Manchester United vs Chelsea: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English Premier League Manchester United - Chelsea
Result
2:1
20/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 5
  • Referee: Bankes P. (Eng)
Manchester United - Chelsea - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.740.39
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
115
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
78% (287/367)85% (455/538)
Yellow Cards
25
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.740.39
xG on target (xGOT)
1.800.59
Total shots
115
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
64
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2018
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1413
Passes
78% (287/367)85% (455/538)
Long passes
24% (13/55)48% (22/46)
Passes in final third
68% (79/116)76% (78/102)
Crosses
28% (7/25)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.970.32
Throw-ins
2320
Fouls
1314
Tackles
81% (17/21)80% (12/15)
Duels won
4950
Clearances
2030
Interceptions
97
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.591.80
Goals prevented
-0.41-0.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 5', Sanchez R. 🟥,
  • 6', Estêvão , Jorgensen F. ,
  • 7', Neto P. , Adarabioyo T. ,
  • 14', 1 - 0, Fernandes B. , Dorgu P. (A),
  • 17', Casemiro 🟨,
  • 21', Palmer C. , Andrey Santos ,
  • 37', 2 - 0, Casemiro , Maguire H. (A),
  • 44', Cucurella M. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Casemiro 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Sesko B. , Ugarte M. ,
  • 48', Fernandez E. 🟨,
  • 50', Chalobah T. 🟨,
  • 64', Fofana W. , George T. ,
  • 64', Cucurella M. , Gusto M. ,
  • 65', Mazraoui N. , Cunha M. ,
  • 69', Mbeumo B. , Mount M. ,
  • 70', Maguire H. , Yoro L. ,
  • 72', George T. 🟨,
  • 80', 2 - 1, Chalobah T. , James R. (A),
  • 87', Fernandes B. , Mainoo K. ,
  • 90+6', Adarabioyo T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Manchester United
42.1%
Draw
27.3%
Chelsea
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.9% 25.8% 39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36% 26.6% 38.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manchester United's performance.
  • Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chelsea might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manchester United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chelsea could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Manchester United - Chelsea Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.48
    (2.74)
    3.85
    (3.7)
    3.62
    (2.43)
    -6.1%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Manchester United - Chelsea?
  • Users Predictions: 76 users predict this event. Man Utd will win (votes: 20 - 26.3%). Chelsea will win (votes: 40 - 52.6%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 21.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 41.4%63.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 21 high ROI users predict this event. Man Utd (votes: 4 - 19%). Chelsea (votes: 12 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Chelsea (votes: 5 - 100%).
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
    • DC - Chelsea (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 2.
    • Man Utd has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Chelsea's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Chelsea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Man Utd: Martinez Li. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Chelsea: Badiashile B. (Knock) Colwill L. (Knee Injury) Delap L. (Hamstring Injury) Essugo D. (Thigh Injury) Lavia R. (Muscle Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended)
    • There are questionable in Man Utd: Dalot D. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:21. (average 1.5:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Man Utd won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:9. (average 1.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manchester United - Chelsea were as follows:
    16.05.2025 Chelsea - Manchester United 1:0
    03.11.2024 Manchester United - Chelsea 1:1
    04.04.2024 Chelsea - Manchester United 4:3
    06.12.2023 Manchester United - Chelsea 2:1
    25.05.2023 Manchester United - Chelsea 4:1
    Latest results of Manchester United
    Latest results of Chelsea
    17.09.2025 Bayern Munich - Chelsea 3:1
    13.09.2025 Brentford - Chelsea 2:2
    30.08.2025 Chelsea - Fulham 2:0
    22.08.2025 West Ham United - Chelsea 1:5
    17.08.2025 Chelsea - Crystal Palace 0:0
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Liverpool550011:5615
    2Arsenal531110:2810
    3Tottenham531110:3710
    4Bournemouth53116:5110
    5Crystal Palace52306:249
    6Chelsea522110:558
    7Sunderland52216:428
    8Fulham52216:518
    9Manchester City52129:547
    10Everton52126:517
    11Manchester Utd52126:8-27
    12Leeds52124:7-37
    13Newcastle51313:306
    14Brighton51226:8-25
    15Nottingham51225:9-45
    16Burnley51135:8-34
    17Brentford51136:10-44
    18Aston Villa50321:5-43
    19West Ham51045:13-83
    20Wolves50053:12-90

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

    Which TV channels are streaming of Manchester United - Chelsea?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
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    asiaAsiabeIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Star Sports 2 Asia, Star Sports 3 Asia, TOD
    australiaAustraliaStan Sport
    austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
    azerbaijanAzerbaijanIdman TV
    belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1
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    bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network
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    chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
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    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
    czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
    denmarkDenmarkTV3+, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
    europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
    finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium, V Sport Ultra
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    hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
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    italyItalyNOW TV, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Uno
    japanJapanU-NEXT
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    kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2, SuperSport 2
    malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Astro Sports, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
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    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 2
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    myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
    nepalNepalKantipur Max
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 8, Sky Sport Premier League
    nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
    norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
    peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
    polandPolandCanal+ Extra 1
    portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
    romaniaRomaniaVoyo
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
    singaporeSingaporeHub Premier 1, Hub Premier 2
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
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    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Grandstand, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
    south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    spainSpainDAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
    swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium, V Sport Ultra
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 1
    thailandThailandAIS PLAY
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
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    uruguayUruguayDisney+
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