Eintracht Frankfurt vs Bayer Leverkusen: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
1:3
31/01/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 20
  • Referee: Schroder R. (Ger)
Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayer Leverkusen - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.210.90
Ball possession
41%59%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
44
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
83
Passes
86% (438/511)90% (672/744)
Yellow cards
31
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
1.210.90
xG on target (xGOT)
2.151.06
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
43
Blocked shots
34
Shots inside the box
95
Shots outside the box
26
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
2513
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
03
Free kicks
1011
Passes
86% (438/511)90% (672/744)
Long passes
47% (25/53)43% (18/42)
Passes in final third
74% (101/136)80% (105/131)
Crosses
16% (4/25)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.090.98
Throw ins
1417
Fouls
1110
Tackles
60% (9/15)47% (8/17)
Duels won
3551
Clearances
1632
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
13
xGOT faced
1.062.15
Goals prevented
-1.941.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 26', 0 - 1, Arthur , Grimaldo A. (A),
  • 33', 0 - 2, Tillman M. , Kofane C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', 1 - 2, Koch R. ,
  • 53', Kristensen R. 🟨,
  • 57', Larsson H. , Hojlund O. ,
  • 63', Grimaldo A. 🟨,
  • 64', Fernandez E. , Palacios E. ,
  • 64', Terrier M. , Hofmann J. ,
  • 69', Skhiri E. 🟨,
  • 69', Gotze M. , Knauff A. ,
  • 69', Doan R. , Amaimouni A. ,
  • 70', Skhiri E. 🟨,
  • 72', Kofane C. , Schick P. ,
  • 82', Tillman M. , Poku E. ,
  • 84', Brown N. , Bahoya J. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 3, Garcia A. , Poku E. (A),

Chances of winning


Eintracht Frankfurt
27.8%
Draw
25.8%
Bayer Leverkusen
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.3% 25.1% 40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4% 26.6% 43%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Eintracht Frankfurt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eintracht Frankfurt's form might have worsened.
  • Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bayer Leverkusen's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eintracht Frankfurt than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayer Leverkusen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.44
    (2.77)
    3.7
    (3.78)
    2.07
    (2.34)
    4.4%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayer Leverkusen?
    • Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Eintracht will win (votes: 2 - 5.3%). Bayer will win (votes: 30 - 78.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 15.8%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 65.9%91.9%.
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 71.4%) .
      • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • AH +0.25 - Bayer (1.81) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • DC - Bayer (1.36) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • O/U 3 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bayer Leverkusen will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
    • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayer (votes: 16 - 88.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eintracht won 0.
    • Eintracht is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Bayer has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Bayer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Bayer could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Eintracht: Batshuayi M. (Foot Injury) Baum E. (Injury) Burkardt J. (Calf Injury) Ebnoutalib Y. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Bayer: Bade L. (Yellow Cards) Ben Seghir E. (Ankle Injury) Flekken M. (Injury) Tella N. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Eintracht: Uzun C. Y. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Eintracht won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 28:53. (average 1.4:2.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Eintracht won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:16. (average 2.3:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayer Leverkusen were as follows:
    12.09.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Eintracht Frankfurt 3:1
    01.03.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayer Leverkusen 1:4
    19.10.2024 Bayer Leverkusen - Eintracht Frankfurt 2:1
    05.05.2024 Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayer Leverkusen 1:5
    17.12.2023 Bayer Leverkusen - Eintracht Frankfurt 3:0
    Latest results of Eintracht Frankfurt
    Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
    German Bundesliga Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich342851122:368689
    2Dortmund34227570:343673
    3RB Leipzig34205966:471965
    4Stuttgart34188871:492262
    5Hoffenheim34187965:521361
    6Bayer Leverkusen34178968:472159
    7Freiburg341381351:57-647
    8Eintracht Frankfurt3411111261:65-444
    9Augsburg341271545:61-1643
    10Mainz3410101444:53-940
    11Union Berlin341091544:58-1439
    12B. Monchengladbach349111442:53-1138
    13Hamburger SV349111440:54-1438
    14FC Koln347111649:63-1432
    15Werder Bremen34881837:60-2332
    16Wolfsburg34781945:69-2429
    17Heidenheim34682041:72-3126
    18St. Pauli34682029:60-3126

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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