Aston Villa vs Club Brugge: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Champions League Aston Villa - Club Brugge
Result
3:0
12/03/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)
Aston Villa - Club Brugge - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.580.12
Ball Possession
53%47%
Goal Attempts
144
Shots on Goal
101
Shots off Goal
42
Blocked Shots
01
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
31
Shots inside the Box
82
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
17
Free Kicks
87
Offsides
10
Fouls
78
Yellow Cards
01
Red Cards
01
Throw-ins
1611
Touches in the Opposition Box
315
Passes
94% (506/540)90% (425/471)
Passes in the final third
85% (119/140)78% (61/78)
Crosses
40% (2/5)22% (2/9)
Tackles
46% (6/13)63% (12/19)
Clearances Total
1113
Interceptions
108

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Sabbe K. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Kamara B. , Bailey L. ,
  • 46', Watkins O. , Asensio M. ,
  • 50', 1 - 0, Asensio M. , Bailey L. (A),
  • 57', 2 - 0, Maatsen I. , Rogers M. (A),
  • 58', Jutgla F. , Nilsson G. ,
  • 58', Jashari A. , Nielsen C. ,
  • 58', Talbi C. , Skoras M. ,
  • 58', Ordonez J. , Romero Z. ,
  • 61', 3 - 0, Asensio M. , Rashford M. (A),
  • 66', Mings T. , Torres P. ,
  • 66', Rogers M. , Ramsey J. ,
  • 66', Tzolis C. , Siquet H. ,
  • 70', Vanaken H. 🟨,
  • 73', Cash M. , Disasi A. ,

Chances of winning


Aston Villa
56.2%
Draw
23.6%
Club Brugge
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.2% 21.8% 19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9% 21.2% 18.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Club Brugge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Brugge than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Aston Villa - Club Brugge Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.62)
    4.07
    (4.4)
    4.78
    (5.04)
    3.9%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Aston Villa - Club Brugge?
  • Users Predictions: Aston Villa will win (47 of 55 users predict this - 85.45%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.13%94.77%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 3-1.
    • Aston Villa is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Brugge is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Aston Villa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Aston Villa is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Aston Villa: Barkley R. (Calf Injury) Garcia A. (Inactive) Jimoh-Aloba J. (Inactive) Malen D. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Brugge: Meijer B. (Lacking Match Fitness) Seys J. (Muscle Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Aston Villa to win the game is with odds 1.73.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Aston Villa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aston Villa - Club Brugge were as follows:
    04.03.2025 Club Brugge - Aston Villa 1:3
    06.11.2024 Club Brugge - Aston Villa 1:0
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    08.03.2025 Brentford - Aston Villa 0:1
    04.03.2025 Club Brugge - Aston Villa 1:3
    28.02.2025 Aston Villa - Cardiff City 2:0
    22.02.2025 Aston Villa - Chelsea 2:1
    Latest results of Club Brugge
    04.03.2025 Club Brugge - Aston Villa 1:3
    01.03.2025 Gent - Club Brugge 1:1
    18.02.2025 Atalanta - Club Brugge 1:3
    Draw
    Qualification

    1/8-finals
    1RijekaBye
    2LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    3NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    4ByeFerencvaros
    5TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    6FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    7ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    8ByeQarabag
    9Lech PoznanBye
    10EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    11VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    12ByeCrvena zvezda
    13ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    14ByeDyn. Kyiv
    15PafosBye
    16ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    17Bodo/GlimtBye
    24ByeSturm Graz
    25CelticBye
    29KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    30O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    31Slovan BratislavaBye
    32VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    33BaselBye
    37LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    38Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    39FC CopenhagenBye
    40DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    41FeyenoordBye
    44ByeFenerbahce
    45NiceBye
    48ByeBenfica
    49RangersBye
    50ByePanathinaikos
    51PlzenBye
    52ByeServette
    53BrannBye
    54ByeSalzburg
    56ByeClub Brugge KV

    Quarter-finals
    1RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    3ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    4ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    5Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    6Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    7HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    8PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9Bodo/GlimtBye
    12ByeSturm Graz
    13CelticBye
    15KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    16Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    17BaselBye
    19RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    20FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    21FeyenoordBye
    22ByeFenerbahce
    23NiceBye
    24ByeBenfica
    25RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    26PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    27BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    28ByeClub Brugge KV

    Semi-finals
    1LudogoretsFerencvaros0 : 3, 0 : 0
    2ShkendijaQarabag1 : 5, 0 : 1
    3Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda1 : 1, 1 : 3
    4Dyn. KyivPafos0 : 2, 0 : 1
    5Bodo/GlimtBye
    6ByeSturm Graz
    7CelticBye
    8Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava1 : 1, 1 : 0
    9BaselBye
    10Malmo FFFC Copenhagen0 : 5, 0 : 0
    11FeyenoordFenerbahce2 : 5, 2 : 1
    12NiceBenfica0 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RangersPlzen1 : 2, 3 : 0
    14SalzburgClub Brugge KV2 : 3, 0 : 1

    Final
    1FerencvarosQarabag3 : 2, 1 : 3
    2Crvena zvezdaPafos1 : 1, 1 : 2
    3Bodo/GlimtSturm Graz1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4CelticKairat Almaty0 : 1, 0 : 0
    5BaselFC Copenhagen0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6FenerbahceBenfica0 : 1, 0 : 0
    7RangersClub Brugge KV0 : 6, 1 : 3
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