Chicago Fire vs San Diego: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Chicago Fire - San Diego
Result
1:2
12/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Rivas V. (Usa)
Chicago Fire - San Diego - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.501.10
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
187
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
70
Passes
83% (347/417)86% (474/549)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.501.10
xG on target (xGOT)
1.371.88
Total shots
187
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
135
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
70
Touches in opposition box
3815
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1117
Passes
83% (347/417)86% (474/549)
Long passes
47% (22/47)50% (31/62)
Passes in final third
63% (77/122)69% (70/102)
Crosses
30% (3/10)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.361.25
Throw-ins
2018
Fouls
1711
Tackles
89% (16/18)69% (9/13)
Duels won
4137
Clearances
1111
Interceptions
713
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.881.37
Goals prevented
-0.120.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 2', Valakari O. 🟨,
  • 8', 0 - 1, Dreyer A. , Lozano H. (A), Bombino L. (A2)
  • 30', Pineda M. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 0 - 2, Dreyer A. , Lozano H. (A), Bombino L. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', McNair P. , Pilcher I. ,
  • 46', Oregel S. , Kouame R. ,
  • 58', Lozano H. , Mighten A. ,
  • 66', Barroso L. , Dean J. ,
  • 71', Pineda M. , D'Avilla D. ,
  • 72', Zinckernagel P. , Haile-Selassie M. ,
  • 81', Angel T. , Boateng E. ,
  • 82', Boateng E. 🟨,
  • 86', Rogers S. , Barlow T. ,
  • 87', 1 - 2, Cuypers H. , Haile-Selassie M. (A),
  • 90+1', Bombino L. , Negri F. ,
  • 90+6', Gutierrez B. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Chicago Fire
37.1%
Draw
24.6%
San Diego
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.6% 26% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 26.7% 35.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chicago Fire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • San Diego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Chicago Fire - San Diego Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.56
    (2.54)
    3.83
    (3.68)
    2.47
    (2.63)
    5.7%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Chicago Fire - San Diego?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Chicago will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). San Diego will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for San Diego: 29.2%76.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. San Diego (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Chicago is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • San Diego is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Chicago may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Chicago: Acosta K. (Injury) Cupps C. (Leg Injury) Mueller C. (Personal Reasons) Poreba D. (Knee Injury) Teran C. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in San Diego: Alvarado Jr A. (Injury) Diop H. (Lower-Body Injury) Ingvartsen M. (Lower-Body Injury) Kumado W. (Lower-Body Injury) Reyes A. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Chicago: Kouame R. (Lower-Body Injury) Reynolds J. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Chicago Fire
    Latest results of San Diego
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 31176856:381857
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 29167656:312555
    3Minnesota United ✔ 31159751:361554
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 29148757:372050
    5Seattle Sounders30129952:45745
    6Austin FC301281033:37-444
    7Portland Timbers301191038:40-242
    8Colorado Rapids311161441:52-1139
    9FC Dallas309101145:49-437
    10Houston Dynamo31991340:49-936
    11San Jose Earthquakes31981456:58-235
    12Real Salt Lake301041632:45-1334
    13St. Louis City31771739:52-1328
    14Sporting Kansas City31761845:63-1827
    15Los Angeles Galaxy30491737:61-2421


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 31186750:331760
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 31184947:39858
    3Charlotte ✔ 311721251:42953
    4New York City ✔ 30165946:351153
    5Inter Miami28157660:461452
    6Orlando City30149758:431551
    7Nashville SC311551152:381450
    8Columbus Crew311311751:47450
    9Chicago Fire301361157:53445
    10New York Red Bulls311271245:40543
    11New England Revolution31881539:45-632
    12Toronto FC305121330:37-727
    13Atlanta Utd305121337:55-1827
    14DC United315101629:58-2925
    15CF Montreal31591729:55-2624

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Chicago Fire - San Diego?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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