Brisbane Lions vs Gold Coast Suns: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Aussie rules AFL Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns
13/09/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AFL - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Brisbane Lions
59.5%
Gold Coast Suns
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.7% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1% 33.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brisbane Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Gold Coast Suns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Lions than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brisbane Lions, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gold Coast Suns than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gold Coast Suns, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.47)

    2.2
    (2.58)
    8.7%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 168.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)
  • What is the prediction for Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Brisbane will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Gold Coast will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 90:79.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Brisbane may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Brisbane will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1898:1446. (average 94.9:72.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 927:578. (average 103:64.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns were as follows:
    25.07.2025 Gold Coast Suns - Brisbane Lions 130:64
    04.05.2025 Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns 66:49
    27.07.2024 Gold Coast Suns - Brisbane Lions 65:93
    05.05.2024 Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns 79:45
    29.07.2023 Gold Coast Suns - Brisbane Lions 91:55
    Latest results of Brisbane Lions
    Latest results of Gold Coast Suns
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Adelaide Crows (1)Collingwood Magpies (4)55 : 79
    3Brisbane LionsBye
    4Fremantle Dockers (6)Gold Coast Suns (7)79 : 80
    5Geelong Cats (2)Brisbane Lions (3)112 : 74
    7Adelaide CrowsBye
    8GWS Giants (5)Hawthorn Hawks (8)88 : 107

    Quarter-finals
    1Collingwood Magpies (4)Bye
    2Brisbane Lions (3)Gold Coast Suns (7)
    3Geelong Cats (2)Bye
    4Adelaide Crows (1)Hawthorn Hawks (8)67 : 101

    Semi-finals
    1Collingwood Magpies (4)TBD #2
    2Geelong Cats (2)Hawthorn Hawks (8)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Brisbane Lions - Gold Coast Suns?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustraliaAFL, Fox Footy
    germanyGermanySportdigital1+
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