Burton Albion vs Luton Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Burton Albion - Luton Town
Result
0:3
30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League One - Round 6
  • Referee: Wright P. (Eng)
Burton Albion - Luton Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.432.14
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
812
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
72% (233/323)77% (264/344)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.432.14
xG on target (xGOT)
0.942.41
Total shots
812
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
59
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
1726
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
99
Passes
72% (233/323)77% (264/344)
Long passes
50% (35/70)31% (16/51)
Passes in final third
59% (64/109)72% (118/163)
Crosses
28% (7/25)8% (2/24)
Expected assists (xA)
1.020.63
Throw-ins
2231
Fouls
910
Tackles
58% (14/24)62% (13/21)
Duels won
6057
Clearances
3822
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
2.410.94
Goals prevented
-0.590.94

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Nordas L. , Nelson Z. (A),
  • 31', Nelson Z. 🟨,
  • 45', 0 - 2, Alli M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', McKiernan J. J. , Larsson J. ,
  • 46', Williams D. , Chauke K. ,
  • 59', 0 - 3, Nelson Z. , Nordas L. (A),
  • 73', Yates J. , Wells N. ,
  • 74', Nelson Z. , Walsh L. ,
  • 78', Kodua G. , Naismith K. ,
  • 80', Revan S. , Sraha J. ,
  • 81', Shade T. , Tavares F. ,
  • 88', Alli M. , Bramall C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Burton Albion
20.2%
Draw
24.8%
Luton Town
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.1% 22.1% 59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6% 21.5% 58.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Burton Albion - Luton Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.65
    (5.2)
    3.75
    (4.27)
    1.71
    (1.58)
    6.5%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Burton Albion - Luton Town?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Luton (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Burton is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Luton has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Luton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Luton is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Burton: Hazlehurst J. (Ankle Injury) Jones J. (Foot Injury) Vancooten T. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E. (Knee Injury) Brown J. (Ankle Injury) Lockyer T. (Ankle Injury) Mengi T. (Knee Injury) Odoffin H. (Muscle Injury) Walters R. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Luton: Andersen M. (Hamstring Injury) Chong T. (Groin Injury) Jones I. (Back Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Burton won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Burton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    Latest results of Burton Albion
    Latest results of Luton Town
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff651011:11016
    2Stevenage65019:4515
    3Bradford City642010:6414
    4Barnsley641111:7413
    5Doncaster64116:4213
    6Huddersfield640211:6512
    7Luton64028:3512
    8Stockport County632110:7311
    9Lincoln63218:6211
    10Mansfield631211:7410
    11Exeter63039:639
    12AFC Wimbledon63038:629
    13Wigan62228:718
    14Bolton61416:607
    15Northampton62134:6-27
    16Leyton Orient62136:10-47
    17Reading61235:9-45
    18Burton51135:9-44
    19Rotherham51134:8-44
    20Blackpool61147:13-64
    21Plymouth61054:13-93
    22Wycombe60245:9-42
    23Port Vale60242:6-42
    24Peterborough60152:11-91

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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