Result
0:2
21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- : Premier League - Round 27
- Referee: Gillett J. (Aus)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.11 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (336/428) | 76% (312/408) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 1.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (336/428) | 76% (312/408) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (23/63) | 31% (19/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (74/103) | 60% (76/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.28 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.59 | 0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 12', Wieffer M. 🟨,
- 30', 0 - 1, Gomez D. ⚽,
- 45', Hickey A. ↓, Collins N. ↑,
- 45+1', 0 - 2, Welbeck D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Janelt V. ↓, Yarmolyuk Y. ↑,
- 46', Lewis-Potter K. ↓, Schade K. ↑,
- 54', Kadioglu F. 🟨,
- 65', Wieffer M. ↓, Veltman J. ↑,
- 67', Henderson J. ↓, Damsgaard M. ↑,
- 76', Gomez D. ↓, De Cuyper M. ↑,
- 81', Ajer K. ↓, Donovan R. ↑,
- 90', Milner J. ↓, Baleba C. ↑,
- 90+2', Yarmolyuk Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Brentford 42.9% | Draw 27.4% | Brighton & Hove Albion 29.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brentford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Brighton & Hove Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Brentford - Brighton & Hove Albion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.23 ↑ (2.04) |
3.53 ↓ (3.92) |
3.25 ↓ (3.38) |
3.9% (4.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Brentford - Brighton & Hove Albion?
- Users Predictions:
92 users predict this event. Brentford will win (votes: 71 - 77.2%). Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 5 - 5.4%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 17.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brentford: 68.6% – 85.8%. - Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
- AH +0.5 - Brighton & Hove (1.77) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.25 - Brentford (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Brentford (1.31) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brentford will win (21 of 25 users predict this - 84%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 33 Selected Experts predict this event. Brentford (votes: 26 - 78.8%). Brighton & Hove (votes: 3 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 4 - 12.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brentford won 1.
- Brentford is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Brighton & Hove is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Brentford might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Brentford: Carvalho F.
(Knee Injury)
Milambo A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Ayari Y.
(Shoulder Injury)
Tzimas S.
(Knee Injury)
Webster A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Brighton & Hove: March S.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Brentford won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:23. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brentford won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Brentford won against Brighton & Hove Albion?
Brentford has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brighton & Hove Albion won against Brentford?
Brighton & Hove Albion has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brentford - Brighton & Hove Albion were as follows:
22.11.2025
Brighton & Hove Albion
-
Brentford
2:1
19.04.2025
Brentford
-
Brighton & Hove Albion
4:2
27.12.2024
Brighton & Hove Albion
-
Brentford
0:0
03.04.2024
Brentford
-
Brighton & Hove Albion
0:0
06.12.2023
Brighton & Hove Albion
-
Brentford
2:1
Latest results of Brentford
Latest results of Brighton & Hove Albion
English Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
| 3 | Manchester Utd | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
| 8 | Brighton | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
| 11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
| 13 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
| 14 | Leeds | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 16 | Nottingham | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
| 18 | West Ham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
| 19 | Burnley | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
| 20 | Wolves | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Championship
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|---|
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