Result
1:0
24/01/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- : Bundesliga - Round 19
- Referee: Reichel T. (Ger)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.56 | 0.70 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (473/551) | 85% (473/555) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.56 | 0.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 0.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (473/551) | 85% (473/555) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (20/41) | 58% (33/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (95/127) | 74% (104/141) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 1.40 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 9 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 44% (8/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 5 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.35 | 2.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', Pieper A. ↓, Malatini J. ↑,
- 37', 1 - 0, Lucas ⚽, Maza I. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Schmidt I. ↓, Deman O. ↑,
- 57', Poku E. ↓, Tillman M. ↑,
- 57', Lucas ↓, Fernandez E. ↑,
- 60', Grull M. ↓, Milosevic J. ↑,
- 72', Maza I. ↓, Arthur ↑,
- 72', Garcia A. ↓, Palacios E. ↑,
- 78', Hofmann J. 🟨,
- 78', Friedl M. 🟨,
- 79', Sugawara Y. ↓, Topp K. ↑,
- 87', Bade L. 🟨,
- 88', Malatini J. 🟨,
- 90+6', Deman O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bayer Leverkusen 60.4% | Draw 21.6% | Werder Bremen 18% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Werder Bremen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Bayer Leverkusen - Werder Bremen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.58 ↑ (1.55) |
4.41 ↓ (4.65) |
5.28 ↑ (5.17) |
5% (5.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen - Werder Bremen?
- Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
- O/U 3 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.75 - Bayer (1.68) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +0.5 - Werder (4.96) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1 - Bayer (1.90) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.5 - Bayer (1.57) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.25 - Bayer (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Werder (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Bayer Leverkusen will win
(30 of 35 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.12% – 97.3%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bayer Leverkusen will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 27 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayer (votes: 21 - 77.8%). Werder (votes: 3 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 11.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 2.
- Bayer has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Werder is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Werder may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Bayer is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Bayer: Ben Seghir E.
(Ankle Injury)
Flekken M.
(Injury)
Tapsoba E.
(Rest)
Tella N.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Werder: Agu F.
(Ankle Injury)
Boniface V.
(Knee Injury)
Stark N.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Weiser M.
(Knee Injury)
Wober M.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Werder: Bittencourt L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 40:31. (average 2:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bayer won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 1.6:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Bayer Leverkusen won against Werder Bremen?
Bayer Leverkusen has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Werder Bremen won against Bayer Leverkusen?
Werder Bremen has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bayer Leverkusen - Werder Bremen were as follows:
30.08.2025
Werder Bremen
-
Bayer Leverkusen
3:3
08.03.2025
Bayer Leverkusen
-
Werder Bremen
0:2
26.10.2024
Werder Bremen
-
Bayer Leverkusen
2:2
14.04.2024
Bayer Leverkusen
-
Werder Bremen
5:0
25.11.2023
Werder Bremen
-
Bayer Leverkusen
0:3
Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
Latest results of Werder Bremen
German Bundesliga Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122:36 | 86 | 89 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70:34 | 36 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66:47 | 19 | 65 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71:49 | 22 | 62 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65:52 | 13 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68:47 | 21 | 59 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51:57 | -6 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61:65 | -4 | 44 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45:61 | -16 | 43 |
| 10 | Mainz | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:53 | -9 | 40 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44:58 | -14 | 39 |
| 12 | B. Monchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:54 | -14 | 38 |
| 14 | FC Koln | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49:63 | -14 | 32 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
| 16 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45:69 | -24 | 29 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41:72 | -31 | 26 |
| 18 | St. Pauli | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:60 | -31 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
Which TV channels are streaming of Bayer Leverkusen - Werder Bremen?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
Africa | Startimes Sports Arena, ZAP |
Albania | Tring Sport 3 |
Angola | Z Sports 1 |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Australia | beIN Connect |
Brazil | Caze TV, SporTV |
Bulgaria | Nova Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | DAZN Canada, OneSoccer |
Chile | Disney+, ESPN Premium |
China | Migu, QQ Sports |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Croatia | SportKlub 5 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6, Oneplay |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2 |
Greece | Nova Sports 5 |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3, M Plus Live |
Iceland | Viaplay |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 6 |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
Pakistan | Tapmad |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Portugal | DAZN / App |
Romania | Prima Sport PPV 2 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Saudi-arabia | MBC Shahid |
Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
Slovakia | Sport TV2, Voyo |
South-america | ESPN 2 South |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Thailand | beIN Connect, True ID, True Premier Football 4 |
Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Vietnam | TV 360 |
World | Onefootball |