CF Montréal vs Inter Miami: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS CF Montréal - Inter Miami
Result
1:4
05/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
CF Montréal - Inter Miami - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.952.71
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1315
Shots on target
810
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
86% (362/421)88% (507/576)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.952.71
xG on target (xGOT)
1.263.71
Total shots
1315
Shots on target
810
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2025
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1412
Passes
86% (362/421)88% (507/576)
Long passes
48% (14/29)70% (37/53)
Passes in final third
73% (56/77)69% (71/103)
Crosses
18% (2/11)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.531.13
Throw-ins
1011
Fouls
1214
Tackles
63% (5/8)67% (10/15)
Duels won
4037
Clearances
229
Interceptions
127
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
67
xGOT faced
3.711.26
Goals prevented
-0.290.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Owusu P. ,
  • 33', 1 - 1, Allende T. , Messi L. (A),
  • 40', 1 - 2, Messi L. , Suarez L. (A), Aviles T. (A2)
  • 45+2', Alvarez F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Piette S. , Campbell G. ,
  • 54', Busquets S. 🟨,
  • 60', 1 - 3, Segovia T. , Allende T. (A),
  • 62', 1 - 4, Messi L. , Suarez L. (A),
  • 69', Sealy D. , Duke B. ,
  • 69', Pearce T. , Guboglo Y. ,
  • 72', Aviles T. , Martinez D. ,
  • 72', Cremaschi B. , Redondo Solari F. ,
  • 72', Segovia T. , Rodriguez B. ,
  • 80', Clark C. , Synchuk G. ,
  • 83', Allende T. , Picault F. ,
  • 85', Owusu P. , Ibrahim S. ,
  • 87', Falcon M. , Sailor R. ,
  • 88', Martinez D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


CF Montréal
29%
Draw
23.4%
Inter Miami
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.9% 24.7% 42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6% 24.5% 42.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Inter Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Inter Miami's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • CF Montréal - Inter Miami Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.27
    (2.91)
    4.04
    (3.87)
    2.02
    (2.26)
    5%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for CF Montréal - Inter Miami?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Montreal (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Inter Miami (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • Users Predictions: Inter Miami will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 66.11%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Inter Miami might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Montreal: Herbers F. (Thigh Injury) Neal J. (Injury) Waterman J. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Bright Y. (Hamstring Injury) Lujan G. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Montreal: Clark C. (Injury) Synchuk G. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Inter Miami: Allen N. (Injury) Fray I. (Groin Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.7:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between CF Montréal - Inter Miami were as follows:
    28.05.2025 Inter Miami - CF Montréal 4:2
    11.05.2024 CF Montréal - Inter Miami 2:3
    10.03.2024 Inter Miami - CF Montréal 2:3
    27.05.2023 CF Montréal - Inter Miami 1:0
    25.02.2023 Inter Miami - CF Montréal 2:0
    Latest results of CF Montréal
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC28165752:331953
    2Minnesota United28148647:311650
    3Vancouver Whitecaps27147647:311649
    4Los Angeles FC25118644:311341
    5Seattle Sounders26118743:36741
    6Portland Timbers27108935:37-238
    7Colorado Rapids281061236:44-836
    8San Jose Earthquakes28981152:48435
    9Austin FC2698926:32-635
    10Real Salt Lake27941428:36-831
    11FC Dallas27791139:47-830
    12Houston Dynamo27781234:44-1029
    13Sporting Kansas City26661437:50-1324
    14St. Louis City27561631:47-1621
    15Los Angeles Galaxy27471632:55-2319


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union28166648:262254
    2FC Cincinnati28164842:35752
    3Nashville SC28155849:321750
    4Orlando City28138754:401447
    5Inter Miami25137554:401446
    6Columbus Crew27129643:39445
    7Charlotte271421145:39644
    8New York City26135837:30744
    9New York Red Bulls271161042:37539
    10Chicago Fire271161050:48239
    11New England Revolution27871235:38-331
    12Toronto FC27591327:34-724
    13CF Montreal28581528:50-2223
    14Atlanta Utd274111231:49-1823
    15DC United28491524:53-2921

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of CF Montréal - Inter Miami?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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