West Bromwich Albion vs Derby County: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Championship West Bromwich Albion - Derby County
Result
0:1
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Championship - Round 5
  • Referee: Ricardo R. (Eng)
West Bromwich Albion - Derby County - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.090.31
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
184
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
110
Passes
87% (509/584)70% (212/301)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.090.31
xG on target (xGOT)
0.240.20
Total shots
184
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
91
Shots inside the Box
143
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
110
Touches in opposition box
289
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
108
Passes
87% (509/584)70% (212/301)
Long passes
56% (28/50)29% (19/65)
Passes in final third
79% (143/180)39% (24/61)
Crosses
19% (9/48)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.220.24
Throw-ins
1515
Fouls
810
Tackles
88% (7/8)83% (10/12)
Duels won
4550
Clearances
1343
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.200.24
Goals prevented
-0.800.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 59', Travis L. 🟨,
  • 62', Styles C. 🟨,
  • 70', Brereton Diaz B. , Agyemang P. ,
  • 74', Wallace J. , Iling Junior S. ,
  • 74', Mowatt A. , Collyer T. ,
  • 81', Clark B. , Weimann A. ,
  • 83', Johnston M. , Maja J. ,
  • 84', 0 - 1, Weimann A. , Agyemang P. (A),
  • 89', Sanderson D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


West Bromwich Albion
52.7%
Draw
28.4%
Derby County
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.5% 26.9% 20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1% 26.6% 20.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • West Bromwich Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Bromwich Albion than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • West Bromwich Albion - Derby County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (1.8)
    3.32
    (3.51)
    5.06
    (4.61)
    5%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for West Bromwich Albion - Derby County?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. West Bromwich (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: West Bromwich Albion will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, West Bromwich won 0.
    • West Bromwich is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Derby has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, West Bromwich is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in West Bromwich: Bany T. (Muscle Injury) Dike D. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Derby: Agyemang P. (Hernia) Beck O. (Lacking Match Fitness) Blackett-Taylor C. (Hamstring Injury) Ebuka C. (Injury) Langas S. (Knee Injury) Nelson C. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, West Bromwich won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 0.9:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, West Bromwich won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between West Bromwich Albion - Derby County were as follows:
    12.08.2025 West Bromwich Albion - Derby County 1:2
    21.04.2025 West Bromwich Albion - Derby County 1:3
    26.12.2024 Derby County - West Bromwich Albion 2:1
    23.08.2022 Derby County - West Bromwich Albion 1:0
    Latest results of West Bromwich Albion
    Latest results of Derby County
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Middlesbrough651011:4716
    2Stoke64029:4512
    3Bristol City632113:7611
    4Leicester63218:5311
    5Preston63217:5211
    6Coventry624015:7810
    7West Brom63127:6110
    8Birmingham63125:5010
    9QPR631210:12-210
    10Millwall63125:7-210
    11Swansea62226:518
    12Portsmouth62224:5-18
    13Charlton62224:5-18
    14Hull622210:12-28
    15Norwich62139:907
    16Wrexham621311:12-17
    17Ipswich51319:546
    18Blackburn52035:506
    19Southampton61327:9-26
    20Oxford Utd61239:10-15
    21Watford61235:7-25
    22Derby61238:12-45
    23Sheffield Wed61145:12-74
    24Sheffield Utd60061:13-120

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

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