Result
1:1
23/08/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A Betano - Round 24
- Referee: Batista E. (Bra)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.23 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (499/576) | 74% (246/332) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (499/576) | 74% (246/332) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (17/34) | 33% (20/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (152/189) | 51% (31/61) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (4/28) | 50% (2/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.21 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (24/27) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 2 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.61 | 0.01 |
| Goal kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', Joao Schmidt 🟨,
- 22', Gabriel Knesowitsch 🟨,
- 24', Neto Moura 🟨,
- 28', Gabriel Knesowitsch ↓, Lucas Oliveira ↑,
- 36', 0 - 1, Eduardo ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Rony ↓, Gabriel Bontempo ↑,
- 61', Joao Schmidt ↓, Rollheiser B. ↑,
- 61', Cazonatti G. ↓, Wallisson ↑,
- 61', Eduardo ↓, Japa ↑,
- 68', 1 - 1, Barreal A. ⚽, Neymar (A),
- 73', Wallisson 🟥,
- 74', Barreal A. ↓, Thaciano ↑,
- 76', Igor Formiga 🟨,
- 78', Bruno Santos ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
- 78', Alesson ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
- 82', Igor Vinicius ↓, Fernandes D. ↑,
- 82', Gabriel Barbosa ↓, Caballero G. ↑,
- 88', Neymar 🟨,
Chances of winning
Santos
53.3% | Draw
25.7% | Mirassol
21% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santos's performance.Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santos that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+4%)
Santos - Mirassol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↓
(2.02) |
3.7 ↑
(3.32) |
4.54 ↑
(3.63) |
4.6%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Santos - Mirassol?
- Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Santos (votes: 1 - 100%).
- Users Predictions:
Santos will win
(14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%. - The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos won 2.
- Santos is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Mirassol is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Santos is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Santos: Gabriel Bontempo
(Injury)
Lucas Verissimo
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Mirassol: Cazonatti G.
(Inactive)
Denilson
(Yellow Cards)
Elias
(Inactive)
Gustavo Silva
(Inactive)
Jose Aldo
(Muscle Injury)
Negueba
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Santos: Vinicius Lira
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Mirassol: Denilson
(Injury)
Edson Carioca
(Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Santos won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 1.7:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santos won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Mirassol?
Santos has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Santos?
Mirassol has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santos - Mirassol were as follows:
10.03.2026
Mirassol
-
Santos
2:2
19.11.2025
Santos
-
Mirassol
1:1
19.07.2025
Mirassol
-
Santos
3:0
16.01.2025
Santos
-
Mirassol
2:1
12.10.2024
Santos
-
Mirassol
3:2
Latest results of Mirassol
Brazilian Serie A Table
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55:23 | 32 | 60 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47:21 | 26 | 57 |
| 3 | Athletico-PR | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43:32 | 11 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44:36 | 8 | 48 |
| 5 | Bahia | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43:35 | 8 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 45 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37:32 | 5 | 43 |
| 8 | Santos | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43:41 | 2 | 41 |
| 9 | Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 36 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo RJ | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41:45 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28:42 | -14 | 33 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:32 | -3 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33:42 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 | Vasco | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34:41 | -7 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30:38 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 | Internacional | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30:36 | -6 | 28 |
| 19 | Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29:53 | -24 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
Which TV channels are streaming of Santos - Mirassol?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Laola1 |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Germany | Laola1, Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Mexico | Azteca Deportes |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 2 |
 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
