New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS New York Red Bulls - Chicago Fire
Result
2:1
05/04/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Marrufo J. (Usa)
New York Red Bulls - Chicago Fire - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.361.35
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
712
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
79% (323/409)85% (447/525)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.361.35
xG on target (xGOT)
1.962.61
Total shots
712
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
15
Blocked Shots
01
Shots inside the Box
66
Shots outside the Box
16
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
1720
Offsides
34
Free Kicks
156
Passes
79% (323/409)85% (447/525)
Long passes
33% (19/57)57% (20/35)
Passes in final third
68% (84/124)81% (103/127)
Crosses
50% (5/10)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.871.56
Fouls
615
Tackles
81% (21/26)56% (9/16)
Duels won
6148
Clearances Total
1711
Interceptions
1010
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
2.611.96
Goals prevented
1.61-0.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 32', 0 - 1, Bamba J. , Zinckernagel P. (A), Cuypers H. (A2)
  • 37', Rogers S. , Gonzalez O. ,
  • 41', 1 - 1, Ngoma S. , Valencia O. (A), Eile N. (A2)
  • 45+2', 2 - 1, Choupo-Moting E. M. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 62', Reynolds J. , Glasgow O. ,
  • 62', Acosta K. , Barlow T. ,
  • 62', Kouame R. , Pineda M. ,
  • 69', Sofo M. , Carmona W. ,
  • 69', Ngoma S. , Gjengaar D. ,
  • 76', Carballo F. , Stroud P. ,
  • 84', Gutman A. , Haile-Selassie M. ,
  • 87', Choupo-Moting E. M. , Bogacz W. ,
  • 87', Forsberg E. , Nealis S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York Red Bulls
48.8%
Draw
26.5%
Chicago Fire
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.7% 23.7% 19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1% 25.5% 18.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New York Red Bulls's form might have worsened.
  • Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chicago Fire's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+12.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New York Red Bulls, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chicago Fire, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • New York Red Bulls - Chicago Fire Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.69)
    3.61
    (4.03)
    3.89
    (4.87)
    4.7%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls - Chicago Fire?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Chicago will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for NY Red Bulls: 11.9%76.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches NY Red Bulls won 0.
    • Recent matches NY Red Bulls is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Chicago is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match NY Red Bulls is a favorite.
    • There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Duncan K. (Knee Injury) Harper C. (Knee Injury) Morales M. (Knee Injury) Morgan L. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Chicago: Dean J. (Chest Injury) Gasper C. (Lower-Body Injury) Gutierrez B. (Lower-Body Injury) Mueller C. (Personal Reasons) Poreba D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Chicago: Acosta K. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches NY Red Bulls won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 29:22 (average 1.5:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams NY Red Bulls won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:9 (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York Red Bulls - Chicago Fire were as follows:
    14.09.2024 Chicago Fire - New York Red Bulls 2:1
    13.04.2024 New York Red Bulls - Chicago Fire 0:0
    30.09.2023 New York Red Bulls - Chicago Fire 0:1
    Latest results of New York Red Bulls
    Latest results of Chicago Fire
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC22133646:301642
    2Minnesota United22117439:251440
    3Vancouver Whitecaps21115535:251038
    4Seattle Sounders2196631:28333
    5Portland Timbers2096530:28233
    6Los Angeles FC1995535:241132
    7Colorado Rapids23851027:33-629
    8San Jose Earthquakes2277842:37528
    9Austin FC2176815:23-827
    10Houston Dynamo22751029:35-626
    11Real Salt Lake21741023:28-525
    12Sporting Kansas City22651135:41-623
    13FC Dallas21561027:39-1221
    14St. Louis City21361221:34-1315
    15Los Angeles Galaxy22361324:43-1915


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union22134537:211643
    2FC Cincinnati22133635:31442
    3Nashville SC22125538:251341
    4Columbus Crew22118338:29941
    5Inter Miami19115344:301438
    6Orlando City2298540:291135
    7New York City2194827:24331
    8New York Red Bulls2286833:27630
    9Charlotte22921136:36029
    10Chicago Fire2184940:38228
    11New England Revolution2167826:25125
    12Atlanta Utd21471023:38-1519
    13DC United22471118:41-2319
    14Toronto FC21461124:29-518
    15CF Montreal22361319:41-2215

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of New York Red Bulls - Chicago Fire?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
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