Bayer Leverkusen vs Werder Bremen: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
1:0
24/01/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 19
  • Referee: Reichel T. (Ger)
Bayer Leverkusen - Werder Bremen - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.560.70
Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
43
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
55
Passes
86% (473/551)85% (473/555)
Yellow cards
23
Expected goals (xG)
2.560.70
xG on target (xGOT)
2.000.35
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
67
Blocked shots
37
Shots inside the box
710
Shots outside the box
67
Hit the woodwork
11
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
1632
Accurate through passes
31
Offsides
11
Free kicks
96
Passes
86% (473/551)85% (473/555)
Long passes
49% (20/41)58% (33/57)
Passes in final third
75% (95/127)74% (104/141)
Crosses
20% (2/10)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
2.101.40
Throw ins
922
Fouls
69
Tackles
69% (9/13)44% (8/18)
Duels won
3438
Clearances
295
Interceptions
1515
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
33
xGOT faced
0.352.00
Goals prevented
0.351.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', Pieper A. , Malatini J. ,
  • 37', 1 - 0, Lucas , Maza I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Schmidt I. , Deman O. ,
  • 57', Poku E. , Tillman M. ,
  • 57', Lucas , Fernandez E. ,
  • 60', Grull M. , Milosevic J. ,
  • 72', Maza I. , Arthur ,
  • 72', Garcia A. , Palacios E. ,
  • 78', Hofmann J. 🟨,
  • 78', Friedl M. 🟨,
  • 79', Sugawara Y. , Topp K. ,
  • 87', Bade L. 🟨,
  • 88', Malatini J. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Deman O. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Bayer Leverkusen
60.4%
Draw
21.6%
Werder Bremen
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.2% 20.4% 18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3% 20% 18.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Werder Bremen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Bayer Leverkusen - Werder Bremen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.55)
    4.41
    (4.65)
    5.28
    (5.17)
    5%
    (5.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen - Werder Bremen?
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
      • O/U 3 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • AH -0.75 - Bayer (1.68) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • AH +0.5 - Werder (4.96) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • AH -1 - Bayer (1.90) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • AH -0.5 - Bayer (1.57) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
      • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH -1.25 - Bayer (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • AH -1.5 - Werder (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Users Predictions: Bayer Leverkusen will win (30 of 35 users predict this - 85.71%).
      Confidence interval (95%): 74.12%97.3%.
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bayer Leverkusen will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
    • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 27 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayer (votes: 21 - 77.8%). Werder (votes: 3 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 11.1%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 2.
    • Bayer has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Werder is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Werder may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Bayer is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Bayer: Ben Seghir E. (Ankle Injury) Flekken M. (Injury) Tapsoba E. (Rest) Tella N. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Werder: Agu F. (Ankle Injury) Boniface V. (Knee Injury) Stark N. (Lacking Match Fitness) Weiser M. (Knee Injury) Wober M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Werder: Bittencourt L. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 40:31. (average 2:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bayer won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 1.6:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bayer Leverkusen - Werder Bremen were as follows:
    30.08.2025 Werder Bremen - Bayer Leverkusen 3:3
    08.03.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Werder Bremen 0:2
    26.10.2024 Werder Bremen - Bayer Leverkusen 2:2
    14.04.2024 Bayer Leverkusen - Werder Bremen 5:0
    25.11.2023 Werder Bremen - Bayer Leverkusen 0:3
    Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
    Latest results of Werder Bremen
    German Bundesliga Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich342851122:368689
    2Dortmund34227570:343673
    3RB Leipzig34205966:471965
    4Stuttgart34188871:492262
    5Hoffenheim34187965:521361
    6Bayer Leverkusen34178968:472159
    7Freiburg341381351:57-647
    8Eintracht Frankfurt3411111261:65-444
    9Augsburg341271545:61-1643
    10Mainz3410101444:53-940
    11Union Berlin341091544:58-1439
    12B. Monchengladbach349111442:53-1138
    13Hamburger SV349111440:54-1438
    14FC Koln347111649:63-1432
    15Werder Bremen34881837:60-2332
    16Wolfsburg34781945:69-2429
    17Heidenheim34682041:72-3126
    18St. Pauli34682029:60-3126

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Which TV channels are streaming of Bayer Leverkusen - Werder Bremen?
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