Fiorentina vs Celje: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

17/04/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence).

: Conference League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.77	1.14
Ball Possession
37%	63%
Total shots
10	12
Shots on target
5	4
Big Chances
4	1
Corner Kicks
6	4
Passes
83% (243/294)	89% (463/522)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.77	1.14
xG on target (xGOT)
2.16	1.75
Total shots
10	12
Shots on target
5	4
Shots off target
3	4
Blocked Shots
2	4
Shots inside the Box
9	8
Shots outside the Box
1	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
4	1
Corner Kicks
6	4
Touches in opposition box
24	11
Through passes
100% (3/3)	50% (1/2)
Offsides
5	1
Free Kicks
10	17
Passes
83% (243/294)	89% (463/522)
Long passes
53% (21/40)	56% (24/43)
Passes in final third
68% (55/81)	78% (108/139)
Crosses
31% (5/16)	24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.72	0.58
Fouls
17	10
Tackles
60% (9/15)	55% (6/11)
Duels won
41	39
Clearances Total
27	15
Interceptions
6	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
1.75	2.16
Goals prevented
-0.25	0.16

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Mandragora R. ⚽, Pongracic M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
54', 1 - 1, Matko A. ⚽, Zabukovnik M. (A),
55', Folorunsho M. 🟨,
61', Mandragora R. 🟨,
65', 1 - 2, Nemanic K. ⚽, Seslar S. (A),
67', 2 - 2, Kean M. ⚽, Mandragora R. (A),
80', Fagioli N. ↓, Richardson A. ↑,
80', Parisi F. ↓, Gosens R. ↑,
90', Matko A. ↓, Edmilson Santos ↑,
90', Gudmundsson A. ↓, Beltran L. ↑,
90', Mandragora R. ↓, Adli Y. ↑,
90+5', Vuklisevic D. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Fiorentina
69.2%

Draw
18.8%

Celje
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.1%

17.9%

10%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.2%

17.4%

9.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Celje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celje than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Fiorentina - Celje Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.32)	5.05 ↓ (5.31)	7.94 ↓ (9.55)	5.3% (4.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Celje?

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 27 - 93.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 83.9% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fiorentina will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.
At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.
In this match Fiorentina is certain favorite.
There will not play in Fiorentina: Bove E. (Heart Problems) Colpani A. (Foot Injury) Dodo (Yellow Cards) Gosens R. (Knee Injury) Mari P. (Inactive) Moreno M. (Yellow Cards) Ndour C. (Inactive) Zaniolo N. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Celje: Ajhmajer N. (Knee Injury) Kucys A. (Knee Injury)
Our prediction for today's Fiorentina to win the game is with odds 1.38.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Fiorentina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentina won against Celje?

Fiorentina has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Celje won against Fiorentina?

Celje has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Celje were as follows:

10.04.2025 Celje - Fiorentina 1:2

Latest results of Fiorentina

13.04.2025 Fiorentina - Parma 0:0 ✺

10.04.2025 Celje - Fiorentina 1:2 ✺

05.04.2025 Milan - Fiorentina 2:2 ✺

30.03.2025 Fiorentina - Atalanta 1:0 ✺

13.03.2025 Fiorentina - Panathinaikos 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Celje

13.04.2025 Celje - Mura 2:1 ✺

10.04.2025 Celje - Fiorentina 1:2 ✺

06.04.2025 NK Bravo - Celje 1:2 ✺

02.04.2025 Maribor - Celje 0:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Domžale - Celje 0:1 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/8-finals

1	Dundee Utd	Bye
2	Bye	UNA Strassen
3	Larne	Auda	3 : 2, 0 : 0
4	Bye	Prishtina
5	Kosice	Bye
6	Urartu	Neman	0 : 4, 1 : 2
7	Vaduz	Bye
8	Bye	Dungannon
9	Silkeborg	Bye
10	Bye	KA Akureyri
11	Rosenborg	Bye
12	Bye	Banga
13	Atletic Escaldes	Dudelange	3 : 2, 2 : 0
14	Bye	Dinamo Tirana
15	Austria Vienna	Bye
16	Bye	Spaeri
17	FC Ballkani	Bye
18	Floriana	Haverfordwest	3 : 2, 2 : 1
19	Viking	Bye
20	Zeljeznicar	Koper	1 : 3, 1 : 1
21	AEK Athens FC	Bye
22	Bye	H. Beer Sheva
23	Tre Fiori	Pyunik Yerevan	0 : 5, 1 : 0
24	Bye	Gyor
25	Riga FC	Bye
26	Racing Luxembourg	Dila Gori	0 : 1, 1 : 2
27	Rakow	Bye
28	Bye	Zilina
29	Birkirkara	Petrocub	0 : 3, 1 : 0
30	Bye	Sabah Baku
31	Ararat-Armenia	Bye
32	Bye	U. Cluj
33	Varazdin	Bye
34	Bye	Santa Clara
35	Kauno Zalgiris	Penybont	1 : 1, 3 : 0
36	Valur	Flora	2 : 1, 3 : 0
37	Paks	Bye
38	Bye	Maribor
39	Vllaznia	BFC Daugavpils	4 : 2, 0 : 1
40	Malisheva	Vikingur Reykjavik	0 : 8, 0 : 1
41	Hammarby	Bye
42	Bye	Charleroi
43	Radnicki 1923	Bye
44	SJK	Klaksvik	0 : 2, 1 : 2
45	Novi Pazar	Bye
46	Bye	Jagiellonia
47	Polissya Zhytomyr	Bye
48	Borac Banja Luka	FC Santa Coloma	2 : 0, 1 : 4
49	La Fiorita	Vardar	2 : 2, 0 : 3
50	Bye	Lausanne
51	HB Torshavn	Bye
52	Bye	Brondby
53	Oleksandriya	Bye
54	Bye	Partizan
55	Hibernians	Bye
56	Bye	Trnava
57	St. Patricks	Hegelmann	2 : 0, 1 : 0
58	Kalju	Partizani	1 : 0, 1 : 1
59	AIK	Bye
60	Magpies	Paide	1 : 4, 2 : 3
61	FK Sarajevo	Bye
62	Bye	Univ. Craiova
63	Aris	Bye
64	Bye	Puskas Academy
65	St Josephs	Cliftonville	3 : 2, 2 : 2
66	Bye	Shamrock Rovers
67	Ilves	Bye
68	Bye	AZ Alkmaar
69	Zira	Bye
70	Bye	Hajduk Split
71	Arda	Bye
72	NSI Runavik	HJK	0 : 5, 4 : 0
73	Aktobe	Bye
74	Bye	Sparta Prague
75	Zimbru Chisinau	Bye
76	Bye	FC Astana
77	Decic	Sileks	1 : 2, 2 : 0
78	Bye	SK Rapid
79	Zhodino	Rabotnicki	1 : 0, 3 : 0
80	Bye	Maccabi Haifa
81	Araz	Bye
82	Bye	Aris
83	Omonia	Bye
84	Torpedo Kutaisi	Ordabasy	1 : 1, 4 : 3
85	Cherno More	Bye
86	Bye	Basaksehir
87	Sutjeska	Dynamo Brest	2 : 0, 1 : 2
88	Bye	Beitar Jerusalem
89	Vikingur	Bye
91	Virtus	Bye
93	Levadia	Bye
94	Bye	Iberia 1999
95	Zalgiris	Bye
96	Bye	Linfield
97	TNS	Bye
98	Bye	Differdange
99	O. Ljubljana	Bye
100	Bye	Inter Escaldes
101	Buducnost	Bye
102	Bye	Milsami
103	Din. Minsk	Bye
104	Bye	Egnatia

Quarter-finals

1	Dundee Utd	UNA Strassen
2	Larne	Prishtina
3	Kosice	Neman
4	Vaduz	Dungannon
5	Silkeborg	KA Akureyri
6	Rosenborg	Banga
7	Atletic Escaldes	Dinamo Tirana
8	Austria Vienna	Spaeri
9	FC Ballkani	Floriana
10	Viking	Koper
11	AEK Athens FC	H. Beer Sheva
12	Pyunik Yerevan	Gyor
13	Riga FC	Dila Gori
14	Rakow	Zilina
15	Petrocub	Sabah Baku
16	Ararat-Armenia	U. Cluj
17	Varazdin	Santa Clara
18	Kauno Zalgiris	Valur
19	Paks	Maribor
20	Vllaznia	Vikingur Reykjavik
21	Hammarby	Charleroi
22	Radnicki 1923	Klaksvik
23	Novi Pazar	Jagiellonia
24	Polissya Zhytomyr	FC Santa Coloma
25	Vardar	Lausanne
26	HB Torshavn	Brondby
27	Oleksandriya	Partizan
28	Hibernians	Trnava
29	St. Patricks	Kalju
30	AIK	Paide
31	FK Sarajevo	Univ. Craiova
32	Aris	Puskas Academy
33	St Josephs	Shamrock Rovers
34	Ilves	AZ Alkmaar
35	Zira	Hajduk Split
36	Arda	HJK
37	Aktobe	Sparta Prague
38	Zimbru Chisinau	FC Astana
39	Decic	SK Rapid
40	Zhodino	Maccabi Haifa
41	Araz	Aris
42	Omonia	Torpedo Kutaisi
43	Cherno More	Basaksehir
44	Sutjeska	Beitar Jerusalem
45	Vikingur	Bye
46	Virtus	Bye
47	Levadia	Iberia 1999
48	Zalgiris	Linfield
49	TNS	Differdange
50	O. Ljubljana	Inter Escaldes
51	Buducnost	Milsami
52	Din. Minsk	Egnatia

Which TV channels are streaming of Fiorentina - Celje?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	New World Sport 2, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Servus TV, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 7
Belgium	RTBF Tipik
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 2
Cyprus	Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 6, CANAL+ Sport, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1, Silk Sport 1
Germany	Servus TV
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 4
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Stod 2 Sport 2
Indonesia	beIN Sports 1
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport 4K
Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Fox Sports, FOX Sports Premium
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	SportsMax App Caribbean, SportsMax+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 3
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Sport 1, Prima Sport 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovenia	Sport TV1
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 4
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7, Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	Tabii, TRT 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Sport
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 7
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+, VIX App