Chicago Fire vs New York Red Bulls: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Chicago Fire - New York Red Bulls
Result
1:0
26/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Chapman A. (Usa)
Chicago Fire - New York Red Bulls - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.950.40
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
31
Passes
88% (447/509)84% (410/491)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.950.40
xG on target (xGOT)
2.040.38
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
114
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
31
Touches in opposition box
2529
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
115
Passes
88% (447/509)84% (410/491)
Long passes
45% (21/47)46% (26/56)
Passes in final third
76% (77/101)71% (107/151)
Crosses
17% (2/12)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.730.69
Throw-ins
1724
Fouls
511
Tackles
78% (18/23)73% (16/22)
Duels won
4739
Clearances
2316
Interceptions
137
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
0.382.04
Goals prevented
0.381.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 35', Gjengaar D. , Carmona W. ,
  • 44', 1 - 0, Cuypers H. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 62', Gutierrez B. , Kouame R. ,
  • 62', Teran C. , Gonzalez O. ,
  • 62', Zinckernagel P. , Haile-Selassie M. ,
  • 65', Edelman D. , Hall J. ,
  • 65', Valencia O. , Nealis D. ,
  • 74', D'Avilla D. , Pineda M. ,
  • 78', Gutman A. , Dean J. ,
  • 81', Duncan K. , Mosquera R. ,
  • 82', Sofo M. , Ngoma S. ,
  • 89', Forsberg E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Chicago Fire
52.8%
Draw
23.7%
New York Red Bulls
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 25.8% 27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6% 25.1% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chicago Fire's performance.
  • New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chicago Fire that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Chicago Fire - New York Red Bulls Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (2.06)
    3.98
    (3.7)
    4.04
    (3.42)
    5.1%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Chicago Fire - New York Red Bulls?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Chicago (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 2.
    • Chicago is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • NY Red Bulls has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Chicago has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Chicago is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Chicago: Cupps C. (Leg Injury) Mueller C. (Personal Reasons) Poreba D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Edwards R. (Yellow Cards) Harper C. (Knee Injury) Mitchell R. (Lacking Match Fitness) Morgan L. (Thigh Injury) Ngoma S. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:29. (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chicago Fire - New York Red Bulls were as follows:
    05.04.2025 New York Red Bulls - Chicago Fire 2:1
    14.09.2024 Chicago Fire - New York Red Bulls 2:1
    13.04.2024 New York Red Bulls - Chicago Fire 0:0
    30.09.2023 New York Red Bulls - Chicago Fire 0:1
    Latest results of Chicago Fire
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC28165752:331953
    2Minnesota United28148647:311650
    3Vancouver Whitecaps27147647:311649
    4Seattle Sounders27128748:381044
    5Los Angeles FC25118644:311341
    6Portland Timbers27108935:37-238
    7Colorado Rapids281061236:44-836
    8San Jose Earthquakes28981152:48435
    9Austin FC2698926:32-635
    10Real Salt Lake27941428:36-831
    11FC Dallas27791139:47-830
    12Houston Dynamo27781234:44-1029
    13Sporting Kansas City27661539:55-1624
    14St. Louis City27561631:47-1621
    15Los Angeles Galaxy27471632:55-2319


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union28166648:262254
    2FC Cincinnati28164842:35752
    3Nashville SC28155849:321750
    4Charlotte281521146:39747
    5Orlando City28138754:401447
    6Inter Miami25137554:401446
    7Columbus Crew27129643:39445
    8New York City26135837:30744
    9New York Red Bulls281161142:38439
    10Chicago Fire271161050:48239
    11New England Revolution27871235:38-331
    12Toronto FC27591327:34-724
    13CF Montreal28581528:50-2223
    14Atlanta Utd274111231:49-1823
    15DC United28491524:53-2921

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Chicago Fire - New York Red Bulls?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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