Fiorentina vs Celje: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Europa Conference League Fiorentina - Celje
Result
2:2
17/04/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Conference League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)
Fiorentina - Celje - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.771.14
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
83% (243/294)89% (463/522)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.771.14
xG on target (xGOT)
2.161.75
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
14
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2411
Through passes
100% (3/3)50% (1/2)
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
1017
Passes
83% (243/294)89% (463/522)
Long passes
53% (21/40)56% (24/43)
Passes in final third
68% (55/81)78% (108/139)
Crosses
31% (5/16)24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.720.58
Fouls
1710
Tackles
60% (9/15)55% (6/11)
Duels won
4139
Clearances Total
2715
Interceptions
64
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.752.16
Goals prevented
-0.250.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 37', 1 - 0, Mandragora R. , Pongracic M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 54', 1 - 1, Matko A. , Zabukovnik M. (A),
  • 55', Folorunsho M. 🟨,
  • 61', Mandragora R. 🟨,
  • 65', 1 - 2, Nemanic K. , Seslar S. (A),
  • 67', 2 - 2, Kean M. , Mandragora R. (A),
  • 80', Fagioli N. , Richardson A. ,
  • 80', Parisi F. , Gosens R. ,
  • 90', Matko A. , Edmilson Santos ,
  • 90', Gudmundsson A. , Beltran L. ,
  • 90', Mandragora R. , Adli Y. ,
  • 90+5', Vuklisevic D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Fiorentina
69.2%
Draw
18.8%
Celje
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
72.1% 17.9% 10%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.2% 17.4% 9.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Celje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celje than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Fiorentina - Celje Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.32)
    5.05
    (5.31)
    7.94
    (9.55)
    5.3%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Celje?
  • Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 27 - 93.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 83.9%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fiorentina will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.
    • At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.
    • In this match Fiorentina is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Bove E. (Heart Problems) Colpani A. (Foot Injury) Dodo (Yellow Cards) Gosens R. (Knee Injury) Mari P. (Inactive) Moreno M. (Yellow Cards) Ndour C. (Inactive) Zaniolo N. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Celje: Ajhmajer N. (Knee Injury) Kucys A. (Knee Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Fiorentina to win the game is with odds 1.38.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Celje were as follows:
    10.04.2025 Celje - Fiorentina 1:2
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    13.04.2025 Fiorentina - Parma 0:0
    10.04.2025 Celje - Fiorentina 1:2
    05.04.2025 Milan - Fiorentina 2:2
    30.03.2025 Fiorentina - Atalanta 1:0
    13.03.2025 Fiorentina - Panathinaikos 3:1
    Latest results of Celje
    13.04.2025 Celje - Mura 2:1
    10.04.2025 Celje - Fiorentina 1:2
    06.04.2025 NK Bravo - Celje 1:2
    02.04.2025 Maribor - Celje 0:1
    29.03.2025 Domžale - Celje 0:1
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1Dundee UtdBye
    2ByeUNA Strassen
    3LarneAuda
    5Dun. StredaBye
    6UrartuNeman
    7VaduzBye
    8ByeDungannon
    9SilkeborgBye
    10ByeKA Akureyri
    11RosenborgBye
    12ByeBanga
    13Atletic EscaldesDudelange
    14ByeDinamo Tirana
    15Austria ViennaBye
    16ByeSpaeri
    17FC BallkaniBye
    18FlorianaHaverfordwest
    19VikingBye
    20ZeljeznicarKoper
    21AEK Athens FCBye
    23Tre FioriPyunik Yerevan
    24ByeGyor
    25Riga FCBye
    26Racing LuxembourgDila Gori
    27RakowBye
    28ByeZilina
    29BirkirkaraPetrocub
    31Ararat-ArmeniaBye
    32ByeU. Cluj
    33VarazdinBye
    34ByeSanta Clara
    35Kauno ZalgirisPenybont
    36ValurFlora
    38ByeMaribor
    39VllazniaBFC Daugavpils
    40MalishevaVikingur Reykjavik
    41HammarbyBye
    42ByeCharleroi
    43Radnicki 1923Bye
    44SJKKlaksvik
    45Novi PazarBye
    46ByeJagiellonia
    47Polissya ZhytomyrBye
    48Borac Banja LukaFC Santa Coloma
    49La FioritaVardar
    50ByeLausanne
    51HB TorshavnBye
    52ByeBrondby
    53OleksandriyaBye
    55HiberniansBye
    57St. PatricksHegelmann
    58KaljuPartizani
    59AIKBye
    60MagpiesPaide
    61FK SarajevoBye
    62ByeUniv. Craiova
    63ArisBye
    64ByePuskas Academy
    65St JosephsCliftonville
    66ByeShamrock Rovers
    68ByeAZ Alkmaar
    69ZiraBye
    70ByeHajduk Split
    71ArdaBye
    72NSI RunavikHJK
    74ByeSparta Prague
    75Zimbru ChisinauBye
    76ByeFC Astana
    77DecicSileks
    78ByeSK Rapid
    79ZhodinoRabotnicki
    80ByeMaccabi Haifa
    81ArazBye
    82ByeAris
    83OmoniaBye
    84Torpedo KutaisiOrdabasy
    85Cherno MoreBye
    86ByeBasaksehir
    87SutjeskaDynamo Brest
    88ByeBeitar Jerusalem

    Quarter-finals
    1Dundee UtdUNA Strassen
    2TBD #3Bye
    3Dun. StredaTBD #6
    4VaduzDungannon
    5SilkeborgKA Akureyri
    6RosenborgBanga
    7TBD #13Dinamo Tirana
    8Austria ViennaSpaeri
    9FC BallkaniTBD #18
    10VikingTBD #20
    11AEK Athens FCBye
    12TBD #23Gyor
    13Riga FCTBD #26
    14RakowZilina
    15TBD #29Bye
    16Ararat-ArmeniaU. Cluj
    17VarazdinSanta Clara
    18TBD #35TBD #36
    19ByeMaribor
    20TBD #39TBD #40
    21HammarbyCharleroi
    22Radnicki 1923TBD #44
    23Novi PazarJagiellonia
    24Polissya ZhytomyrTBD #48
    25TBD #49Lausanne
    26HB TorshavnBrondby
    27OleksandriyaBye
    28HiberniansBye
    29TBD #57TBD #58
    30AIKTBD #60
    31FK SarajevoUniv. Craiova
    32ArisPuskas Academy
    33TBD #65Shamrock Rovers
    34ByeAZ Alkmaar
    35ZiraHajduk Split
    36ArdaTBD #72
    37ByeSparta Prague
    38Zimbru ChisinauFC Astana
    39TBD #77SK Rapid
    40TBD #79Maccabi Haifa
    41ArazAris
    42OmoniaTBD #84
    43Cherno MoreBasaksehir
    44TBD #87Beitar Jerusalem
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