West Bromwich Albion vs Derby County: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Championship West Bromwich Albion - Derby County
Result
1:3
21/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Championship - Round 44
  • Referee: Smith J. (Eng)
West Bromwich Albion - Derby County - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.960.88
Ball Possession
72%28%
Total shots
135
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
88% (480/545)62% (134/216)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.960.88
xG on target (xGOT)
1.082.53
Total shots
135
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
71
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
50
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
1514
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
88% (480/545)62% (134/216)
Long passes
54% (29/54)27% (17/62)
Passes in final third
78% (99/127)49% (39/79)
Crosses
19% (6/31)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.030.27
Fouls
1012
Tackles
64% (7/11)77% (10/13)
Duels won
5341
Clearances Total
2133
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
2.531.08
Goals prevented
-0.470.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Adams E. , Harness M. (A),
  • 10', Harness M. 🟨,
  • 30', 0 - 2, Yates J. , Clarke M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', Fellows T. 🟨,
  • 63', Holgate M. , Wallace J. ,
  • 63', Johnston M. , Dike D. ,
  • 63', Furlong D. , Armstrong A. ,
  • 64', Lankshear W. , Grant K. ,
  • 70', 1 - 2, Armstrong A. , Diangana G. (A),
  • 79', Diakite O. , Mowatt A. ,
  • 81', Harness M. , Jackson K. ,
  • 87', Yates J. , Mendez-Laing N. ,
  • 87', 1 - 3, Mendez-Laing N. ,
  • 90+4', Phillips N. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


West Bromwich Albion
47.6%
Draw
29.3%
Derby County
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.9% 24.1% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2% 24.2% 17.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • West Bromwich Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that West Bromwich Albion's form might have worsened.
  • Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Derby County's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Bromwich Albion than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for West Bromwich Albion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Derby County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • West Bromwich Albion - Derby County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (1.63)
    3.24
    (3.92)
    4.12
    (5.25)
    5.2%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for West Bromwich Albion - Derby County?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 8 and 21).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches West Bromwich won 1.
    • West Bromwich is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Derby is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match West Bromwich is a favorite.
    • There will not play in West Bromwich: Maja J. (Calf Injury) Styles C. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Derby: Blackett-Taylor C. (Hamstring Injury) Brown D. (Hamstring Injury) Nelson C. (Knee Injury) Nyambe R. (Injury) Ozoh D. (Thigh Injury) Roofe K. (Hamstring Injury) Salvesen L. (Knee Injury) Ward J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in West Bromwich: Ajayi S. (Hamstring Injury) Bany T. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Derby: Elder C. (Lacking Match Fitness) Mendez-Laing N. (Injury)
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches West Bromwich won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9:14 (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams West Bromwich won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:6 (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between West Bromwich Albion - Derby County were as follows:
    26.12.2024 Derby County - West Bromwich Albion 2:1
    23.08.2022 Derby County - West Bromwich Albion 1:0
    Latest results of West Bromwich Albion
    Latest results of Derby County
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Sheffield Utd (3)Bristol City (6)3 : 0
    2Sunderland (4)Coventry (5)2 : 1

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    Which TV channels are streaming of West Bromwich Albion - Derby County?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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