Boulogne vs Bastia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer French Ligue 2 Boulogne - Bastia
Result
1:0
16/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 2 - Round 1
  • Referee: Kubler G. (Fra)
Boulogne - Bastia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.911.24
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
712
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
64% (165/259)81% (407/502)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
0.911.24
xG on target (xGOT)
0.580.91
Total shots
712
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
59
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
1622
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1314
Passes
64% (165/259)81% (407/502)
Long passes
31% (18/59)45% (32/71)
Passes in final third
41% (33/80)51% (59/116)
Crosses
44% (4/9)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.960.41
Throw-ins
1930
Fouls
1413
Tackles
67% (18/27)92% (12/13)
Duels won
6762
Clearances
2817
Interceptions
1110
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
0.910.58
Goals prevented
0.91-0.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Capuano G. 🟨,
  • 19', Etoga L. 🟨,
  • 41', Karamoko I. 🟨,
  • 41', Siliadin L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', Siliadin L. , Platret A. ,
  • 63', Karamoko I. , Zaouai A. ,
  • 65', Fatar N. , Mpembele Boula E. ,
  • 65', Kouassi E. , Boyer J. ,
  • 76', Sebas J. , Aiki A. ,
  • 76', Tomi F. , Ble M. ,
  • 80', Bultel J. , Duflos S. ,
  • 80', Capuano G. , Fatou C. ,
  • 80', Duflos S. 🟨,
  • 82', 1 - 0, Mpembele Boula E. ,
  • 85', Etoga L. , Bathily Y. ,
  • 85', Roncaglia A. , Guevara J. ,
  • 86', Ble M. 🟨,
  • 87', Guevara J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Boulogne
28%
Draw
29.9%
Bastia
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.9% 28.3% 42.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Boulogne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Bastia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Boulogne - Bastia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.33
    (3.28)
    3.14
    (3.36)
    2.24
    (2.22)
    6.5%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Boulogne - Bastia?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Boulogne will win (votes: 3 - 15%). Bastia will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 70%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 49.9%90.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Boulogne has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Bastia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Boulogne: Kitenge C. (Inactive) Lenogue X. (Inactive) Zohore N. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Bastia: Basset D. (Injury) Guevara J. (Knee Injury) Janneh J. (Inactive) Parravicini N. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Boulogne: Platret A. (Inactive) Toure H. (Inactive)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Boulogne won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Boulogne won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    Latest results of Boulogne
    12.09.2025 Boulogne - Laval 1:2
    29.08.2025 Rodez - Boulogne 1:0
    23.08.2025 Boulogne - Saint-Étienne 0:1
    15.08.2025 Nancy - Boulogne 1:0
    01.08.2025 Fleury-Merogis - Boulogne 2:1
    Latest results of Bastia
    12.09.2025 Amiens - Bastia 0:0
    30.08.2025 Bastia - Guingamp 1:3
    22.08.2025 Le Mans - Bastia 1:0
    15.08.2025 Bastia - Pau 1:1
    10.05.2025 Bastia - Caen 2:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1St Etienne642014:7714
    2Red Star641111:4713
    3Troyes641111:5613
    4Pau FC632110:6411
    5Amiens62319:549
    6Clermont62316:519
    7Montpellier62226:518
    8Annecy62227:708
    9Reims62227:8-18
    10Nancy62226:7-18
    11Rodez62223:6-38
    12Laval61417:9-27
    13Guingamp62139:14-57
    14Dunkerque61329:10-16
    15Le Mans61237:9-25
    16Grenoble61236:9-35
    17Boulogne61052:8-63
    18Bastia60242:8-62

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National

    Which TV channels are streaming of Boulogne - Bastia?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
    franceFrancebeIN Sports 1, Free
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