Philadelphia Union vs DC United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Philadelphia Union - DC United
Result
3:0
26/04/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Vazquez R. (Usa)
Philadelphia Union - DC United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.310.78
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
66% (206/311)72% (282/393)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.310.78
xG on target (xGOT)
1.620.50
Total shots
129
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
14
Blocked Shots
50
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
1316
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
1211
Passes
66% (206/311)72% (282/393)
Long passes
30% (16/54)47% (41/88)
Passes in final third
53% (48/91)49% (49/99)
Crosses
20% (4/20)45% (10/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.351.14
Throw-ins
2628
Fouls
1112
Tackles
50% (7/14)54% (7/13)
Duels won
5862
Clearances
3732
Interceptions
812
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
0.501.62
Goals prevented
0.50-1.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', Rowles K. 🟨,
  • 7', Glesnes J. 🟨,
  • 15', 1 - 0, Glesnes J. , Westfield F. (A), Vassilev I. (A2)
  • 34', Westfield F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 52', 2 - 0, Jean Jacques D. ,
  • 62', Bueno J. , Sullivan C. ,
  • 62', Baribo T. , Damiani B. ,
  • 66', Kijima H. , Boris Enow ,
  • 66', Stroud J. , Gabriel Pirani ,
  • 71', Murrell J. , Zouhir R. ,
  • 71', Badji D. , Karamoko H. ,
  • 72', Karamoko H. 🟨,
  • 77', 3 - 0, Damiani B. , Uhre M. (A), Glesnes J. (A2)
  • 77', Barraza L. 🟨,
  • 81', Wagner K. , Makhanya O. ,
  • 81', Uhre M. , Donovan C. ,
  • 82', Schnegg D. , Antley C. ,
  • 90', Vassilev I. , Rafanello J. ,
  • 90+6', Jean Jacques D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Philadelphia Union
56.4%
Draw
22.7%
DC United
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.8% 23.5% 21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3% 21.2% 24.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • DC United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Philadelphia Union that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for DC United than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Philadelphia Union - DC United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.74)
    4.2
    (4.06)
    4.53
    (4.39)
    5%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union - DC United?
  • Users Predictions: Philadelphia Union will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.36%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Philadelphia won 3.
    • Recent matches Philadelphia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • DC United is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Philadelphia is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Philadelphia: Glavinovich I. (Knee Injury) Lukic J. (Red Card) Mbaizo O. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in DC United: Hopkins J. (Ankle Injury) Karamoko H. (Abdominal strain)
    • There are questionable in Philadelphia: Bueno J. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in DC United: Antley C. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Philadelphia won 15 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 54:16 (average 2.7:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Philadelphia won 9 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 27:5 (average 2.7:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Union - DC United were as follows:
    22.09.2024 Philadelphia Union - DC United 4:0
    04.05.2024 DC United - Philadelphia Union 2:2
    26.08.2023 DC United - Philadelphia Union 1:3
    03.08.2023 Philadelphia Union - DC United 1:0
    17.05.2023 Philadelphia Union - DC United 0:0
    Latest results of Philadelphia Union
    Latest results of DC United
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC24134747:321543
    2Vancouver Whitecaps23126539:261342
    3Minnesota United24118540:271341
    4Seattle Sounders23107637:33437
    5Los Angeles FC21106539:271236
    6Portland Timbers2397732:32034
    7Colorado Rapids24861030:36-630
    8Austin FC2286817:24-730
    9San Jose Earthquakes2478946:42429
    10Real Salt Lake23841124:29-528
    11Houston Dynamo24761130:39-927
    12FC Dallas23671032:41-925
    13Sporting Kansas City23661136:42-624
    14St. Louis City23461323:38-1518
    15Los Angeles Galaxy24371428:48-2016


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati24153639:31848
    2Nashville SC24145542:251747
    3Philadelphia Union24145540:231747
    4Columbus Crew24128440:33744
    5Inter Miami21125449:341541
    6Orlando City24108643:321138
    7Charlotte241121141:39235
    8New York City23105830:26435
    9New York Red Bulls2496939:35433
    10Chicago Fire2395944:40432
    11New England Revolution23671030:32-225
    12Toronto FC23561225:30-521
    13Atlanta Utd23481127:43-1620
    14DC United24471320:45-2519
    15CF Montreal24361520:45-2515

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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