Collingwood Magpies vs Brisbane Lions: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Aussie rules AFL Collingwood Magpies - Brisbane Lions
Result
71:100
20/09/2025 at 03:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AFL - Play Offs - Semi-finals
Collingwood Magpies - Brisbane Lions - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Goals
1115
Behinds
510
Kicks
186247
Handballs
126134
Disposals
312381
Frees For
1920
Frees Against
2019
Clearances Completed
3645
Marks
77113
Tackles
6571
Hitouts
4442

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (7 - 27)
  • 04:16, De Goey J. (Behind),
  • 07:06, Cox M. (G),
  • 09:17, Morris L. (Behind),
  • 10:01, Dunkley J. (G),
  • 11:45, (Behind Rushed),
  • 15:21, Bailey Z. (G),
  • 19:54, Morris L. (G),
  • 22:18, Gallop T. (G),
  • 28:22, (Behind Rushed),
  • 2nd Quarter (36 - 3)
  • 02:30, Cameron C. (Behind),
  • 03:16, Elliott J. (G),
  • 04:27, Bailey Z. (Behind),
  • 11:29, Membrey T. (G),
  • 16:15, Schultz L. (G),
  • 21:31, Lipinski P. (G),
  • 26:43, Membrey T. (G),
  • 28:21, Houston D. (G),
  • 30:42, (Behind Rushed),
  • 3rd Quarter (15 - 45)
  • 00:50, Bailey Z. (G),
  • 02:10, Ashcroft W. (G),
  • 05:39, Gallop T. (G),
  • 07:14, Ashcroft W. (Behind),
  • 09:56, De Goey J. (Behind),
  • 11:52, Rayner C. (G),
  • 14:04, Elliott J. (G),
  • 15:49, McCluggage H. (G),
  • 18:20, Elliott J. (G),
  • 20:34, Sidebottom S. (Behind),
  • 22:24, Lohmann K. (Behind),
  • 24:31, Rayner C. (Behind),
  • 25:43, Ashcroft W. (G),
  • 30:43, Membrey T. (Behind),
  • 34:13, Rayner C. (G),
  • 4th Quarter (13 - 25)
  • 07:18, Rayner C. (Behind),
  • 12:38, Cox M. (G),
  • 17:42, Cameron C. (G),
  • 20:56, Gallop T. (G),
  • 22:53, Lohmann K. (G),
  • 26:59, Zorko D. (G),
  • 30:25, Elliott J. (G),
  • 31:32, McCreery B. (Behind),

Chances of winning


Collingwood Magpies
57.3%
Brisbane Lions
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.2% 43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4% 48.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Collingwood Magpies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Brisbane Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Collingwood Magpies than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Collingwood Magpies that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Lions than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brisbane Lions could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Collingwood Magpies - Brisbane Lions Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.7)

    2.16
    (2.18)
    7.4%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 160.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
  • What is the prediction for Collingwood Magpies - Brisbane Lions?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Collingwood will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Brisbane will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 83:77.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Collingwood won 4.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Collingwood may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Collingwood won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1783:1709. (average 89.2:85.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Collingwood won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 748:821. (average 83.1:91.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Collingwood Magpies - Brisbane Lions were as follows:
    02.08.2025 Collingwood Magpies - Brisbane Lions 65:92
    17.04.2025 Brisbane Lions - Collingwood Magpies 53:105
    17.08.2024 Collingwood Magpies - Brisbane Lions 79:78
    28.03.2024 Brisbane Lions - Collingwood Magpies 72:92
    30.09.2023 Collingwood Magpies - Brisbane Lions 90:86
    Latest results of Collingwood Magpies
    Latest results of Brisbane Lions
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Adelaide Crows (1)Collingwood Magpies (4)55 : 79
    3Brisbane LionsBye
    4Fremantle Dockers (6)Gold Coast Suns (7)79 : 80
    5Geelong Cats (2)Brisbane Lions (3)112 : 74
    7Adelaide CrowsBye
    8GWS Giants (5)Hawthorn Hawks (8)88 : 107

    Quarter-finals
    1Collingwood Magpies (4)Bye
    2Brisbane Lions (3)Gold Coast Suns (7)100 : 47
    3Geelong Cats (2)Bye
    4Adelaide Crows (1)Hawthorn Hawks (8)67 : 101

    Semi-finals
    1Collingwood Magpies (4)Brisbane Lions (3)71 : 100
    2Geelong Cats (2)Hawthorn Hawks (8)115 : 85

    Final
    1Brisbane Lions (3)Geelong Cats (2)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Collingwood Magpies - Brisbane Lions?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustraliaFox Footy
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports 2
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