Chelsea vs Manchester United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

16/05/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stamford Bridge (London).

: Premier League - Round 37
Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.82	0.44
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Total shots
11	5
Shots on target
3	1
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
7	2
Passes
81% (329/408)	80% (372/463)
Yellow Cards
1	6
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82	0.44
xG on target (xGOT)
0.71	0.12
Total shots
11	5
Shots on target
3	1
Shots off target
4	4
Blocked Shots
4	0
Shots inside the Box
6	5
Shots outside the Box
5	0
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
7	2
Touches in opposition box
16	14
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
3	2
Free Kicks
14	10
Passes
81% (329/408)	80% (372/463)
Long passes
32% (17/53)	50% (38/76)
Passes in final third
69% (87/126)	66% (65/98)
Crosses
8% (1/13)	13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.68	0.30
Throw-ins
15	19
Fouls
10	14
Tackles
84% (16/19)	52% (13/25)
Duels won
46	50
Clearances
12	12
Interceptions
5	5
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
xGOT faced
0.12	0.71
Goals prevented
0.12	-0.29

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Fernandes B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Casemiro 🟨,
65', Mazraoui N. 🟨,
69', Diallo A. 🟨,
70', Mount M. ↓, Garnacho A. ↑,
70', Casemiro ↓, Ugarte M. ↑,
71', 1 - 0, Cucurella M. ⚽, James R. (A),
81', George T. ↓, Lavia R. ↑,
82', Fernandes B. ↓, Mainoo K. ↑,
82', Shaw L. ↓, Heaven A. ↑,
90', Ugarte M. 🟨,
90+1', Neto P. ↓, Gusto M. ↑,
90+3', Heaven A. 🟨,
90+6', Palmer C. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Chelsea
62.7%

Draw
20.7%

Manchester United
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

21.3%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

20.5%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Chelsea - Manchester United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.48)	4.68 ↑ (4.3)	5.89 ↑ (5.4)	3.5% (9.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Chelsea - Manchester United?

Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. Chelsea will win (votes: 53 - 85.5%). Man Utd will win (votes: 2 - 3.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 11.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 76.7% – 94.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -1.5 - Man Utd (votes: 4 - 100%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Chelsea will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 1.
Chelsea is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Man Utd has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Chelsea is the obvious favorite.
There will not play in Chelsea: Anselmino A. (Muscle Injury) Fofana D. D. (Knee Injury) Fofana W. (Hamstring Injury) Guiu M. (Muscle Injury) Jackson N. (Red Card) Kellyman O. (Hamstring Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended) Nkunku C. (Knock) Sancho J. (Loan agreement)
There will not play in Man Utd: Collyer T. (Leg Injury) Dalot D. (Calf Injury) Heaven A. (Ankle Injury) Martinez Li. (Knee Injury) Zirkzee J. (Hamstring Injury) de Ligt M. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Man Utd: Yoro L. (Injury)
We predict that Chelsea will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:31. (average 1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Chelsea won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.1:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Chelsea won against Manchester United?

Chelsea has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Manchester United won against Chelsea?

Manchester United has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Chelsea - Manchester United were as follows:

03.11.2024 Manchester United - Chelsea 1:1

04.04.2024 Chelsea - Manchester United 4:3

06.12.2023 Manchester United - Chelsea 2:1

25.05.2023 Manchester United - Chelsea 4:1

22.10.2022 Chelsea - Manchester United 1:1

Latest results of Chelsea

11.05.2025 Newcastle United - Chelsea 2:0 ✺

08.05.2025 Chelsea - Djurgården 1:0 ✺

04.05.2025 Chelsea - Liverpool 3:1 ✺

01.05.2025 Djurgården - Chelsea 1:4 ✺

26.04.2025 Chelsea - Everton 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Manchester United

11.05.2025 Manchester United - West Ham United 0:2 ✺

08.05.2025 Manchester United - Athletic Bilbao 4:1 ✺

04.05.2025 Brentford - Manchester United 4:3 ✺

01.05.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Manchester United 0:3 ✺

27.04.2025 Bournemouth - Manchester United 1:1 ✺

English Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Arsenal	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Aston Villa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Chelsea	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Everton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Fulham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Liverpool	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Manchester City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Manchester Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Newcastle	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Sunderland	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Tottenham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	West Ham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Burnley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Crystal Palace	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Wolves	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Bournemouth	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Leeds	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Nottingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Brentford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Relegation ~ Championship

Which TV channels are streaming of Chelsea - Manchester United?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Afghanistan	Asr TV, Meraj Sport, Solh Sports 1
Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, Showmax, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Azerbaijan	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 1
Belgium	Play Sports 1, VOOsport World 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Cambodia	MyTV
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport
Denmark	See, Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport+, V Sport Ultra
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 9, CANAL+ Premier League
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	Siminn Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Jiocinema, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	SuperSport 2
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, SKY NET Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Tubi TV
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport NOW, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	Hub Premier 1, Hub Premier 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ESPN South
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium, V Sport Ultra
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Tajikistan	Futbol TV, Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 1, True Premier Football 2, True Premier Football 3
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports 1, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Premier League, Sky Ultra
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fubo Sports Network, NBC Universo, Peacock TV, SiriusXM FC, USA Network
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus