CF Montréal vs New York City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS CF Montréal - New York City
Result
1:0
28/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
CF Montréal - New York City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.270.83
Ball Possession
32%68%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
58
Passes
71% (193/271)85% (506/596)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
1.270.83
xG on target (xGOT)
1.290.49
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
1110
Shots outside the Box
21
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
58
Touches in opposition box
2332
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
71% (193/271)85% (506/596)
Long passes
46% (27/59)32% (13/41)
Passes in final third
63% (58/92)72% (112/155)
Crosses
25% (4/16)24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.711.18
Throw-ins
2021
Fouls
1113
Tackles
63% (15/24)69% (11/16)
Duels won
5440
Clearances
2018
Interceptions
116
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.491.29
Goals prevented
0.490.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', 1 - 0, Loturi V. ,
  • 37', Perea A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Ojeda A. , Shore J. ,
  • 55', Moralez M. 🟨,
  • 58', Graham-Roache O. , Vilsaint J. ,
  • 64', Tanasijevic S. , Gray T. ,
  • 64', Risa B. , O'Toole K. ,
  • 73', Bakrar M. , Garfield Reid S. ,
  • 79', Sealy D. , Guboglo Y. ,
  • 79', Piette S. , Alvarez F. ,
  • 90+4', Gray T. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Owusu P. , Ibrahim S. ,

Chances of winning


CF Montréal
33.7%
Draw
27.5%
New York City
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34% 28.5% 37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3% 28.7% 37.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • CF Montréal - New York City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.84
    (2.78)
    3.43
    (3.32)
    2.42
    (2.52)
    5.7%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for CF Montréal - New York City?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Montreal will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). NY City will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for NY City: 44.1%94.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. NY City (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 2.
    • Montreal is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • NY City is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • NY City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, NY City has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Montreal: Escobar O. (International duty) Saliba N. (International duty) Synchuk G. (Lower-Body Injury) Vrioni G. (Elbow Injury) Waterman J. (International duty)
    • There will not play in NY City: Freese M. (International duty) Jones M. (Broken Leg) Martinez A. (International duty) Parks K. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Montreal: Clark C. (Injury) Duke B. (Lower-Body Injury) Herbers F. (Thigh Injury) Neal J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in NY City: Arroyave J. (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 12:30. (average 0.6:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between CF Montréal - New York City were as follows:
    10.05.2025 New York City - CF Montréal 0:1
    19.10.2024 CF Montréal - New York City 2:0
    03.07.2024 New York City - CF Montréal 2:0
    30.08.2023 New York City - CF Montréal 2:0
    01.07.2023 CF Montréal - New York City 0:1
    Latest results of CF Montréal
    Latest results of New York City
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC25144748:321646
    2Vancouver Whitecaps24136542:261645
    3Minnesota United25128542:281444
    4Seattle Sounders24108639:35438
    5Portland Timbers24107733:32137
    6Los Angeles FC22106639:281136
    7Austin FC2396821:26-533
    8Real Salt Lake24941126:30-431
    9Colorado Rapids25861131:39-830
    10San Jose Earthquakes25781047:44329
    11Houston Dynamo24761130:39-927
    12FC Dallas24671135:45-1025
    13Sporting Kansas City24661236:45-924
    14St. Louis City24461424:40-1618
    15Los Angeles Galaxy24371428:48-2016


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union25155543:241950
    2FC Cincinnati25154639:31849
    3Nashville SC25145642:261647
    4Columbus Crew25128541:36544
    5Inter Miami22126449:341542
    6Orlando City25118646:331341
    7Charlotte251221143:39438
    8New York City24115834:29538
    9Chicago Fire24105945:40535
    10New York Red Bulls25961039:36333
    11New England Revolution24671131:35-425
    12Toronto FC24561325:32-721
    13Atlanta Utd24491129:45-1621
    14DC United25471422:49-2719
    15CF Montreal25461523:46-2318

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of CF Montréal - New York City?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaRDS App, RDS, TSN 4
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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