Brighton & Hove Albion vs Newcastle United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English Premier League Brighton & Hove Albion - Newcastle United
Result
1:1
04/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 35
  • Referee: Pawson C. (Eng)
Brighton & Hove Albion - Newcastle United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.621.75
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
513
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
14
Passes
78% (295/379)83% (366/439)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.621.75
xG on target (xGOT)
0.942.05
Total shots
513
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
47
Shots outside the Box
16
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
14
Touches in opposition box
1732
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1015
Passes
78% (295/379)83% (366/439)
Long passes
31% (20/64)56% (23/41)
Passes in final third
61% (64/105)76% (104/136)
Crosses
20% (2/10)17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.680.60
Throw-ins
1423
Fouls
1510
Tackles
67% (10/15)64% (9/14)
Duels won
4849
Clearances
2728
Interceptions
106
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
2.050.94
Goals prevented
1.05-0.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 28', 1 - 0, Minteh Y. , Wieffer M. (A),
  • 32', Wieffer M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 54', Wieffer M. , Lamptey T. ,
  • 57', Murphy J. , Gordon A. ,
  • 69', Hinshelwood J. , Ayari Y. ,
  • 69', Adingra S. , Veltman J. ,
  • 73', Willock J. 🟨,
  • 74', Willock J. , Wilson C. ,
  • 89', 1 - 1, Isak A. (Pen),
  • 90+3', Welbeck D. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Minteh Y. , Gruda B. ,
  • 90+4', O'Riley M. , Gomez D. ,
  • 90+7', Trippier K. , Krafth E. ,
  • 90+7', Schar F. , Botman S. ,

Chances of winning


Brighton & Hove Albion
31.4%
Draw
25.7%
Newcastle United
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.1% 25.9% 39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37% 27.3% 37%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brighton & Hove Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brighton & Hove Albion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newcastle United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Brighton & Hove Albion - Newcastle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.06
    (2.75)
    3.76
    (3.72)
    2.25
    (2.47)
    3.7%
    (3.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Brighton & Hove Albion - Newcastle United?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove won 3.
    • Recent form of Brighton & Hove has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Newcastle is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Kadioglu F. (Toe Injury) Milner J. (Thigh Injury) Rutter G. (Ankle Injury) Steele J. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Newcastle: Hall L. (Foot Injury) Joelinton (Knee Injury) Lascelles J. (Knee Injury) Targett M. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Brighton & Hove: Webster A. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:17. (average 1.2:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brighton & Hove won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brighton & Hove Albion - Newcastle United were as follows:
    02.03.2025 Newcastle United - Brighton & Hove Albion 1:2
    19.10.2024 Newcastle United - Brighton & Hove Albion 0:1
    11.05.2024 Newcastle United - Brighton & Hove Albion 1:1
    02.09.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion - Newcastle United 3:1
    28.07.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion - Newcastle United 1:2
    Latest results of Brighton & Hove Albion
    Latest results of Newcastle United
    English Premier League Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Liverpool ✔ 36258383:374683
    2Arsenal361814466:333368
    3Newcastle362061068:452366
    4Manchester City36198967:432465
    5Chelsea36189962:431963
    6Aston Villa36189956:49763
    7Nottingham361881056:441262
    8Brentford361671363:531055
    9Brighton361413959:56355
    10Bournemouth3614111155:431253
    11Fulham361491351:50151
    12Crystal Palace3612131146:48-249
    13Everton369151239:44-542
    14Wolves361251951:64-1341
    15West Ham3610101642:59-1740
    16Manchester Utd361091742:53-1139
    17Tottenham361152063:59438
    18Ipswich ✔ 364102235:77-4222
    19Leicester ✔ 36572431:78-4722
    20Southampton ✔ 36262825:82-5712

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Liverpool is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Ipswich is Relegated to Championship
    Leicester is Relegated to Championship
    Southampton is Relegated to Championship
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