Chelsea vs Manchester United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English Premier League
Soccer English Premier League Chelsea - Manchester United
Result
1:0
16/05/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 37
  • Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)
Chelsea - Manchester United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.820.44
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
115
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
81% (329/408)80% (372/463)
Yellow Cards
16
Expected Goals (xG)
0.820.44
xG on target (xGOT)
0.710.12
Total shots
115
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
50
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
1614
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1410
Passes
81% (329/408)80% (372/463)
Long passes
32% (17/53)50% (38/76)
Passes in final third
69% (87/126)66% (65/98)
Crosses
8% (1/13)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.680.30
Throw-ins
1519
Fouls
1014
Tackles
84% (16/19)52% (13/25)
Duels won
4650
Clearances
1212
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.120.71
Goals prevented
0.12-0.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 31', Fernandes B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 48', Casemiro 🟨,
  • 65', Mazraoui N. 🟨,
  • 69', Diallo A. 🟨,
  • 70', Mount M. ↓, Garnacho A. ↑,
  • 70', Casemiro ↓, Ugarte M. ↑,
  • 71', 1 - 0, Cucurella M. ⚽, James R. (A),
  • 81', George T. ↓, Lavia R. ↑,
  • 82', Fernandes B. ↓, Mainoo K. ↑,
  • 82', Shaw L. ↓, Heaven A. ↑,
  • 90', Ugarte M. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Neto P. ↓, Gusto M. ↑,
  • 90+3', Heaven A. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Palmer C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Chelsea
62.7%		Draw
20.7%		Manchester United
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.8% 21.3% 16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1% 20.5% 16.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
    •

    Chelsea - Manchester United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.53 ↑
    (1.48)    		 4.68 ↑
    (4.3)    		 5.89 ↑
    (5.4)    		 3.5%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Chelsea - Manchester United?
  • Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. Chelsea will win (votes: 53 - 85.5%). Man Utd will win (votes: 2 - 3.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 11.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 76.7% – 94.3%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 - Man Utd (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Chelsea will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 1.
    • Chelsea is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Man Utd has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Chelsea is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Chelsea: Anselmino A. (Muscle Injury) Fofana D. D. (Knee Injury) Fofana W. (Hamstring Injury) Guiu M. (Muscle Injury) Jackson N. (Red Card) Kellyman O. (Hamstring Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended) Nkunku C. (Knock) Sancho J. (Loan agreement)
    • There will not play in Man Utd: Collyer T. (Leg Injury) Dalot D. (Calf Injury) Heaven A. (Ankle Injury) Martinez Li. (Knee Injury) Zirkzee J. (Hamstring Injury) de Ligt M. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Man Utd: Yoro L. (Injury)
    • We predict that Chelsea will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:31. (average 1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chelsea won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chelsea - Manchester United were as follows:
    03.11.2024 Manchester United - Chelsea 1:1
    04.04.2024 Chelsea - Manchester United 4:3
    06.12.2023 Manchester United - Chelsea 2:1
    25.05.2023 Manchester United - Chelsea 4:1
    22.10.2022 Chelsea - Manchester United 1:1
    Latest results of Chelsea
    11.05.2025 Newcastle United - Chelsea 2:0 ✺
    08.05.2025 Chelsea - Djurgården 1:0 ✺
    04.05.2025 Chelsea - Liverpool 3:1 ✺
    01.05.2025 Djurgården - Chelsea 1:4 ✺
    26.04.2025 Chelsea - Everton 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Manchester United
    11.05.2025 Manchester United - West Ham United 0:2 ✺
    08.05.2025 Manchester United - Athletic Bilbao 4:1 ✺
    04.05.2025 Brentford - Manchester United 4:3 ✺
    01.05.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Manchester United 0:3 ✺
    27.04.2025 Bournemouth - Manchester United 1:1 ✺
    English Premier League Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Liverpool38259486:414584
    2Arsenal382014469:343574
    3Manchester City38218972:442871
    4Chelsea38209964:432169
    5Newcastle382061268:472166
    6Aston Villa381991058:51766
    7Nottingham381981158:461265
    8Brighton381613966:59761
    9Bournemouth3815111258:461256
    10Brentford381681466:57956
    11Fulham381591454:54054
    12Crystal Palace3813141151:51053
    13Everton3811151242:44-248
    14West Ham3811101746:62-1643
    15Manchester Utd381191844:54-1042
    16Wolves381262054:69-1542
    17Tottenham381152264:65-138
    18Leicester38672533:80-4725
    19Ipswich384102436:82-4622
    20Southampton38263026:86-6012

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

    Which TV channels are streaming of Chelsea - Manchester United?
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