Portland Timbers vs Cincinnati: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Portland Timbers - Cincinnati
Result
2:3
16/08/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Vazquez R. (Usa)
Portland Timbers - Cincinnati - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.500.81
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
2410
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
87% (461/531)77% (311/406)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.500.81
xG on target (xGOT)
1.321.53
Total shots
2410
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
111
Shots inside the Box
157
Shots outside the Box
93
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
5031
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
87% (461/531)77% (311/406)
Long passes
58% (30/52)28% (15/54)
Passes in final third
75% (122/162)58% (54/93)
Crosses
26% (8/31)33% (1/3)
Expected assists (xA)
1.831.22
Throw-ins
1813
Fouls
1012
Tackles
79% (11/14)60% (9/15)
Duels won
5347
Clearances
1844
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.531.32
Goals prevented
-1.47-0.68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Denkey K. , Bucha P. (A),
  • 12', Kelsy K. 🟨,
  • 25', 0 - 2, Bucha P. , Evander (A),
  • 36', 0 - 3, Evander , Miazga M. (A),
  • 38', 1 - 3, Kelsy K. , Lassiter A. (A),
  • 45+3', Robinson M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', Ortiz J. , Paredes C. ,
  • 59', Echenique E. , Mboma K. ,
  • 59', Denkey K. , Kamara K. ,
  • 60', Paredes C. 🟨,
  • 68', 2 - 3, Kelsy K. (Pen),
  • 78', Robinson M. , Hadebe T. ,
  • 83', Lassiter A. , Fernandez O. ,
  • 83', Miller K. , Zuparic D. ,
  • 85', Ayala D. , Mora F. ,
  • 90+1', Yedlin D. , Powell A. ,
  • 90+1', Jimenez S. , Valenzuela G. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Portland Timbers
35.5%
Draw
28%
Cincinnati
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.2% 26.5% 35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3% 27.1% 36.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Portland Timbers - Cincinnati Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.67
    (2.5)
    3.4
    (3.6)
    2.59
    (2.7)
    5.4%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Portland Timbers - Cincinnati?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Portland will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Portland has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Cincinnati is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Portland: Moreno S. (Inactive) Rodriguez J. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Cincinnati: Anunga T. (Red Card) Kubo Y. (Ankle Injury) Nwobodo O. (Thigh Injury) Sergio Santos (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Portland won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Portland won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Timbers - Cincinnati were as follows:
    22.04.2023 Cincinnati - Portland Timbers 2:1
    Latest results of Portland Timbers
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    10.08.2025 Cincinnati - Charlotte 0:1
    03.08.2025 Cincinnati - Juárez 2:3
    31.07.2025 Monterrey - Cincinnati 2:3
    26.07.2025 Inter Miami - Cincinnati 0:0
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 31176856:381857
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 30168657:322556
    3Minnesota United ✔ 31159751:361554
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 29148757:372050
    5Seattle Sounders30129952:45745
    6Austin FC301281033:37-444
    7Portland Timbers3111101039:41-243
    8Colorado Rapids311161441:52-1139
    9FC Dallas309101145:49-437
    10Houston Dynamo31991340:49-936
    11San Jose Earthquakes31981456:58-235
    12Real Salt Lake301041632:45-1334
    13St. Louis City31771739:52-1328
    14Sporting Kansas City31761845:63-1827
    15Los Angeles Galaxy30491737:61-2421


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 31186750:331760
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 31184947:39858
    3Inter Miami ✔ 29167664:461855
    4Charlotte ✔ 311721251:42953
    5New York City ✔ 311651046:39753
    6Orlando City30149758:431551
    7Nashville SC311551152:381450
    8Columbus Crew311311751:47450
    9Chicago Fire301361157:53445
    10New York Red Bulls311271245:40543
    11New England Revolution31881539:45-632
    12Toronto FC305121330:37-727
    13Atlanta Utd305121337:55-1827
    14DC United315101629:58-2925
    15CF Montreal31591729:55-2624

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Portland Timbers - Cincinnati?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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