Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Eintracht will win (votes: 38 - 95%). Union Berlin will win (votes: 1 - 2.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 2.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Eintracht: 88.2%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%).
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Eintracht Frankfurt will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eintracht won 2.
    • Eintracht is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Union Berlin has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Union Berlin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Eintracht is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Eintracht: Kristensen R. (Muscle Injury) Ngankam J. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Union Berlin: Burcu L. (Ankle Injury) Juranovic J. (Injury) Markgraf A. (Leg Injury) Nsoki S. (Muscle Injury) Rothe T. (Red Card)
    • We predict that Eintracht will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Eintracht won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:16. (average 1.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Eintracht won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.9:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Eintracht Frankfurt - Union Berlin were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Union Berlin 1:2
    27.10.2024 Union Berlin - Eintracht Frankfurt 1:1
    30.03.2024 Eintracht Frankfurt - Union Berlin 0:0
    04.11.2023 Union Berlin - Eintracht Frankfurt 0:3
    04.04.2023 Eintracht Frankfurt - Union Berlin 2:0
    Latest results of Eintracht Frankfurt
    Latest results of Union Berlin
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich660025:32218
    2Dortmund642012:4814
    3RB Leipzig64118:8013
    4Stuttgart64028:6212
    5Bayer Leverkusen632112:8411
    6FC Koln631211:9210
    7Eintracht Frankfurt630317:1619
    8Freiburg62229:908
    9Hamburger SV62226:8-28
    10St. Pauli62138:9-17
    11Hoffenheim62139:12-37
    12Werder Bremen62139:14-57
    13Union Berlin62138:13-57
    14Augsburg620411:13-26
    15Wolfsburg61238:10-25
    16Mainz61145:10-54
    17B. Monchengladbach60335:12-73
    18Heidenheim61054:11-73

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Which TV channels are streaming of Eintracht Frankfurt - Union Berlin?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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