Fiorentina vs Celje: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Europa Conference League Fiorentina - Celje
Result
2:2
17/04/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Conference League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)
Fiorentina - Celje - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.771.14
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
83% (243/294)89% (463/522)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.771.14
xG on target (xGOT)
2.161.75
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
14
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2411
Through passes
100% (3/3)50% (1/2)
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
1017
Passes
83% (243/294)89% (463/522)
Long passes
53% (21/40)56% (24/43)
Passes in final third
68% (55/81)78% (108/139)
Crosses
31% (5/16)24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.720.58
Fouls
1710
Tackles
60% (9/15)55% (6/11)
Duels won
4139
Clearances Total
2715
Interceptions
64
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.752.16
Goals prevented
-0.250.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 37', 1 - 0, Mandragora R. , Pongracic M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 54', 1 - 1, Matko A. , Zabukovnik M. (A),
  • 55', Folorunsho M. 🟨,
  • 61', Mandragora R. 🟨,
  • 65', 1 - 2, Nemanic K. , Seslar S. (A),
  • 67', 2 - 2, Kean M. , Mandragora R. (A),
  • 80', Fagioli N. , Richardson A. ,
  • 80', Parisi F. , Gosens R. ,
  • 90', Matko A. , Edmilson Santos ,
  • 90', Gudmundsson A. , Beltran L. ,
  • 90', Mandragora R. , Adli Y. ,
  • 90+5', Vuklisevic D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Fiorentina
69.2%
Draw
18.8%
Celje
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
72.1% 17.9% 10%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.2% 17.4% 9.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Celje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celje than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Fiorentina - Celje Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.32)
    5.05
    (5.31)
    7.94
    (9.55)
    5.3%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Celje?
  • Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 27 - 93.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 83.9%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fiorentina will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.
    • At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.
    • In this match Fiorentina is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Bove E. (Heart Problems) Colpani A. (Foot Injury) Dodo (Yellow Cards) Gosens R. (Knee Injury) Mari P. (Inactive) Moreno M. (Yellow Cards) Ndour C. (Inactive) Zaniolo N. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Celje: Ajhmajer N. (Knee Injury) Kucys A. (Knee Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Fiorentina to win the game is with odds 1.38.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Celje were as follows:
    10.04.2025 Celje - Fiorentina 1:2
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    13.04.2025 Fiorentina - Parma 0:0
    10.04.2025 Celje - Fiorentina 1:2
    05.04.2025 Milan - Fiorentina 2:2
    30.03.2025 Fiorentina - Atalanta 1:0
    13.03.2025 Fiorentina - Panathinaikos 3:1
    Latest results of Celje
    13.04.2025 Celje - Mura 2:1
    10.04.2025 Celje - Fiorentina 1:2
    06.04.2025 NK Bravo - Celje 1:2
    02.04.2025 Maribor - Celje 0:1
    29.03.2025 Domžale - Celje 0:1
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    13VikingurBye
    15ZalgirisBye
    16ByeLinfield
    21BuducnostBye
    22ByeMilsami
    24ByeVirtus
    29TNSBye
    30ByeDifferdange
    31LevadiaBye
    32ByeIberia 1999
    33O. LjubljanaBye
    34ByeInter Escaldes
    35Din. MinskBye
    36ByeEgnatia
    41StrasbourgBye
    45VllazniaBFC Daugavpils4 : 2, 0 : 1
    46MalishevaVikingur Reykjavik0 : 8, 0 : 1
    47HB TorshavnBye
    48ByeBrondby
    49SilkeborgBye
    50ByeKA Akureyri
    51Novi PazarBye
    52ByeJagiellonia
    53ZiraBye
    54ByeHajduk Split
    55Atletic EscaldesDudelange3 : 2, 2 : 0
    56ByeDinamo Tirana
    65AnderlechtBye
    68ByeSheriff Tiraspol
    69ArisBye
    70ByePuskas Academy
    71AEK Athens FCBye
    72ByeH. Beer Sheva
    73VikingBye
    74ZeljeznicarKoper1 : 3, 1 : 1
    75Cherno MoreBye
    76ByeBasaksehir
    77FK SarajevoBye
    78ByeUniv. Craiova
    79HiberniansBye
    80ByeTrnava
    81Crystal PalaceBye
    89LuganoBye
    92ByeCelje
    93OstravaBye
    95Austria ViennaBye
    96ByeSpaeri
    97RakowBye
    98ByeZilina
    99ZhodinoRabotnicki1 : 0, 3 : 0
    100ByeMaccabi Haifa
    101Kauno ZalgirisPenybont1 : 1, 3 : 0
    102ValurFlora2 : 1, 3 : 0
    103ArdaBye
    104NSI RunavikHJK0 : 5, 4 : 0
    105OleksandriyaBye
    106ByePartizan
    108ByeHibernian
    113Levski SofiaBye
    115BirkirkaraPetrocub0 : 3, 1 : 0
    116ByeSabah Baku
    117IlvesBye
    118ByeAZ Alkmaar
    119VaduzBye
    120ByeDungannon
    121Polissya ZhytomyrBye
    122Borac Banja LukaFC Santa Coloma2 : 0, 1 : 4
    123PaksBye
    124ByeMaribor
    128ByeFiorentina
    129AIKBye
    130MagpiesPaide1 : 4, 2 : 3
    131Tre FioriPyunik Yerevan0 : 5, 1 : 0
    132ByeGyor
    133DecicSileks1 : 2, 2 : 0
    134ByeSK Rapid
    135Dundee UtdBye
    136ByeUNA Strassen
    137Radnicki 1923Bye
    138SJKKlaksvik0 : 2, 1 : 2
    139KosiceBye
    140UrartuNeman0 : 4, 1 : 2
    144ByeRayo Vallecano
    145La FioritaVardar2 : 2, 0 : 3
    146ByeLausanne
    147Zimbru ChisinauBye
    148ByeFC Astana
    149St. PatricksHegelmann2 : 0, 1 : 0
    150KaljuPartizani1 : 0, 1 : 1
    152ByeBesiktas
    153LarneAuda3 : 2, 0 : 0
    154ByePrishtina
    155VarazdinBye
    156ByeSanta Clara
    157FC BallkaniBye
    158FlorianaHaverfordwest3 : 2, 2 : 1
    159St JosephsCliftonville3 : 2, 2 : 2
    160ByeShamrock Rovers
    161RosenborgBye
    162ByeBanga
    163HammarbyBye
    164ByeCharleroi
    168ByeMainz
    169AktobeBye
    170ByeSparta Prague
    171Ararat-ArmeniaBye
    172ByeU. Cluj
    173Riga FCBye
    174Racing LuxembourgDila Gori0 : 1, 1 : 2
    175SutjeskaDynamo Brest2 : 0, 1 : 2
    176ByeBeitar Jerusalem
    189ArazBye
    190ByeAris
    191OmoniaBye
    192Torpedo KutaisiOrdabasy1 : 1, 4 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    7VikingurBye
    8ZalgirisLinfield0 : 2, 0 : 0
    11BuducnostMilsami1 : 2, 0 : 0
    12ByeVirtus
    15TNSDifferdange0 : 1, 0 : 1
    16LevadiaIberia 19992 : 2, 1 : 0
    17O. LjubljanaInter Escaldes1 : 1, 4 : 2
    18Din. MinskEgnatia0 : 1, 0 : 2
    21StrasbourgBye
    23VllazniaVikingur Reykjavik2 : 4, 2 : 1
    24HB TorshavnBrondby0 : 1, 1 : 1
    25SilkeborgKA Akureyri3 : 2, 1 : 1
    26Novi PazarJagiellonia1 : 3, 1 : 2
    27ZiraHajduk Split1 : 2, 1 : 1
    28Atletic EscaldesDinamo Tirana1 : 1, 1 : 2
    33AnderlechtBye
    34ByeSheriff Tiraspol
    35ArisPuskas Academy2 : 0, 3 : 2
    36AEK Athens FCH. Beer Sheva0 : 0, 1 : 0
    37VikingKoper5 : 3, 7 : 0
    38Cherno MoreBasaksehir0 : 4, 0 : 1
    39FK SarajevoUniv. Craiova0 : 4, 2 : 1
    40HiberniansTrnava1 : 5, 1 : 2
    41Crystal PalaceBye
    45LuganoBye
    46ByeCelje
    47OstravaBye
    48Austria ViennaSpaeri5 : 0, 2 : 0
    49RakowZilina3 : 1, 3 : 0
    50ZhodinoMaccabi Haifa0 : 3, 1 : 1
    51Kauno ZalgirisValur2 : 1, 1 : 1
    52ArdaHJK3 : 2, 0 : 0
    53OleksandriyaPartizan0 : 4, 0 : 2
    54ByeHibernian
    57Levski SofiaBye
    58PetrocubSabah Baku1 : 4, 0 : 2
    59IlvesAZ Alkmaar0 : 5, 4 : 3
    60VaduzDungannon3 : 0, 0 : 1
    61Polissya ZhytomyrFC Santa Coloma4 : 1, 1 : 2
    62PaksMaribor1 : 1, 1 : 0
    64ByeFiorentina
    65AIKPaide6 : 0, 2 : 0
    66Pyunik YerevanGyor1 : 3, 2 : 1
    67DecicSK Rapid2 : 4, 0 : 2
    68Dundee UtdUNA Strassen1 : 0, 1 : 0
    69Radnicki 1923Klaksvik0 : 1, 0 : 0
    70KosiceNeman1 : 1, 2 : 3
    72ByeRayo Vallecano
    73VardarLausanne0 : 5, 2 : 1
    74Zimbru ChisinauFC Astana0 : 2, 1 : 1
    75St. PatricksKalju2 : 2, 1 : 0
    76ByeBesiktas
    77LarnePrishtina2 : 1, 0 : 0
    78VarazdinSanta Clara0 : 2, 2 : 1
    79FC BallkaniFloriana1 : 1, 4 : 2
    80St JosephsShamrock Rovers0 : 0, 0 : 4
    81RosenborgBanga2 : 0, 5 : 0
    82HammarbyCharleroi2 : 1, 0 : 0
    84ByeMainz
    85AktobeSparta Prague0 : 4, 2 : 1
    86Ararat-ArmeniaU. Cluj2 : 1, 0 : 0
    87Riga FCDila Gori3 : 3, 2 : 1
    88SutjeskaBeitar Jerusalem2 : 5, 1 : 2
    95ArazAris2 : 2, 2 : 1
    96OmoniaTorpedo Kutaisi4 : 0, 1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    4VikingurLinfield2 : 1
    6MilsamiVirtus3 : 2
    8DifferdangeLevadia2 : 3
    9O. LjubljanaEgnatia0 : 0
    11StrasbourgBye
    12Vikingur ReykjavikBrondby3 : 0
    13SilkeborgJagiellonia0 : 1
    14Hajduk SplitDinamo Tirana2 : 1
    17AnderlechtSheriff Tiraspol3 : 0
    18ArisAEK Athens FC2 : 2
    19VikingBasaksehir1 : 3
    20Univ. CraiovaTrnava3 : 0
    21Crystal PalaceBye
    23LuganoCelje0 : 5
    24OstravaAustria Vienna4 : 3
    25RakowMaccabi Haifa0 : 1
    26Kauno ZalgirisArda0 : 1
    27PartizanHibernian0 : 2
    29Levski SofiaSabah Baku1 : 0
    30AZ AlkmaarVaduz3 : 0
    31Polissya ZhytomyrPaks3 : 0
    32ByeFiorentina
    33AIKGyor2 : 1
    34SK RapidDundee Utd2 : 2
    35KlaksvikNeman2 : 0
    36ByeRayo Vallecano
    37LausanneFC Astana3 : 1
    38St. PatricksBesiktas1 : 4
    39LarneSanta Clara0 : 3
    40FC BallkaniShamrock Rovers1 : 0
    41RosenborgHammarby0 : 0
    42ByeMainz
    43Sparta PragueArarat-Armenia4 : 1
    44Riga FCBeitar Jerusalem3 : 0
    48ArazOmonia0 : 4

    Final
    2ByeTBD #4
    3ByeTBD #6
    4ByeTBD #8
    5TBD #9Bye
    6StrasbourgTBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11Crystal PalaceBye
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27Bye
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31Fiorentina
    17TBD #33TBD #34
    18TBD #35Rayo Vallecano
    19TBD #37TBD #38
    20TBD #39TBD #40
    21TBD #41Mainz
    22TBD #43TBD #44
    24ByeTBD #48
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