West Bromwich Albion vs Derby County: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

12/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

The Hawthorns (West Bromwich).

: EFL Cup - 1/64-finals
Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.43	0.18
Ball Possession
54%	46%
Total shots
20	4
Shots on target
6	1
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
8	2
Passes
90% (434/482)	83% (343/411)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43	0.18
xG on target (xGOT)
1.42	0.47
Total shots
20	4
Shots on target
6	1
Shots off target
8	3
Blocked Shots
6	0
Shots inside the Box
16	2
Shots outside the Box
4	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
8	2
Touches in opposition box
35	5
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
8	5
Passes
90% (434/482)	83% (343/411)
Long passes
39% (13/33)	46% (31/67)
Passes in final third
80% (113/141)	57% (36/63)
Crosses
29% (9/31)	22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.53	0.37
Throw-ins
17	16
Fouls
5	9
Tackles
70% (7/10)	67% (12/18)
Duels won
48	43
Clearances
22	26
Interceptions
4	5
Errors leading to shot
0	2
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	5
xGOT faced
0.47	1.42
Goals prevented
-0.53	0.42

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Elder C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', Campbell G. 🟨,
56', Weimann A. 🟨,
63', Clark B. ↓, Osborn B. ↑,
63', Ozoh D. ↓, Adams E. ↑,
63', Weimann A. ↓, Wheeldon L. ↑,
63', Sanderson D. ↓, Batth D. ↑,
67', 1 - 0, Heggebo A. ⚽, Price I. (A),
69', Fellows T. ↓, Wallace J. ↑,
70', Brown D. ↓, Jackson K. ↑,
79', Price I. ↓, Molumby J. ↑,
79', Heggebo A. ↓, Maja J. ↑,
83', Adams E. 🟨,
87', Johnston M. ↓, Grant K. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 1, Ward J. ⚽,
Penalties (2 - 3)
1, Goudmijn K. (Pen),
1, Wallace J. (Pen),
2, Osborn B. (Pen),
2, Maja J. (Pen),
3, Jackson K. (Pen),
3, Mowatt A. (Pen),
4, Ward J. (Pen),
4, Molumby J. (Pen),
5, Adams E. (Pen),
5, Grant K. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning

West Bromwich Albion
52.6%

Draw
26.6%

Derby County
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

28.1%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

West Bromwich Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in West Bromwich Albion's performance.

Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Derby County might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

West Bromwich Albion - Derby County Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.05)	3.55 ↑ (3.33)	4.51 ↑ (3.55)	4.9% (7.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for West Bromwich Albion - Derby County?

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. West Bromwich will win (votes: 15 - 78.9%). Derby will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for West Bromwich: 60.6% – 97.2%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. West Bromwich (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Derby (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, West Bromwich won 0.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Derby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Derby has had a series of away games.
West Bromwich is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, West Bromwich won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 0.9:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, West Bromwich won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has West Bromwich Albion won against Derby County?

West Bromwich Albion has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against West Bromwich Albion?

Derby County has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between West Bromwich Albion - Derby County were as follows:

21.04.2025 West Bromwich Albion - Derby County 1:3

26.12.2024 Derby County - West Bromwich Albion 2:1

23.08.2022 Derby County - West Bromwich Albion 1:0

Latest results of West Bromwich Albion

09.08.2025 West Bromwich Albion - Blackburn Rovers 1:0 ✺

02.08.2025 West Bromwich Albion - Rayo Vallecano 3:2 ✺

26.07.2025 Lincoln City - West Bromwich Albion 4:2 ✺

19.07.2025 Blackpool - West Bromwich Albion 2:1 ✺

11.07.2025 Dynamo Kyiv - West Bromwich Albion 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Derby County

09.08.2025 Stoke City - Derby County 3:1 ✺

02.08.2025 Derby County - Atromitos Athens 2:0 ✺

29.07.2025 Solihull Moors - Derby County 2:4 ✺

26.07.2025 Burton Albion - Derby County 2:1 ✺

22.07.2025 Walsall - Derby County 2:3 ✺

Draw

Main

1/64-finals

1	Birmingham	Sheffield Utd	2 : 1
2	Blackpool	Port Vale	0 : 1
4	Bye	Arsenal
5	Swansea	Crawley	3 : 1
6	Plymouth	QPR	3 : 2
8	Bye	Nottingham
9	Tranmere	Burton	1 : 2
10	Harrogate	Lincoln	1 : 3
12	Bye	Chelsea
13	Tottenham	Bye
15	Accrington	Peterborough	2 : 1
16	Middlesbrough	Doncaster	0 : 4
17	Bournemouth	Bye
18	Bye	Brentford
20	Bye	Aston Villa
21	Sunderland	Bye
22	Huddersfield	Leicester	3 : 2
24	Bye	Manchester City
25	Liverpool	Bye
27	Watford	Norwich	1 : 2
28	Northampton	Southampton	0 : 1
29	Newcastle	Bye
31	Stoke	Walsall	1 : 0
32	Blackburn	Bradford City	1 : 2
33	Bolton	Sheffield Wed	3 : 4
34	Bye	Leeds
35	Grimsby	Shrewsbury	3 : 1
36	Bye	Manchester Utd
37	Wolves	Bye
38	Bye	West Ham
39	Everton	Bye
40	Chesterfield	Mansfield	0 : 2
41	Crystal Palace	Bye
43	Newport	Millwall	0 : 1
44	Coventry	Luton	1 : 0
45	Burnley	Bye
46	West Brom	Derby	1 : 2
47	Cardiff	Swindon	2 : 1
48	Cheltenham	Exeter	2 : 0
49	Barrow	Preston	0 : 1
50	Wrexham	Hull	4 : 3
51	Portsmouth	Reading	1 : 2
52	Gillingham	AFC Wimbledon	1 : 2
53	Wigan	Notts Co	1 : 0
54	Stockport County	Crewe	3 : 1
55	Bromley	Ipswich	2 : 1
56	Leyton Orient	Wycombe	0 : 1
57	Barnsley	Fleetwood	3 : 2
58	Salford	Rotherham	0 : 1
59	Oxford Utd	Colchester	1 : 0
60	Bye	Brighton
61	Fulham	Bye
62	Bristol City	MK Dons	2 : 0
63	Bristol Rovers	Cambridge Utd	0 : 2
64	Charlton	Stevenage	3 : 1

1/32-finals

1	Birmingham	Port Vale	0 : 1
2	Bye	Arsenal
3	Swansea	Plymouth	2 : 1
4	Bye	Nottingham
5	Burton	Lincoln	0 : 1
6	Bye	Chelsea
7	Tottenham	Bye
8	Accrington	Doncaster	0 : 2
9	Bournemouth	Brentford	0 : 2
10	Bye	Aston Villa
11	Sunderland	Huddersfield	1 : 2
12	Bye	Manchester City
13	Liverpool	Bye
14	Norwich	Southampton	0 : 3
15	Newcastle	Bye
16	Stoke	Bradford City	0 : 3
17	Sheffield Wed	Leeds	2 : 1
18	Grimsby	Manchester Utd	3 : 2
19	Wolves	West Ham	3 : 2
20	Everton	Mansfield	2 : 0
21	Crystal Palace	Bye
22	Millwall	Coventry	2 : 1
23	Burnley	Derby	2 : 1
24	Cardiff	Cheltenham	3 : 0
25	Preston	Wrexham	2 : 3
26	Reading	AFC Wimbledon	2 : 1
27	Wigan	Stockport County	1 : 0
28	Bromley	Wycombe	1 : 2
29	Barnsley	Rotherham	2 : 1
30	Oxford Utd	Brighton	0 : 6
31	Fulham	Bristol City	2 : 0
32	Cambridge Utd	Charlton	3 : 1

1/16-finals

1	Port Vale	Arsenal
2	Swansea	Nottingham
3	Lincoln	Chelsea
4	Tottenham	Doncaster
5	Brentford	Aston Villa
6	Huddersfield	Manchester City
7	Liverpool	Southampton
8	Newcastle	Bradford City
9	Sheffield Wed	Grimsby
10	Wolves	Everton
11	Crystal Palace	Millwall
12	Burnley	Cardiff
13	Wrexham	Reading
14	Wigan	Wycombe
15	Barnsley	Brighton
16	Fulham	Cambridge Utd

Which TV channels are streaming of West Bromwich Albion - Derby County?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+