Cruzeiro vs Mirassol: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie A Cruzeiro - Mirassol
Result
2:1
29/03/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 1
  • Referee: Gomes Stefano A. (Bra)
Cruzeiro - Mirassol - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.151.75
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
816
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
77% (283/366)82% (374/454)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
1.151.75
xG on target (xGOT)
1.651.73
Total shots
816
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
510
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
1123
Through passes
0% (0/1)100% (1/1)
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
2118
Passes
77% (283/366)82% (374/454)
Long passes
42% (24/57)51% (24/47)
Passes in final third
65% (60/92)65% (71/110)
Crosses
44% (4/9)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.560.92
Fouls
1821
Tackles
61% (11/18)85% (17/20)
Duels won
5259
Clearances Total
3211
Interceptions
1515
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
50
xGOT faced
1.731.65
Goals prevented
0.73-0.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 11', Jemmes 🟨,
  • 14', 1 - 0, Dudu , William Furtado (A),
  • 22', 2 - 0, Gabriel Barbosa , William Furtado (A),
  • 30', Matheus Henrique 🟨,
  • 33', Walace 🟨,
  • 44', Reinaldo (Pen),
  • 45+3', 2 - 1, Lucas Ramon , Clayson (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Walace , Romero L. ,
  • 49', Romero L. 🟨,
  • 59', Maceio , Edson Carioca ,
  • 64', Reinaldo 🟨,
  • 71', Kaio Jorge , Matheus Pereira ,
  • 71', Neto Moura , Jose Aldo ,
  • 71', Iury Castilho , Daniel Fabricio ,
  • 72', Wanderson , Lucas Silva ,
  • 77', Chico Kim , Matheus Davo ,
  • 77', Clayson , Luiz Filipe ,
  • 83', Dudu , Marquinhos ,
  • 85', Edson Carioca 🟨,
  • 89', Rafael Guanaes 🟨,
  • 90+1', Gabriel Barbosa , Bolasie Y. ,
  • 90+4', Cassio 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cruzeiro
59.9%
Draw
25.8%
Mirassol
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.3% 25.2% 14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9% 21.3% 17.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cruzeiro that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Cruzeiro - Mirassol Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.57)
    3.69
    (3.75)
    6.66
    (6.48)
    5%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Cruzeiro - Mirassol?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cruzeiro will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Mirassol will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cruzeiro: 45%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Cruzeiro is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Mirassol has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Cruzeiro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Cruzeiro is the unquestionable favorite.
    • There will not play in Mirassol: PH (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Cruzeiro
    Latest results of Mirassol
    02.03.2025 Corinthians - Mirassol 2:0
    23.02.2025 Mirassol - Palmeiras 2:3
    12.02.2025 Mirassol - Ponte Preta 1:2
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cruzeiro16104227:91834
    2Flamengo RJ15103229:62333
    3Palmeiras1492318:12629
    4Bragantino1683519:17227
    5Botafogo RJ1474317:71025
    6Bahia1474317:13425
    7Mirassol1466223:131024
    8Fluminense1462616:17-120
    9Atletico-MG1455416:15120
    10Internacional1555516:19-320
    11Corinthians1655615:19-420
    12Sao Paulo1647515:18-319
    13Ceara1553714:15-118
    14Gremio1445514:20-617
    15Vitoria1637613:17-416
    16Vasco1442815:19-414
    17Santos1542913:19-614
    18Juventude1432910:29-1911
    19Fortaleza1425713:20-711
    20Sport Recife1404107:23-164

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
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          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

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