CF Montréal vs New York City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS CF Montréal - New York City
Result
1:0
28/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
CF Montréal - New York City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.270.83
Ball Possession
32%68%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
58
Passes
71% (193/271)85% (506/596)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
1.270.83
xG on target (xGOT)
1.290.49
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
1110
Shots outside the Box
21
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
58
Touches in opposition box
2332
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
71% (193/271)85% (506/596)
Long passes
46% (27/59)32% (13/41)
Passes in final third
63% (58/92)72% (112/155)
Crosses
25% (4/16)24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.711.18
Throw-ins
2021
Fouls
1113
Tackles
63% (15/24)69% (11/16)
Duels won
5440
Clearances
2018
Interceptions
116
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.491.29
Goals prevented
0.490.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', 1 - 0, Loturi V. ,
  • 37', Perea A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Ojeda A. , Shore J. ,
  • 55', Moralez M. 🟨,
  • 58', Graham-Roache O. , Vilsaint J. ,
  • 64', Tanasijevic S. , Gray T. ,
  • 64', Risa B. , O'Toole K. ,
  • 73', Bakrar M. , Garfield Reid S. ,
  • 79', Sealy D. , Guboglo Y. ,
  • 79', Piette S. , Alvarez F. ,
  • 90+4', Gray T. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Owusu P. , Ibrahim S. ,

Chances of winning


CF Montréal
33.7%
Draw
27.5%
New York City
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34% 28.5% 37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3% 28.7% 37.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • CF Montréal - New York City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.84
    (2.78)
    3.43
    (3.32)
    2.42
    (2.52)
    5.7%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for CF Montréal - New York City?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Montreal will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). NY City will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for NY City: 44.1%94.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. NY City (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 2.
    • Montreal is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • NY City is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • NY City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, NY City has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Montreal: Escobar O. (International duty) Saliba N. (International duty) Synchuk G. (Lower-Body Injury) Vrioni G. (Elbow Injury) Waterman J. (International duty)
    • There will not play in NY City: Freese M. (International duty) Jones M. (Broken Leg) Martinez A. (International duty) Parks K. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Montreal: Clark C. (Injury) Duke B. (Lower-Body Injury) Herbers F. (Thigh Injury) Neal J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in NY City: Arroyave J. (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 12:30. (average 0.6:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between CF Montréal - New York City were as follows:
    10.05.2025 New York City - CF Montréal 0:1
    19.10.2024 CF Montréal - New York City 2:0
    03.07.2024 New York City - CF Montréal 2:0
    30.08.2023 New York City - CF Montréal 2:0
    01.07.2023 CF Montréal - New York City 0:1
    Latest results of CF Montréal
    Latest results of New York City
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC20123541:251639
    2Vancouver Whitecaps19115335:191638
    3Minnesota United2097433:231034
    4Portland Timbers1986528:27130
    5Seattle Sounders1985627:25229
    6San Jose Earthquakes2076740:32827
    7Los Angeles FC1775530:24626
    8Colorado Rapids2075823:28-526
    9Austin FC2075815:23-826
    10Houston Dynamo2065925:31-623
    11FC Dallas1956826:35-921
    12Sporting Kansas City20551031:37-620
    13Real Salt Lake19541019:26-719
    14St. Louis City20361119:31-1215
    15Los Angeles Galaxy20161319:42-239


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union20124435:201540
    2FC Cincinnati20123531:26539
    3Nashville SC20115436:231338
    4Columbus Crew20107333:26737
    5Orlando City2096537:261133
    6Inter Miami1685336:27929
    7New York Red Bulls2085732:24829
    8Chicago Fire1984738:34428
    9New York City1984724:21328
    10Charlotte20811132:34-225
    11New England Revolution1866624:21324
    12DC United20461017:39-2218
    13Toronto FC19451022:25-317
    14Atlanta Utd19451022:37-1517
    15CF Montreal20351217:36-1914

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of CF Montréal - New York City?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaRDS App, RDS, TSN 4
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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