Brentford vs Manchester United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English Premier League Brentford - Manchester United
Result
3:1
27/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 6
  • Referee: Pawson C. (Eng)
Brentford - Manchester United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.992.03
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
86
Big Chances
64
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
76% (268/351)81% (369/455)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.992.03
xG on target (xGOT)
2.822.11
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
86
Shots off target
14
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
79
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
64
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2317
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1014
Passes
76% (268/351)81% (369/455)
Long passes
44% (22/50)45% (19/42)
Passes in final third
61% (60/98)66% (57/86)
Crosses
50% (7/14)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.290.61
Throw-ins
2217
Fouls
1410
Tackles
64% (9/14)56% (9/16)
Duels won
5049
Clearances
2329
Interceptions
74
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
55
xGOT faced
2.112.82
Goals prevented
1.11-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Thiago I. , Henderson J. (A),
  • 20', 2 - 0, Thiago I. ,
  • 26', 2 - 1, Sesko B. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', Fernandes B. 🟨,
  • 66', Ugarte M. , Mainoo K. ,
  • 66', Maguire H. , Yoro L. ,
  • 72', Collins N. 🟨,
  • 75', Hickey A. , Henry R. ,
  • 75', Ouattara Da. , Lewis-Potter K. ,
  • 76', Fernandes B. (Pen),
  • 80', Schade K. 🟨,
  • 81', Henderson J. , Onyeka F. ,
  • 81', Damsgaard M. , Janelt V. ,
  • 81', Shaw L. , Mount M. ,
  • 84', Dorgu P. 🟨,
  • 85', Dorgu P. , Zirkzee J. ,
  • 90', Thiago I. , Jensen M. ,
  • 90+5', 3 - 1, Jensen M. , Yarmolyuk Y. (A),

Chances of winning


Brentford
28.2%
Draw
25.4%
Manchester United
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.5% 24.9% 42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5% 24.9% 42.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brentford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • Brentford - Manchester United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.47
    (2.93)
    3.82
    (3.83)
    2.09
    (2.24)
    2.9%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Brentford - Manchester United?
  • Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. Brentford will win (votes: 19 - 30.6%). Man Utd will win (votes: 38 - 61.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 8.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Man Utd: 49.2%73.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Manchester United will win (16 of 21 users predict this - 76.19%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brentford won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Brentford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Man Utd might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Brentford: Gustavo Nunes (Hamstring Injury) Maghoma P. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Man Utd: Casemiro (Red Card) Martinez Li. (Knee Injury) Mazraoui N. (Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Brentford won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.6:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brentford won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 2.5:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brentford - Manchester United were as follows:
    04.05.2025 Brentford - Manchester United 4:3
    19.10.2024 Manchester United - Brentford 2:1
    30.03.2024 Brentford - Manchester United 1:1
    07.10.2023 Manchester United - Brentford 2:1
    05.04.2023 Manchester United - Brentford 1:0
    Latest results of Brentford
    20.09.2025 Fulham - Brentford 3:1
    16.09.2025 Brentford - Aston Villa 2:1
    13.09.2025 Brentford - Chelsea 2:2
    30.08.2025 Sunderland - Brentford 2:1
    26.08.2025 Bournemouth - Brentford 0:2
    Latest results of Manchester United
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Liverpool650112:7515
    2Arsenal641112:3913
    3Crystal Palace63308:3512
    4Tottenham632111:4711
    5Sunderland63217:4311
    6Bournemouth63218:7111
    7Manchester City631214:6810
    8Chelsea622211:838
    9Everton62227:618
    10Brighton62229:908
    11Fulham62227:8-18
    12Leeds62226:9-38
    13Brentford62139:11-27
    14Manchester Utd62137:11-47
    15Newcastle61324:5-16
    16Aston Villa61324:6-26
    17Nottingham61235:10-55
    18Burnley61146:13-74
    19West Ham61146:14-84
    20Wolves60154:13-91

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

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