Burnley vs Millwall: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Championship Burnley - Millwall
Result
3:1
03/05/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Championship - Round 46
  • Referee: Kitchen A. (Eng)
Burnley - Millwall - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.051.51
Ball Possession
72%28%
Total shots
1912
Shots on target
94
Big Chances
72
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
85% (445/522)67% (137/204)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.051.51
xG on target (xGOT)
1.831.14
Total shots
1912
Shots on target
94
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
109
Shots outside the Box
93
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
72
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
4420
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
35
Free Kicks
165
Passes
85% (445/522)67% (137/204)
Long passes
49% (22/45)40% (21/52)
Passes in final third
75% (126/168)58% (42/73)
Crosses
13% (2/15)50% (5/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.281.59
Throw-ins
1822
Fouls
516
Tackles
78% (7/9)86% (12/14)
Duels won
4033
Clearances
1629
Interceptions
63
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
1.141.83
Goals prevented
0.14-1.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Ivanovic M. , Honeyman G. (A),
  • 13', 1 - 1, Brownhill J. , Barnes A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 63', De Norre C. , Cundle L. ,
  • 65', 2 - 1, Anthony J. ,
  • 77', Crama T. , Leonard R. ,
  • 77', Ivanovic M. , Emakhu A. ,
  • 77', Honeyman G. , Wintle R. ,
  • 79', Barnes A. , Foster L. ,
  • 79', Edwards M. , Sarmiento J. ,
  • 84', Mejbri H. , Laurent J. ,
  • 84', Saville G. , Langstaff M. ,
  • 90+3', 3 - 1, Brownhill J. ,
  • 90+5', Brownhill J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Burnley
61.6%
Draw
22.5%
Millwall
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.2% 24.6% 15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63% 23.5% 14.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Burnley - Millwall Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.57)
    4.22
    (3.84)
    5.92
    (6.19)
    5%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Burnley - Millwall?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 7).
    • Burnley is Qualified for Premier League
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 3.
    • Burnley has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Millwall is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, Burnley is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Burnley: Agyei E. (Muscle Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Humphreys B. (Hip Injury) Manuel Hedilazio B. (Ankle Injury) Tresor Ndayishimiye M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Millwall: Jensen L. (Inactive) Lovelace Z. (Knee Injury) McNamara D. (Knee Injury) Mitchell B. (Injury) Neghli C. (Injury) Scanlon C. (Hamstring Injury) Wallace M. (Inactive) Watmore D. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Burnley: Foster L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Millwall: Bangura-Williams R. (Lacking Match Fitness) Bryan J. (Inactive) Roberts L. (Inactive)
    • We predict that Burnley will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.7:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Burnley won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Burnley - Millwall were as follows:
    03.11.2024 Millwall - Burnley 1:0
    21.02.2023 Millwall - Burnley 1:1
    30.08.2022 Burnley - Millwall 2:0
    Latest results of Burnley
    21.04.2025 Burnley - Sheffield United 2:1
    18.04.2025 Watford - Burnley 1:2
    11.04.2025 Burnley - Norwich City 2:1
    08.04.2025 Derby County - Burnley 0:0
    Latest results of Millwall
    26.04.2025 Millwall - Swansea City 1:0
    21.04.2025 Millwall - Norwich City 3:1
    12.04.2025 Millwall - Middlesbrough 1:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Sheffield Utd (3)Bristol City (6)3 : 0
    2Sunderland (4)Coventry (5)2 : 1

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Burnley - Millwall?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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