Cruzeiro vs Mirassol: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie A Cruzeiro - Mirassol
Result
2:1
29/03/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 1
  • Referee: Gomes Stefano A. (Bra)
Cruzeiro - Mirassol - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Cruzeiro - Mirassol live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.151.75
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
816
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
77% (283/366)82% (374/454)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
1.151.75
xG on target (xGOT)
1.651.73
Total shots
816
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
510
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
1123
Through passes
0% (0/1)100% (1/1)
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
2118
Passes
77% (283/366)82% (374/454)
Long passes
42% (24/57)51% (24/47)
Passes in final third
65% (60/92)65% (71/110)
Crosses
44% (4/9)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.560.92
Fouls
1821
Tackles
61% (11/18)85% (17/20)
Duels won
5259
Clearances Total
3211
Interceptions
1515
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
50
xGOT faced
1.731.65
Goals prevented
0.73-0.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 11', Jemmes 🟨,
  • 14', 1 - 0, Dudu , William Furtado (A),
  • 22', 2 - 0, Gabriel Barbosa , William Furtado (A),
  • 30', Matheus Henrique 🟨,
  • 33', Walace 🟨,
  • 44', Reinaldo (Pen),
  • 45+3', 2 - 1, Lucas Ramon , Clayson (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Walace , Romero L. ,
  • 49', Romero L. 🟨,
  • 59', Maceio , Edson Carioca ,
  • 64', Reinaldo 🟨,
  • 71', Kaio Jorge , Matheus Pereira ,
  • 71', Neto Moura , Jose Aldo ,
  • 71', Iury Castilho , Daniel Fabricio ,
  • 72', Wanderson , Lucas Silva ,
  • 77', Chico Kim , Matheus Davo ,
  • 77', Clayson , Luiz Filipe ,
  • 83', Dudu , Marquinhos ,
  • 85', Edson Carioca 🟨,
  • 89', Rafael Guanaes 🟨,
  • 90+1', Gabriel Barbosa , Bolasie Y. ,
  • 90+4', Cassio 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cruzeiro
59.9%
Draw
25.8%
Mirassol
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.3% 25.2% 14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9% 21.3% 17.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cruzeiro that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Cruzeiro - Mirassol Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.57)
    3.69
    (3.75)
    6.66
    (6.48)
    5%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Cruzeiro - Mirassol?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cruzeiro will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Mirassol will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cruzeiro: 45%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Cruzeiro is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Mirassol has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Cruzeiro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Cruzeiro is the unquestionable favorite.
    • There will not play in Mirassol: PH (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Cruzeiro
    Latest results of Mirassol
    02.03.2025 Corinthians - Mirassol 2:0
    23.02.2025 Mirassol - Palmeiras 2:3
    12.02.2025 Mirassol - Ponte Preta 1:2
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ1173124:42024
    2Cruzeiro1273217:8924
    3Bragantino1272314:11323
    4Palmeiras1171312:8422
    5Bahia1263314:11321
    6Fluminense1162315:12320
    7Atletico-MG1255213:10320
    8Botafogo RJ1153314:7718
    9Mirassol1145217:12517
    10Corinthians1244413:15-216
    11Gremio1244412:15-316
    12Ceara1143413:11215
    13Vasco1241714:16-213
    14Sao Paulo1226410:14-412
    15Santos1232711:14-311
    16Vitoria1225510:14-411
    17Internacional1225512:18-611
    18Fortaleza1224612:18-610
    19Juventude112278:24-168
    20Sport Recife110385:18-133

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

    Which TV channels are streaming of Cruzeiro - Mirassol?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan