Watford vs Burnley: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Championship
Soccer English League Championship Watford - Burnley
Result
1:2
18/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Championship - Round 43
  • Referee: Donohue M. (Eng)
Watford - Burnley - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.051.95
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
1116
Shots on target
57
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
41
Passes
72% (215/298)88% (496/566)
Yellow Cards
74
Red Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.051.95
xG on target (xGOT)
1.252.23
Total shots
1116
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
510
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
12
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
1022
Through passes
0% (0/1)50% (1/2)
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
317
Passes
72% (215/298)88% (496/566)
Long passes
45% (25/56)49% (21/43)
Passes in final third
51% (39/77)83% (158/191)
Crosses
56% (5/9)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.051.54
Fouls
173
Tackles
63% (10/16)58% (7/12)
Duels won
3848
Clearances Total
1512
Interceptions
1111
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
2.231.25
Goals prevented
0.230.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Doumbia M. ⚽, Vata R. (A),
  • 43', 1 - 1, Flemming Z. ⚽, Anthony J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 58', 1 - 2, Brownhill J. ⚽, Mejbri H. (A),
  • 59', Sissoko M. 🟨,
  • 60', Sissoko M. 🟨,
  • 61', Flemming Z. 🟨,
  • 66', Cullen J. 🟨,
  • 66', Kayembe E. 🟨,
  • 69', Kayembe E. 🟨,
  • 69', Louza I. 🟨,
  • 72', Edwards M. ↓, Laurent J. ↑,
  • 75', Doumbia M. ↓, Bayo V. ↑,
  • 75', Vata R. ↓, Ince T. ↑,
  • 75', Ngakia J. ↓, Andrews R. ↑,
  • 84', Bayo V. 🟨,
  • 85', Abankwah J. ↓, Sierralta F. ↑,
  • 85', Louza I. ↓, Dele-Bashiru T. ↑,
  • 88', Flemming Z. ↓, Barnes A. ↑,
  • 90+7', Brownhill J. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
  • 90+7', Andrews R. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Sarmiento J. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Trafford J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Watford
18.9%		Draw
27.3%		Burnley
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.6% 27.7% 47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6% 27.7% 47.7%

Watford - Burnley Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 5.07 ↑
(3.85)		 3.48 ↑
(3.42)		 1.77 ↓
(1.99)		 4.8%
(5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

  • Watch this match and English League Championship with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : CBSSN
    •
    What is the prediction for Watford - Burnley?
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
      • O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • Users Predictions: Burnley will win (49 of 57 users predict this - 85.96%).
      Confidence interval (95%): 76.94% – 94.98%.
    • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Burnley will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
      •
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Watford won 1.
    • Watford is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Burnley is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • In this match Burnley is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Watford: Baah K. (Injury) Chakvetadze G. (Injury) Ogbonna A. (Illness)
    • There will not play in Burnley: Agyei E. (Muscle Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Manuel Hedilazio B. (Ankle Injury) Ramsey A. (Knee Injury) Shelvey J. (Leg Injury) Tresor Ndayishimiye M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Watford: Keben K. (Hamstring Injury)
    • Last 18 head-to-head matches Watford won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 18:23 (average 1:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Watford won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:14 (average 1.3:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Watford - Burnley were as follows:
    21.12.2024 Burnley - Watford 2:1
    14.02.2023 Burnley - Watford 1:1
    Latest results of Watford
    12.04.2025 West Bromwich Albion - Watford 2:1 ✺
    08.04.2025 Watford - Hull City 1:0 ✺
    05.04.2025 Bristol City - Watford 2:1 ✺
    29.03.2025 Watford - Plymouth Argyle 0:0 ✺
    15.03.2025 Oxford United - Watford 1:0
    Latest results of Burnley
    11.04.2025 Burnley - Norwich City 2:1 ✺
    08.04.2025 Derby County - Burnley 0:0 ✺
    05.04.2025 Coventry City - Burnley 1:2 ✺
    29.03.2025 Burnley - Bristol City 1:0 ✺
    15.03.2025 Swansea City - Burnley 0:2 ✺
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry31178663:352859
    2Middlesbrough30177647:291858
    3Ipswich30159651:292254
    4Hull31166950:43754
    5Millwall31158839:36353
    6Wrexham311211844:39547
    7Preston311211838:34447
    8Bristol City311371143:38546
    9Derby311291045:39645
    10Birmingham311291043:39445
    11Watford311111939:36344
    12QPR311281142:43-144
    13Stoke311271234:28643
    14Southampton3111101044:41343
    15Sheffield Utd301231543:43039
    16Swansea301161334:37-339
    17Norwich311061539:42-336
    18Charlton30991229:38-936
    19Portsmouth29891227:38-1133
    20West Brom31961632:47-1533
    21Leicester311081341:47-632
    22Blackburn31881527:40-1332
    23Oxford Utd316101528:41-1328
    24Sheffield Wed30182118:58-40-7

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Which TV channels are streaming of Watford - Burnley?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 2
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
    canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
    chileChileDisney+
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
    denmarkDenmarkViaplay
    finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport 2
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
    georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
    hungaryHungaryMatch 4, Net4+
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    indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
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    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8
    mexicoMexicoDisney+
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    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
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    portugalPortugalSport TV6
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    singaporeSingaporemio Sports 1
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
    swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
    turkeyTurkeyExxen
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaCBS, Paramount+
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    worldWorldDisney+
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