New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS New York Red Bulls - Chicago Fire
Result
2:1
05/04/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Marrufo J. (Usa)
New York Red Bulls - Chicago Fire - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.361.35
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
712
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
79% (323/409)85% (447/525)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.361.35
xG on target (xGOT)
1.962.61
Total shots
712
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
15
Blocked Shots
01
Shots inside the Box
66
Shots outside the Box
16
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
1720
Offsides
34
Free Kicks
156
Passes
79% (323/409)85% (447/525)
Long passes
33% (19/57)57% (20/35)
Passes in final third
68% (84/124)81% (103/127)
Crosses
50% (5/10)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.871.56
Fouls
615
Tackles
81% (21/26)56% (9/16)
Duels won
6148
Clearances Total
1711
Interceptions
1010
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
2.611.96
Goals prevented
1.61-0.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 32', 0 - 1, Bamba J. , Zinckernagel P. (A), Cuypers H. (A2)
  • 37', Rogers S. , Gonzalez O. ,
  • 41', 1 - 1, Ngoma S. , Valencia O. (A), Eile N. (A2)
  • 45+2', 2 - 1, Choupo-Moting E. M. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 62', Reynolds J. , Glasgow O. ,
  • 62', Acosta K. , Barlow T. ,
  • 62', Kouame R. , Pineda M. ,
  • 69', Sofo M. , Carmona W. ,
  • 69', Ngoma S. , Gjengaar D. ,
  • 76', Carballo F. , Stroud P. ,
  • 84', Gutman A. , Haile-Selassie M. ,
  • 87', Choupo-Moting E. M. , Bogacz W. ,
  • 87', Forsberg E. , Nealis S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York Red Bulls
48.8%
Draw
26.5%
Chicago Fire
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.7% 23.7% 19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1% 25.5% 18.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New York Red Bulls's form might have worsened.
  • Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chicago Fire's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+12.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New York Red Bulls, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chicago Fire, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • New York Red Bulls - Chicago Fire Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.69)
    3.61
    (4.03)
    3.89
    (4.87)
    4.7%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls - Chicago Fire?
    The most likely score is 2:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches NY Red Bulls won 0.
    • Recent matches NY Red Bulls is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Chicago is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match NY Red Bulls is a favorite.
    • There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Duncan K. (Knee Injury) Harper C. (Knee Injury) Morales M. (Knee Injury) Morgan L. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Chicago: Dean J. (Chest Injury) Gasper C. (Lower-Body Injury) Gutierrez B. (Lower-Body Injury) Mueller C. (Personal Reasons) Poreba D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Chicago: Acosta K. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches NY Red Bulls won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 29:22 (average 1.5:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams NY Red Bulls won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:9 (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York Red Bulls - Chicago Fire were as follows:
    14.09.2024 Chicago Fire - New York Red Bulls 2:1
    13.04.2024 New York Red Bulls - Chicago Fire 0:0
    30.09.2023 New York Red Bulls - Chicago Fire 0:1
    Latest results of New York Red Bulls
    Latest results of Chicago Fire
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps1182122:81426
    2Minnesota United1154215:10519
    3Portland Timbers1153321:19218
    4San Diego FC1152421:15617
    5Los Angeles FC1152417:16117
    6Austin FC115157:13-616
    7Seattle Sounders1144317:13416
    8Colorado Rapids1144315:16-116
    9FC Dallas1143414:19-515
    10San Jose Earthquakes1141624:20413
    11Real Salt Lake1140712:17-512
    12Sporting Kansas City1131717:21-410
    13St. Louis City112458:12-410
    14Houston Dynamo1124510:16-610
    15Los Angeles Galaxy110388:21-133


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Columbus Crew1173118:10824
    2Philadelphia Union1171321:101122
    3FC Cincinnati1171315:13222
    4Inter Miami1063120:11921
    5Charlotte1161418:12619
    6Nashville SC1152420:14617
    7New York City1152413:13017
    8Orlando City1145218:12617
    9New England Revolution105149:7216
    10New York Red Bulls1143412:13-115
    11Chicago Fire1134418:22-413
    12DC United1133513:23-1012
    13Atlanta Utd1124512:20-810
    14Toronto FC111468:16-87
    15CF Montreal110385:16-113

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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