Chicago Fire vs San Diego: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Chicago Fire - San Diego
Result
1:2
12/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Rivas V. (Usa)
Chicago Fire - San Diego - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.501.10
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
187
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
70
Passes
83% (347/417)86% (474/549)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.501.10
xG on target (xGOT)
1.371.88
Total shots
187
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
135
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
70
Touches in opposition box
3815
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1117
Passes
83% (347/417)86% (474/549)
Long passes
47% (22/47)50% (31/62)
Passes in final third
63% (77/122)69% (70/102)
Crosses
30% (3/10)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.361.25
Throw-ins
2018
Fouls
1711
Tackles
89% (16/18)69% (9/13)
Duels won
4137
Clearances
1111
Interceptions
713
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.881.37
Goals prevented
-0.120.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 2', Valakari O. 🟨,
  • 8', 0 - 1, Dreyer A. , Lozano H. (A), Bombino L. (A2)
  • 30', Pineda M. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 0 - 2, Dreyer A. , Lozano H. (A), Bombino L. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', McNair P. , Pilcher I. ,
  • 46', Oregel S. , Kouame R. ,
  • 58', Lozano H. , Mighten A. ,
  • 66', Barroso L. , Dean J. ,
  • 71', Pineda M. , D'Avilla D. ,
  • 72', Zinckernagel P. , Haile-Selassie M. ,
  • 81', Angel T. , Boateng E. ,
  • 82', Boateng E. 🟨,
  • 86', Rogers S. , Barlow T. ,
  • 87', 1 - 2, Cuypers H. , Haile-Selassie M. (A),
  • 90+1', Bombino L. , Negri F. ,
  • 90+6', Gutierrez B. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Chicago Fire
37.1%
Draw
24.6%
San Diego
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.6% 26% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 26.7% 35.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chicago Fire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • San Diego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Chicago Fire - San Diego Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.56
    (2.54)
    3.83
    (3.68)
    2.47
    (2.63)
    5.7%
    (4.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Chicago Fire - San Diego?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Chicago will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). San Diego will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for San Diego: 29.2%76.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. San Diego (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Chicago is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • San Diego is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Chicago may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Chicago: Acosta K. (Injury) Cupps C. (Leg Injury) Mueller C. (Personal Reasons) Poreba D. (Knee Injury) Teran C. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in San Diego: Alvarado Jr A. (Injury) Diop H. (Lower-Body Injury) Ingvartsen M. (Lower-Body Injury) Kumado W. (Lower-Body Injury) Reyes A. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Chicago: Kouame R. (Lower-Body Injury) Reynolds J. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Chicago Fire
    Latest results of San Diego
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 33189665:362963
    2San Diego FC ✔ 33186960:411960
    3Los Angeles FC ✔ 33178863:382559
    4Minnesota United ✔ 331610755:371858
    5Seattle Sounders ✔ 331410956:47952
    6Austin FC331381236:43-747
    7Portland Timbers3311111141:44-344
    8FC Dallas3310111250:54-441
    9Real Salt Lake331241736:47-1140
    10Colorado Rapids331171542:54-1240
    11San Jose Earthquakes331081558:62-438
    12Houston Dynamo33991543:56-1336
    13St. Louis City33871842:56-1431
    14Sporting Kansas City33762046:70-2427
    15Los Angeles Galaxy33691844:65-2127


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 33206757:332466
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 33195949:40962
    3Inter Miami ✔ 33188776:532362
    4Charlotte ✔ 331821353:46756
    5New York City ✔ 331751149:42756
    6Nashville SC331661156:401654
    7Orlando City331411861:471453
    8Chicago Fire331571166:58852
    9Columbus Crew331312852:50251
    10New York Red Bulls331271447:44343
    11New England Revolution33981642:49-735
    12Toronto FC335141433:42-929
    13CF Montreal336101734:57-2328
    14Atlanta Utd335121637:62-2527
    15DC United335101829:65-3625

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Seattle Sounders is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Chicago Fire - San Diego?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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