Orlando City vs CF Montréal: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Orlando City - CF Montréal
Result
1:1
12/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Touchan R. (Usa)
Orlando City - CF Montréal - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.640.85
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
104
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
90% (447/495)89% (410/463)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
0.640.85
xG on target (xGOT)
0.270.85
Total shots
104
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
51
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
157
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1821
Passes
90% (447/495)89% (410/463)
Long passes
48% (13/27)39% (12/31)
Passes in final third
80% (119/148)80% (92/115)
Crosses
44% (4/9)0% (0/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.970.21
Throw-ins
129
Fouls
2118
Tackles
56% (9/16)70% (16/23)
Duels won
5163
Clearances
1218
Interceptions
126
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.850.27
Goals prevented
-0.15-0.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 28', 1 - 0, Ojeda M. , Muriel L. (A),
  • 45+4', Waterman J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Clark C. , Escobar O. ,
  • 48', Enrique R. 🟨,
  • 52', Schlegel R. 🟨,
  • 59', Muriel L. , Angulo I. ,
  • 62', Owusu P. 🟨,
  • 63', Synchuk G. , Sealy D. ,
  • 67', Freeman A. 🟨,
  • 72', Piette S. , Herbers F. ,
  • 72', Petrasso L. , Guboglo Y. ,
  • 74', Brekalo D. 🟨,
  • 77', Enrique R. , Thorhallsson D. ,
  • 77', Rafael Santos , Smith K. ,
  • 79', Bugaj D. , Pearce T. ,
  • 81', 1 - 1, Owusu P. (Pen),
  • 88', Araujo C. , Rodriguez N. ,
  • 90+3', Sealy D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Orlando City
67.3%
Draw
18.8%
CF Montréal
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.9% 20.4% 15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2% 19.7% 15.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Orlando City - CF Montréal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.49)
    5.03
    (4.68)
    6.79
    (6.07)
    5.6%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Orlando City - CF Montréal?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Orlando City will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Montreal will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Orlando City: 35.2%84.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Orlando City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Montreal has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Orlando City is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Gallese P. (Yellow Cards) Jansson R. (Yellow Cards) McGuire D. (Shoulder Injury) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Montreal: Neal J. (Ankle Injury) Vrioni G. (Elbow Injury)
    • There are questionable in Orlando City: Gerbet J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Montreal: Herbers F. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:26. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando City - CF Montréal were as follows:
    19.04.2025 CF Montréal - Orlando City 0:0
    26.07.2024 Orlando City - CF Montréal 4:1
    20.04.2024 CF Montréal - Orlando City 2:2
    24.02.2024 Orlando City - CF Montréal 0:0
    30.09.2023 Orlando City - CF Montréal 3:0
    Latest results of Orlando City
    Latest results of CF Montréal
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC23133746:311542
    2Vancouver Whitecaps22125538:251341
    3Minnesota United23117539:261340
    4Los Angeles FC20105536:241235
    5Seattle Sounders2297634:31334
    6Portland Timbers2296731:31033
    7Colorado Rapids24861030:36-630
    8Austin FC2286817:24-730
    9San Jose Earthquakes2378844:39529
    10Real Salt Lake22841024:28-428
    11Houston Dynamo23751129:38-926
    12Sporting Kansas City22651135:41-623
    13FC Dallas22571029:41-1222
    14St. Louis City22461223:35-1218
    15Los Angeles Galaxy23361425:45-2015


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union23144539:221746
    2FC Cincinnati23143638:31745
    3Nashville SC23135541:251644
    4Columbus Crew23118438:32641
    5Inter Miami20115444:331138
    6Orlando City2398641:311035
    7New York City22104829:25434
    8New York Red Bulls2396838:30833
    9Charlotte231021138:37132
    10Chicago Fire2285942:40229
    11New England Revolution2267929:30-125
    12Toronto FC22561125:29-421
    13Atlanta Utd22481025:40-1520
    14DC United23471219:43-2419
    15CF Montreal23361420:43-2315

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Orlando City - CF Montréal?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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